Posted:
#1
Plenty of hockey talk, but first thing, its great to see you back Vanbuck. It's a process and even after a year and a half I am still dealing with it. But this forum is a great diversion. 
The Rangers close things out, look for a coaching change next season in Penland. Maybe pencil Babcock in there. The Sens have told the Habs they will not roll over. The Wild are taking the Blues to the brink, Dubnyk (Wild goaltender) is either off or on, there is no inbetween. Bounced back from a horrible game to just playing stellar last night.
If the Blues tank again this year there will probably be major changes there. This would be 3 years in a row they were knocked out in the first round and 1 out of the last 12 seasons they didn't make the playoffs or didn't get past the first round
Chicago and Calgary can both close things out tonight at home, being up 3-2. In this situation home teams get it done more often than not. When teams are at home with a chance to close out in this situation, win at around a 61% rate, although the preliminary round is a bit lower at 59%
What about the Isles trying to stave off elimination at home for game 6 ? Well historically it's a bit less less than 50%. They are -125 faves, so not really a good spot to take them.
How about TB being tied 2-2 with a chance to go up at home. Well that is a very nice 63% clip. And with TB coming back to stun the Wings like they did last game I really like this wager. Now also it's very telling that the books have TB at a huge -190 clip. If you are a value player TB should not be this big of a fave. If you are going by the 63% historical clip then its major value by taking the +170.
But remember you have to cap each game and just use this info as a tool.
But also remember, if you ignore history you will be defeated by it 
shimmersun 1-0 (2-0 run, +2.50)
MikeyAces 1-0 (8-2 run, +5.80)
sportschat 0-0 (Won last 2 games)
CollectNOW 0-0 (170-119 run)
Culls17 1-2 (18-5 run +13.25)
GASportsDoc 0-1 (49-28 run)
UnderDogs1979 0-1 (26-33 run, +26.07)
Crazy_Train 0-1 (49-35 run +10.23)
mags4444 0-1 (+.53)
2LEGIT2QUITU 0-1 (101-54 run)
BooBunny 0-1 (18-12 run, +7.03 units)
invite2insight 0-1 (31-18 run +12.85 units)
VANBUCK 0-3 (+10.36)
Did not make picks (Need to make a pick by Saturday)
RayRayK 0-1 (60-36 run, +7.35 units)
vicb 2-1 (22-18 run +8.91)
ATSLurker 3-4 (39-27 run, +10.40)
Chaka26 2-4 (27-32 run +2.68)
LuckySeven27 1-3 (13-6 run, +7.85)
Washington at N.Y. Islanders 3:00 pm NBC
Detroit at Tampa Bay 6:00 pm NBCS
Nashville at Chicago 8:00 pm NBC
Vancouver at Calgary 9:00 pm NBCS
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