Wk 17 Playoffs ? Playoffs ? You wanna talk about Playoffs ??? $$$$$$$$

HAPPY NEW YEAR 

Whats up Family ??? 

Not my legs ...Thought I could keep up with athletic kids and Mrs. on a 8 night sports trip ....Its been  Tennis , Swimming , Soccer , Swimming, basketball , Wind sprints , Swimming, "Running football routes ", swimming,  soccer all day , everyday ... ....I can barely walk now and my adrenaline has me up 20+ hours a day 

Anyways its 530 am and I'm on XL  Coffee/ espresso #2 already 

Before we go any further I must admit that I've won money on week 17 probably 3 out of the 13 years here on Covers ....Its so easy to fall into the " Must Win " traps or " What are they playing for ?" Land Mines ....BUT ILL DO MY BEST !!!! 

I'm anxiously awaiting any information from ONE BILLS DRIVE on how long the BILLS starters will play today ...McDermott can be full of smoke screens and meaningless responses when it comes to the media...I do however have a old  friend who cuts several BILLS players hair ( Dont laugh this dude has helped me win money several times) , and hopefully he gets some sort of scoop this morning ...

The BILLS are deep on defense...They had plenty of injuries that gave the 2nd and 3rd units playing time earlier in the season...My concern would clearly be on the other side of the Ball ..McDermott has taken some heat this week for playing the starters too long the last 2 weeks ...Vs Denver Diggs and Tre White left limping , vs NE they lost Cole Beasley and some believe he will be out for at least 2-4 weeks !!! John Brown was activated and Kenny Stills was signed this week ...

CAREFUL TYLER KROFT has tested positive , and obviously there might be some players added to the exposure list this morning !!!! 

BEST OF HEALTH,BLESSINGS, AND LUCK TO ALL COVERS BROTHERS AND SISTERS....

@DoubleUp4Life

 The line has dropped from 4.5 to 1.5. vegas thinks bills will rest starters for most of the game. I'm inclined to agree. 

WEEK 16. 3-3.- $317.60

Thankfully the BILLS bailed out my Sunday losses ...That was only the 4th losing week of the season....Could have been much worse as I was down $1100 going into Monday night...( Thankfully BILLS player and game props were spot on ) .

NFL YTD

32-18-1. +$5697.53 . OR + 28.459+ UNITS

1 UNIT = $200

This business is tough sledding , I'm ecstatically Lucky to have won $$$ 12 OUT OF 16 WEEKS this season

26-6 on the winning weeks , and absolutely horrible on 3 of the 4 losing weeks ...SO tread carefully!!! 

Yes I could see them reating players as well ...But who ?? And how much ?? 

Id bet the oddsmakers have NO CLUE 

Earlier in the week it sounded like the starters would play 1-2 quarters ( almost pounded BILLS first half bet) ...

Now I'm not so sure ...Its a total crapshoot ...

As our Good Brother Thorpe mentioned BILLS first half / Dolphins 2nd half at +750 might have good value ...

Best of luck Brother 

I'll be posting everything I hear or read this morning in this thread !!! 

I would imagine the Bills winning this game and knock the Dolphins out. I still think the Colts will manage to sneak in with that help and Rivers gets a ticket to the dance.

NFL FUTURES. +$6,106. ( + pending wagers)

BUFFALO BILLS TO WIN AFC EAST +450

$1140/5,130. WINNER

Bet this as posted before the trade for Diggs . This Bet was the key to having a profitable NFL futures season ...The PATS declined as expected,  but I must say I'm a bit shocked at the Dolphins success..Miami is sitting pretty in the draft and Cap as well ....The JETS recent winning streak has me wondering if theyll stick with Darnold or draft Fields at #2 ??? I cant remember the last good Ohio st NFL QB ...

BUFFALO BILLS TO WIN AFC +1600
$312.50/$5000

Defense is playing much better the last 9 games .Probably need a miracle to beat the NFL'S GOLDEN GOOSE = KC CHIEFS though .

To Play in AFC CHAMPIONSHIP +475

$420/$1,995

BILLS MAFIA will have 6,700 fans in attendance for the playoff games ..Dont underestimate what that will do for the players on the field...

To meet in Super Bowl
BILLS VS

COWBOYS 177.50-1. $17.30. Anything is possible I guess 

BEARS. 288-1. $10.70.  Only in 2020 would they still be alive at this point .

BUCCANEERS 390-1. $8.50. Heating up at right time...

CARDINALS 526-1. 8.80. That was a tough loss..

SKYRATS 130-1. $19.70. Defense has shown up last 2 games ..Could be real dangerous in the playoffs. 

Skyrats. 133- . $7.70

Vikings 225-1. $14.20. WHY DID I BET THEM

Falcons 275-1. $9.75. This team chokes like no other ..

Aints 96-1. $11.15. BIG WIN

SAINTS 86-1. $12.

SF 49ERS UNDER 10.5 WINS -120

$600/500. Winner

Wanted double this amount down , but ran out of available cash before week 1 ..Division got better and injuries were devastating...

STEELERS to win North +400

$125/500. WINNER

That win might help their confidence moving forward ...The missing LB'S are massive losses, if some come back for the playoffs I'll probably be on the STEELERS vs anyone in the first round except the Ravens ..

To REACH NFC CHAMPIONSHIP

SAINTS +240. $300/720

Very nice win over the Vikings ....Wonder what theyll be laying to either Bears or Cards ??? 7.5+ ???...I'll probably FADE the Saints with the BEARS if catching a TD...

PATRIOTS to MISS playoffs +140

$360/504. WINNER

Enjoy watching each of their losses on ALL 22...Bellicheat slamming and throwing the phone on MNF  was the funniest thing I've seen all season .

WASHINGTON DC TO WIN NFC EAST +250

$420/1,050

Alex Smith is the real league MVP ..This squad MIGHT have only won 1 game without him ..A win tonight would be perfect for the WWF soap opera story line ..

Hedge

DALLAS COWBOYS +1400

$72/1008

Hats off for one of the worst head coaches in the game actually winning a few games...Loads of talent at the skill positions...Defense can only get better, right???

I have reoccurring nightmares that Andy Dalton beats my BILLS in the Super Bowl ...Its SUPER BOWL 27 and 28 all over again...He thanks the BILLS MAFIA  for donating all that money they donated 3 years to his charity.....To this day i still wake up out of a deep sleep and say " FACK THE COWBOYS " out load ...lol 

BOL BUDDY 

My bro is also holding a Washington football ticket to win the NFC for $5000. He did some hedging yesterday. I'm up early excited for the last full week of the NFL. Let's cash !

EARLY GUESSES on AFC WILD CARD round POINT SPREADS ..

These are guesses of the oddsmakers lines , NOT my predictions .

BILLS vs 

RAVENS 4

TITANS 6

COLTS 7

BROWNS 7.5

DOLPHINS 10

STEELERS  vs 

RAVENS -1.5

TITANS -4

COLTS -5

BROWNS -5

DOLPHINS -7 

TITANS. vs

RAVENS  +0.5

COLTS  -3.5

BROWNS -4

DOLPHINS -6

COLTS vs 

RAVENS +1.5

TITANS  -1

BROWNS -3.5

DOLPHINS -4.5/5

@RIZIN_MMA

 Old Man Rivers is on the Q list, - Jags +14.5 - That's a big number to cover

Week 17 Wagers 

Nothing bigger than 1.5 units ...I'm simply looking to spread some money around and satisfy my DEGEN cravings without much risk..

DALLAS COWBOYS OVER 22.5 

$360/300.  1.5 UNITS 

Weather should be light rain , with possible moderate rain after half time ..Whatever that means ??? Lol ...2 teams going in opposite directions .Daniel Jones hasn't thrown a INT in 5 games ( He's due ) ..Pollard and Elliot run wild !?!?!?!?

The OHIO PARLAY  +125

$200/250 

BENGALS +14.5 -130 

BROWNS -1 -375 

Bengals have been playing good football ..Possible scenario where the Ravens rest some starters late if leading ?   After taking a few tokes I'm also putting a few coins on the Bengals ML ...

   BROWNS should win , but will they ?? My numbers have them-475 on the ML ..

OVER 42 CARDINALS AT RAMS 

$218/200.  1 unit 

How much worse could Wolford possibly be than Goff ??? Instead of trying to guess what the NFL wants here , I'll play the over in a game that could end 12-9....This is probably a donation , but for some reason the score chart has 51 ...

* MORE STANDARD PLAYS to follow around noon ...Waiting to see possible inactives and any additional info on starters in BILLS vs Dolphins.game...Also would like to hear from the large local who his bettors top 2 or 3 plays are ..As his bettors are 2-12 over the last 7 weeks ..

Smaller plays that count in money won/lost , but NOT in overall record...

BILLS FIRST HALF / DOLPHINS 2ND HALF +700

$60/$420

Piggy backing Thorpe on this one ..

NO BUSINESS COVERING PARLAY +237

$50/118.50

Jaguars +14.5 -120

Panthers +6 -121 

Buying the half in both ..If I had the stones of throw a little on Panthers Alt line as well 

PACKERS Win by 1-6 points +250

$50/125

BEARS +4 -107

$53.50/50

Want to bet the Bears for more , but Rodgers burned $682 of my roll on Sinday night..

BENGALS ML +600

$17/102

Expect the unexpected in week 17 ?

I'm open to all scenarios today Brother ...

If I wasn't a complete DEGENERATE and up decent money I would NOT be betting this weeks card ...

ODDSMAKERS appear very sharp to me ...

Best of luck Brother 

Hope Washington cashes easy tonight ...

May you sweep your board today $$$$BROTHER 

What do you like ???

@DoubleUp4Life

PANTHERS

Broncos

Rams

Bengals

Falcons

Jets Jets Jets

Proud to post on your thread 

Half the Philly team is sitting this one out:

"Defensive linemen Fletcher Cox and Derek Barnett, linebackers Shaun Bradley and Duke Riley, tight ends Dallas Goedert and Richard Rodgers, defensive back Jalen Mills, running back Miles Sanders, left tackle Jordan Mailata, and wide receiver DeSean Jackson will all be sidelined for the season finale, while cornerback Michael Jacquet is questionable with a calf injury."

Some big names in there.  

Jeff Darlington tweeted 

Based on my conversations here in Buffalo, some info: The Bills are keeping their plans for the starters close to the vest, and there’s a few different factors in play, but the most important thing to understand... They want the 2 seed.

Waiting for 

Buffalo Bills beat reporter Sal Cappaccio who will be on Miani radio at 10:15 am

I don't think there is much mystery here.  They will play the first half to win.  Then reevaluate at half.  If the Bills are up 3 scores and Pitt is behind 3 scores then we'll see the second unit.  Even if Pitt is behind by 35, I don't think the Bills will try to let Miami win for playoff positioning. Bills are a deep team, Barkley is a good backup, Tua has looked terrible of late, Bills want to win this game and knock Miami out of the playoffs - there is a good chance the Bills are up big at half and hold on to win outright, but I still like the long odds on Bills/Miami half/full

Agree with Thorpe on Bills strategy.  Your prop is a great play.  I am throwing a few pennies on that one.

Also like the Rams Zona over play.  I had the exact same reaction when I saw that O/U early in the week.  Total contrarian play, but think about Zona's best chance to win: shoot-out... bombs away...  make LA have to score in the 20's to win.  LA likes to win 19-17 type games, not 31-28.

Also like Bungles - see you have them in what appears to be a "Wake and Bake Ohio" parlay... 

Also like:

SF +7

JETS +3

Dallas -1 (Full Disclosure: this is partially an anti-Homer play, so the game is a "win-win" scenario for me.  watching it with a bunch of Cowboy fans, to boot)

Best of Luck All...!!! 

BILLS INACTIVES 

TRE WHITE ,JERRY HUGHES and Mario ADDISON  ...Thank god these 3 are sitting ...DE is loaded with thirsty players. quality depth ..I wish the BILLS sat at least 7+ more starters...

BEASLEY.  I think he'll miss at least one playoff game as well ...

I'm SHOCKED they only have 5 WRS and 7 O LINEMAN DRESSED !!!   Appears to me they are playing to WIN THE GAME !!! 

JOSH ALLEN NEEDS  ONLY 40 YARDS to BREAK the FRANCHISE RECORD...One of Buffalo beats sources believes ALLEN will ONLY PLAY 2-4 SERIES 

The BILLS sound  amped up to sweep the division...Barber said each player he talked to mentioned knocking Miami out , going undefeated in the division,  and finishing 7-1 at home...(;For whatever it's worth???)

Huge advantage for the BILLS this season is they've practiced outside far more than usual ..How will Tua like the BILLS blitzes in the damp conditions???   

All that being said , NO RESULT WOULD SHOCK ME !!

I'm adding some props 

I actually really like Bills 1st half bet!! Full game bet getting 3.5. I know you are the Bills expert but I think the bills are just that much better of a team.

Large local says people are hammering the Cardinals -2.5 , Up to 3 , despite only being -0.5 at casino ..He said a slew of big bettors are all in on the Cardinals ...

Packers -4/-4.5/-5/-5.5 money is pouring in....Packers are getting upwards of 80% of the money..

I'm on your Bills. 10 minutes till football, there's no laying down in football 

Week 17 Wagers

Nothing bigger than 1.5 units ...I'm simply looking to spread some money around and satisfy my DEGEN cravings without much risk..

DALLAS COWBOYS OVER 22.5

$360/300. 1.5 UNITS

Weather should be light rain , with possible moderate rain after half time ..Whatever that means ??? Lol ...2 teams going in opposite directions .Daniel Jones hasn't thrown a INT in 5 games ( He's due ) ..Pollard and Elliot run wild !?!?!?!?

The OHIO PARLAY +125

$200/250

BENGALS +14.5 -130

BROWNS -1 -375

Bengals have been playing good football ..Possible scenario where the Ravens rest some starters late if leading ? After taking a few tokes I'm also putting a few coins on the Bengals ML ...

BROWNS should win , but will they ?? My numbers have them-475 on the ML ..

OVER 42 CARDINALS AT RAMS

$330/300.   1.5 units 

How much worse could Wolford possibly be than Goff ??? Instead of trying to guess what the NFL wants here , I'll play the over in a game that could end 12-9....This is probably a donation , but for some reason the score chart has 51 ...

* MORE STANDARD PLAYS to follow around 330 pm 

Smaller plays that count in money won/lost , but NOT in overall record...

BUFFALO BILLS 1ST HALF +2.5 -110

$83.60/76

DILPHINS FIRST HALF UNDER 11.5 -112 

$112/100

ANY OTHER BILLS TD +500

$50/250 

Look for Antonio William's to get some bubble at RB..

BILLS FIRST HALF / DOLPHINS 2ND HALF +700

$60/$420

Piggy backing Thorpe on this one ..Odds are down to +600 now 

Tie at half / BILLS 2MD HALF +2400

10/240

TIE AT HALF / PHINS 2ND HALF +1800

7/126

NO BUSINESS COVERING PARLAY +237

$50/118.50

Jaguars +14.5 -120

Panthers +6 -121

Buying the half in both ..If I had the stones of throw a little on Panthers Alt line as well

PACKERS Win by 1-6 points +250

$50/125

BEARS +4 -107

$53.50/50

Want to bet the Bears for more , but Rodgers burned $682 of my roll on Sinday night..

BENGALS ML +600

$17/102

Expect the unexpected in week 17 ?

We're on the same page ...Who Knows though ...

I could care less if they win this game ...

HEALTH for the PLAYOFFS is my ONLY CONCERN!!!

Barkley will get the best 7 O lineman in front of him ...Hope to see him sooner than later..

...I probably should have stayed away ...But the risk is small today anyways Financially 

Those anti Homer bets are often the best Basicallyna WIN/WIN ..I MISS watching games with fans from other teams ...

To be honest I've made way more money FADING the BILLS and especially the SABRES over the years ....When you're wrong it's not the worst thing ..lol ..

Was definitely baked this morning with the Ohio parlay ..Its that obvious ..

Definitely against the grain on OVER in Rams vs Cardinals ..no result would surprise though ...

Sweep your board $$$$  BROTHER 

My gut likes your other 2 plays as well ...I couldn't put 3 cents on the 49ers ,usually means they win by 24+..