Posted:
#1
If you showed a 10 year-old street hustler in Yemen a picture of Mark Sanchez, he'd probably wrinkle his nose in disgust and spit in the photo's general direction.
The world knows the Jets screwed the proverbial pooch last week. The world knows they lost Revis and Holmes. The world knows the Texans are one of the darlings of the NFL so far (despite their cake schedule, and that's noteworthy). It's David vs. Goliath and David left his sling shot at home.
So pretend you're an odds maker for this game. You know exactly what public perception is, and you know exactly what your computer algorithms are telling you the outcome of the game is likely to be, give or take a margin of error. And they set the line at -9, a single digit number. They know damn well who the public will bet on with that spread.
They're inducing action on the Texans side of the wagering line, on the biggest game of the week. If it wasn't MNF, this line of thinking loses some of it's value. The public has to win sometimes, and the public did pretty well on Sunday. But in my experience, sports-books rarely induce action on the public side of a MNF game, especially if they just paid the public on Sunday night.
This money is on loan, and they'll be collecting payments starting Monday night.
Take the Jets +9 and collect payments with them.
The world knows the Jets screwed the proverbial pooch last week. The world knows they lost Revis and Holmes. The world knows the Texans are one of the darlings of the NFL so far (despite their cake schedule, and that's noteworthy). It's David vs. Goliath and David left his sling shot at home.
So pretend you're an odds maker for this game. You know exactly what public perception is, and you know exactly what your computer algorithms are telling you the outcome of the game is likely to be, give or take a margin of error. And they set the line at -9, a single digit number. They know damn well who the public will bet on with that spread.
They're inducing action on the Texans side of the wagering line, on the biggest game of the week. If it wasn't MNF, this line of thinking loses some of it's value. The public has to win sometimes, and the public did pretty well on Sunday. But in my experience, sports-books rarely induce action on the public side of a MNF game, especially if they just paid the public on Sunday night.
This money is on loan, and they'll be collecting payments starting Monday night.
Take the Jets +9 and collect payments with them.
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