Why are the Saints -1 ?

i totally agree with you on that

Quote Originally Posted by golfandgamble:

We have two 5-5 teams, pretty evenly matched and GB traveling all the way to New Orleans to a place they haven't played since 2002 and are getting 1 ?

Saints and pack have split the last 4 meetings, but they did have Favre at Lambeau in those meetings.

Why aren't the Saints -3 at highest?


Thanks.

I see the Packers as being a better overall team. Ryan Grant and the running game is finally coming along. The Saints on the other hand rely on Brees a little too much (he gets the job done more often than not) but you got to think their inability to run will hurt them. It has made them a inconsistent team.

This line movement on MNF where Saints -3 now Saints -1 is the exact same line movment several wks ago when Pitt played at Skins -3 than went to -1 at game time. The consensus are exactly identical where the road dawg was a 56% public play. As we all know, Pitt won that game as a road public dawg.

Not trying to be rude but you couldnt be more wrong about the way you think regarding line making and vegas.  Hopefully this helps you change the way you think a little.  Lines arent made to trap, fool, or confuse the betting public.  Sportsbooks WANT even money on BOTH sides of a game to guarantee revenue.  They are HAPPY when the public all goes one way and loses, but this is NOT what they are trying to acheive as NOBODY in this world can see or predict the future 100% of the time.

When linemakers discuss what an appropriate line should be the OBJECTIVE and ONLY objective is to create a 50/50 chance for BOTH teams to cover the spread therefore giving neither side an advantage and the EDGE to the house everytime because of vig.

Remember they are odds MAKERS, not gamblers like us.  They arent trying to trick anybody and as a matter of fact they want to trick NOBODY as they would like guaranteed revenue on EVERY GAME.

Think about it, if you ran a sportsbook with thousands of bettors and made money on EVERY SINGLE GAME, it would amount to be quite significant.

As for the matchup...........Green bay is obviously a more balanced team with a much better defense and Mike McCarthy knows the saints organization very well as he worked there as the offensive coordinator for a few years.  Also, the Packers matchup really well against the saints high powered passing offense sporting the third best pass defense in the NFL.  Advantage Green Bay.

However, the public has a very short term memory and is overlooking the FACT that the saints play very well at home coming in at 4-1 this season vs a 2-3 road team in the packers.  This means a lot as this is a must win do or die game for the saints if they have any shot in making the playoffs which is slim already.  The Saints probably play ABOVE their heads tonight with all the excitement in that dome but I dont want to give Green Bay to much credit, the fact of the matter is they arent that good, they are 5-5 with their two road wins against Detroit (the worst team to EVER exist in the NFL) and Hasslebeckless Seattle probably the second worst team to ever exist in the NFL, .......Either way you look at this game, it goes back to my original point that lines are made to create a 50/50 chance for bettors to cash and this game will probably be a good example of one side catching a break to win.  This is to close to bet on, u might as well flip a coin and say heads for new orleans and tails for green bay.

If GB's defense is able to create 2 or 3 turnovers like they have been so good at doing this season, GB wins, if not, NO wins.

BOL and GL all

how about when the saints played the vikings on monday night?

if it wasn't for bush's 2 punt returns they would have gotten smoked against a pretty pathetic offense........