Posted:
#1
Once again a Brickwall Alert in the Pens game. I had one for the Jets and Blues, but don't advise it at this point.
Now, lets have a little history time. How exactly does a team do when leading 3-0. We have both sides here, one on the road up 3-0 and one at home up 3-0.
Now before we go any further, I always ignore win order but consider site order
TB at Jackets
Surely the home team can win the game for the sweep ?
Well yes, that is usually what happens. If you take overall and Preliminary games the home team wins at a 67.6% clip. But the Jackets are a +115 dog today 
So the books are still playing the TB just has to win angle today. Talk about huge value in taking the Jackets !!!
So the books are still playing the TB just has to win angle today. Talk about huge value in taking the Jackets !!!Isles at Pens
Surely the home team can win one game and avoid the sweep ?
History says don't count on it. Here the home team only wins at a 41.35% rate. Again the books are way off the mark here. But remember they want a line that will split the public not what they actually think the line should be. So of course the Pens are a public team and even non hockey fans know of the Pens and think they should win. The Isles are +150 dogs !! 
. So take that dog money and run !!
. So take that dog money and run !!0
On a survivor streak it would be a bit risky.
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