No plays yesterday. Play from Monday busted on FLA not being able to score but almost every game going over.
I think more of the same tonight. No games scheduled for the Thanksgiving holiday I am thinking lots of goal scoring tonight.
That being said I have two games that meet enough metrics to put a play on, as well as several honorable mention games that I do believe have potential to get over the 5.5 total if you can buy alternative totals.
First period O1.5 plays were VERY lucrative Monday night for those who played them.
For today:
The highest rated play on the spread sheet is:
VGK/COL - 79.17% O5.5/72.16% O6/65.15% O6.5
VGK O5.5 7 of L10/COL O5.5 6 of L10.
These teams are averaging 7 total goals per game this season.
The one metric that worries me is only 3 of L10 meetings between these two teams have gone O5.5 indicating they play tighter defense against each other.
However, the goalies for both teams tonight have not been great lately and their GAA could spell an O5.5 AND the 1P O1.5.
The next highest rated game on the spread sheet with enough indicators to play is:
MON/CBJ - 70.95% O5.5/68.48% O6.0/66.01% O6.5
Total AVG GPG 6.5
7 of L10 meetings between these two teams have gone O5.5
MON 4 of L10 O5.5/CBJ 9 of L10 O5.5.
Once again, I also like the 1P O1.5.
The GAA for the starting goalies tonight makes this match up probably my favorite of the two.
Honorable mentions:
TOR/FLA - 68.78% O5.5/60% O6/51.33% O6.5/AVG 5.5 TGPG/MU L10 O 5.5 3/AWAY L10 O5.5 3/HOME L10 O5.5 6
MIN/BUF - 67.63 O5.5/57.12% O6/46.60% O6.5/AVG 5.5 TGPG/MU L10 O5.5 3/AWAY L10 O5.5 6/HOME L10 O5.5 6
STL/NJD - 60.39 O5.5/52.82% O6/45.35% O6.5/AVG 5.5 TGPG/MU L10 O5.5 5/AWAY L10 O5.5 5/HOME L10 O5.5 5
Other games with Over 5.5 multiple indicators, that may be viable O5.5 based on goalie match ups and recent play (** - Indicates a stat I find positive, ~ a stat I find negative):
NYR/CAR - 59.64% O5.5/50.63% O6/41.61% O6.5/AVG 5.5 TGPG/MU L10 O5.5 5**/AWAY L10 O5.5 6**/HOME L10 O5.5 6**
WAS/TBL - 57.08% O5.5/50.16% O6/43.23% O6.5/AVG 6.0 TGPG**/MU L10 O5.5 6**/AWAY L10 O5.5 6**/HOME L10 O5.5 5
BOS/NYI - 56.28% O5.5/50.14% O6/44% O6.5/AVG 5.0 TGPG~/MU L10 O5.5 7**/AWAY L10 O5.5 3/HOME L10 O5.5 6**
PHI/NAS - 56% O5.5/48.86% O6/42% O6.5/AVG 5.5 TGPG/MU L10 O 5.5 4~/AWAY L10 O5.5 6**/HOME L10 O5.5 3~
VAN/PIT - 56% O5.5/47.59% O6/39.18% O6.5/AVG 6.0 TGPG**/MU L10 O5.5 6/AWAY L10 O5.5 7**/HOME L10 O5.5 7**
As goalies are announced and lines are adjusted throughout the day (will be monitoring while fishing and I will get some plays in on some of these games later today.
Leans for now:
VGK/COL O5.5 -220/O6.5-120/1PO1.5 -150*** #1 PLAY FROM SPREAD SHEET***
MON/CBJ O5.5 -220/O6.5 -120/1PO1.5 -150 ***#2 PLAY FROM SPREAD SHEET***
TOR/FLA O5.5 -115/1PO1.5 -110
MIN/BUF O5.5 -135/1PO15 -115
STL/NJD O5.5 -150/1PO1.5 -125
NYR/CAR O5.5 -210/1PO1.5 -135
WAS/TBL O5.5 -160/1PO1.5 -130
VAN/PIT O5.5 -165/1PO1.5 -135
BBL with whatever plays I put in! All lines are from BET365. Cheers everyone BOL with your plays!