WK2 Thread, YTD 5-2-1 +12U

FYI :    Not saying you will lose,  but System bet is 14-1 when betting against a team that traveled week 1 and then traveled again week 2 to the other teams home opener.       Good Luck

Adding MIA +20 1x

DAL -3 -155 3x...the public is heavy on Dallas which always makes me nervous, but this team is really freaking good, still underrated, WAS without Guice, I can’t resist

SF`s defensive strenghts are mainly against the run. They struggle against WR, especially fast ones facing Sherman, and any piece average joe playing the slot. That average joe this week is Tyler Boyd. 

On the other hand, you have a Cincy defense that was underrated and proved so in the 1st week. I beg to differ Rick. 

TrusttheNumbers I agree with your picks and I also agree the 49ers will win this game and this will be one of my biggest bets this season. I had the 49ers ML last week.

However, I don't buy the Colts winning this game or covering.  The Titans defense is legit for real and so is their offense as long as Mariota doesn't turn it over.  The Colts have a bend but don't break defense that the Titans can easily gain yards in meanwhile the Titans pass defense may be the best in the league.  Brissett struggled to pass the ball other than short completions vs a banged-up Chargers defense.  I will be on Titans -3 hard here.  Titans may have the best defense in the league and we are getting beautiful odds here against an average offense.

My friend, the 49ers pass defense put on a show against the Bucs.  The Bucs led the league last season in passing yards per game but got completely shut out against the 49ers secondary.  Now you may say the secondary isn't that great and you may be right but the 49ers front 7 is elite which only helps the secondary even more.   Cincy has little chance of winning this game.  49ers didn't even fly back home and went straight to Ohio thus taking away what little advantage the Bengals had against a West Coast team playing at 1 pm.  Jimmy G and the passing offense had a horrific game but that's understandable given the fact that he's coming off an ACL injury and same as Watson last season is starting a bit slow.  He will only get better as the season continues.

Agree that Cin defense was underrated going into the year, I think it’ll be a close game. Cinch offense isn’t good and big coaching edge in favor of SF in my opinion. Could go either way, but think the 49ers have a >50% chance to win, they will find creative ways to score. 

Youre smoking crack if you think WAS beats DAL, would generally be looking at WAS side for a game like this but they really are lacking for talent and DAL is going to emerge as a top 5 team this year.

im most nervous about TEN game, but IND offensive line is going to win out and move the ball. I laid on IND here because of known unknowns, three main factors:

-IND offense underrated without Luck

-TEN couldn’t have looked better in week 1, suckers always overweight a one game sample.

-Public is riding TEN here and the line isn’t budging, that leads me to believe the big money is on IND to cover

Just my thoughts

ADDING

BUF -1.5 2x...not a great spot, but believe they shutdown the Giants offense, better team period.

ATL ML 1x...small on this one because Im not an ATL believer but the spot is simply too ripe. ATL offense at home could bust out and Eagles defense is soft so far. Coin flip game with +odds

Agree with 49ers analysis. 

If you are considering Miami and the points like I am maybe the best play there is the over. Fins are terrible but they always play hard against their division rival Patriots. 18+ os perhaps the largest home dog in 20 years.

if Fins score 14+ points at home this can easily con over. The Pats will score there is no doubt on that, the question is hoy many points will the Fins score at home. Is a nice let down spot for a Pats defense who are coming of shutting down the steelers.

im on Carolina tonight -6.5 and will add Sunday picks later on my thread, leaning Bears, Seahawks, Saints, Falcons, Browns. I always post and add my notes. Would appreciate your feedback

main reason I like MIA here is that I don’t think Patriots will be motivated to run up the score, to that end the under is more interesting to me. Will check your thread.

BOL Trust 

Thanks for replying and trying to discuss. This is what this shitty forum needs. I admit I did not know that SF did not go back... that is a plus, but being 10 days straight on the road isn`t exactly ideal. 
Last year Tampa ha inflated passing yard numbers since they trailed most of the time. A lot of those yards are from garbage time. And also, this year, they lost Adam Humphries and Desean Jackson. Additionally, they played with a banged up Evans, whose face and gestures made it seem as if it was apendicitis and not a stomach bug. 

I can`t wish you luck -since that would mean that I lose my bet- but hope you keep posting! Cheers

Honestly guys, travel is a real thing, it matters but early in the season I just don’t think it’s worth more than 1 point on the spread, if that, on top of normal home field. It’s all about how rested and recovered teams are. That’s injuries, coaching, days off, travel and wear and tear. A lot of players still relatively fresh at this point 

Doubling up on MIA +20 (now 2x)

adding Raiders +7 1x

Full Card:

SF +103 ML 4x

IND +150 ML 3x

DAL -3 -155 3x

BUF -1.5 2x

MIA +20 -120 2x

ATL +110 ML 1x

Forgot to include OAK +7 1x

NE/MIA u48 1x

How did you get dallas minus 3 its 6 on my book? Just curious 

heavy juice -155 if you missed that, got it when it was -5

6-2 +11U