Time to stop fading the Ottawa overs as their offense has gone ice cold scoring only 4 over the last 3 games, two of which hit OT and at the same time their crappy goaltending suddenly think they're All-World stopping 35 of 36, 42 of 44 and tonight 33 of 36. Game flow hasn't been a problem as again tonight we had 62 combined SOG with another 29 blocked so the shot opportunities have been there, but the goals have failed to happen. Called the Buffalo win so was on the right side there, but unfortunately trying to reduce the juice cost me.
Today: 3-2 +$60.00
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WIN -1 1/2 +105
WIN TT O 3 1/2 -135
OTT/NASH over 6 -115
BUFF -1/2 -125
WASH -1 1/2 -115
Time to stop fading the Ottawa overs as their offense has gone ice cold scoring only 4 over the last 3 games, two of which hit OT and at the same time their crappy goaltending suddenly think they're All-World stopping 35 of 36, 42 of 44 and tonight 33 of 36. Game flow hasn't been a problem as again tonight we had 62 combined SOG with another 29 blocked so the shot opportunities have been there, but the goals have failed to happen. Called the Buffalo win so was on the right side there, but unfortunately trying to reduce the juice cost me.
My non-posted bets continue to win as I hit on VGK -152 and CHI +152 so far today (putting me at 7-0 non-posted), but not looking good after the 4-goal 2nd period in the DAL/ANA under 5 1/2 -130 bet.
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My non-posted bets continue to win as I hit on VGK -152 and CHI +152 so far today (putting me at 7-0 non-posted), but not looking good after the 4-goal 2nd period in the DAL/ANA under 5 1/2 -130 bet.
My non-posted bets continue to win as I hit on VGK -152 and CHI +152 so far today (putting me at 7-0 non-posted), but not looking good after the 4-goal 2nd period in the DAL/ANA under 5 1/2 -130 bet.
Chicago can't lose em all.
NBA NHL MLB
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Quote Originally Posted by NYBartender:
My non-posted bets continue to win as I hit on VGK -152 and CHI +152 so far today (putting me at 7-0 non-posted), but not looking good after the 4-goal 2nd period in the DAL/ANA under 5 1/2 -130 bet.
My non-posted bets continue to win as I hit on VGK -152 and CHI +152 so far today (putting me at 7-0 non-posted), but not looking good after the 4-goal 2nd period in the DAL/ANA under 5 1/2 -130 bet.
Chicago can't lose em all.
That and the Penguins being, as usual, highly overrated by Vegas. I remember last year around this time I took Colorado at home +165 over Pittsburgh for a nice home dog win. Already cashed on Buffalo as +155 road dogs against them also. Pens will provide very nice betting opportunities until they really turn things around. And they're one of those teams the general public just loves so it helps.
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Quote Originally Posted by mountaincaribou:
Quote Originally Posted by NYBartender:
My non-posted bets continue to win as I hit on VGK -152 and CHI +152 so far today (putting me at 7-0 non-posted), but not looking good after the 4-goal 2nd period in the DAL/ANA under 5 1/2 -130 bet.
Chicago can't lose em all.
That and the Penguins being, as usual, highly overrated by Vegas. I remember last year around this time I took Colorado at home +165 over Pittsburgh for a nice home dog win. Already cashed on Buffalo as +155 road dogs against them also. Pens will provide very nice betting opportunities until they really turn things around. And they're one of those teams the general public just loves so it helps.
BUF -152 The Sabres got back in the win column after a come-from-behind victory on home ice to snap their 5-game losing streak. I said they were due for a clunker then a win and now I’m following that up with a bigger win here. Arizona has possibly lost Raanta for the season and will turn the full-time starter’s role to Darcy Kuemper, who owns an .895 road Save%. Carter Hutton gets the nod here for Buffalo and at home this year he’s posted an 8-2-1 record with a .925 Save% and 2.43 GAA and gets to stop pucks from the 28 ranked offense with a bottom 4 team shooting percentage.
TOR/TB over 6 ½ -130 Toronto comes into Tampa with the #3 ranked offense in the league and have won 6 of their last 8 games while scoring 35 goals (4.37). Tampa owns the #1 ranked offense and is on a tear having won 7-straight scoring 37 goals in that time (5.28). They’ve scored 4 or more in 6 of those 7 games with the lone exception being 3 goals against Boston. Vasileskiy is making his return from injury here and could be a tad bit rusty to start.
NASH -1/2 -140 Revenge play here as The Canucks embarrassed Nashville in Canada a few games back. Nashville on home ice, despite injuries, play with a bit more pride here against a very talent barren team.
0
2017-18 Overall 272-227 +$5517.00
2018-19 Overall 72-73 +$117.00
12/10-12/16 6-2 +$360.00
BUF -152 The Sabres got back in the win column after a come-from-behind victory on home ice to snap their 5-game losing streak. I said they were due for a clunker then a win and now I’m following that up with a bigger win here. Arizona has possibly lost Raanta for the season and will turn the full-time starter’s role to Darcy Kuemper, who owns an .895 road Save%. Carter Hutton gets the nod here for Buffalo and at home this year he’s posted an 8-2-1 record with a .925 Save% and 2.43 GAA and gets to stop pucks from the 28 ranked offense with a bottom 4 team shooting percentage.
TOR/TB over 6 ½ -130 Toronto comes into Tampa with the #3 ranked offense in the league and have won 6 of their last 8 games while scoring 35 goals (4.37). Tampa owns the #1 ranked offense and is on a tear having won 7-straight scoring 37 goals in that time (5.28). They’ve scored 4 or more in 6 of those 7 games with the lone exception being 3 goals against Boston. Vasileskiy is making his return from injury here and could be a tad bit rusty to start.
NASH -1/2 -140 Revenge play here as The Canucks embarrassed Nashville in Canada a few games back. Nashville on home ice, despite injuries, play with a bit more pride here against a very talent barren team.
VAN TT under 2 ½ -125 Sticking with the idea that Nashville will play a much more inspired game here on home ice against a team that took it to them not long ago, I expect the defense and Pekke Rinne to not take a shift off when it comes to shutting down the Vancouver offense.
EDM/WIN over 6 -120 Cam Talbot gets the nod here in Winnipeg and he’s lost his starting job while being very average with an .895 Save% and 3.12 GAA. He runs into a Jets offense that is 5 in the league and if you throw out the anomaly that was the 0-1 loss to St. Louis, this offense has been on fire, scoring 41 in their other previous 8 games (5.12). Meanwhile the Oilers offense has shown some signs of life scoring 16 goals on their current 4-game winning streak (4.00).
WIN TT O 3 ½ -115 Cam Talbot on the road versus a red-hot offense
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VAN TT under 2 ½ -125 Sticking with the idea that Nashville will play a much more inspired game here on home ice against a team that took it to them not long ago, I expect the defense and Pekke Rinne to not take a shift off when it comes to shutting down the Vancouver offense.
EDM/WIN over 6 -120 Cam Talbot gets the nod here in Winnipeg and he’s lost his starting job while being very average with an .895 Save% and 3.12 GAA. He runs into a Jets offense that is 5 in the league and if you throw out the anomaly that was the 0-1 loss to St. Louis, this offense has been on fire, scoring 41 in their other previous 8 games (5.12). Meanwhile the Oilers offense has shown some signs of life scoring 16 goals on their current 4-game winning streak (4.00).
WIN TT O 3 ½ -115 Cam Talbot on the road versus a red-hot offense
TOR/TB over 6 1/2 -130 So much for Alphabet being rusty.
NASH -1/2 -140
VAN TT under 2 1/2 -125
EDM/WIN over 6 -120
WIN TT over 3 1/2 -115
This SHOULD have be a 6-0 night and yet somehow its a negative one. Furious over how things ended up here.
Vas stood on his head robbing the over out from under me and a short handed goal blew up my night in a game Nashville completely controlled. Really really annoyed.
Today: 3-3 -$95.00 bull...shit
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BUF -152
TOR/TB over 6 1/2 -130 So much for Alphabet being rusty.
NASH -1/2 -140
VAN TT under 2 1/2 -125
EDM/WIN over 6 -120
WIN TT over 3 1/2 -115
This SHOULD have be a 6-0 night and yet somehow its a negative one. Furious over how things ended up here.
Vas stood on his head robbing the over out from under me and a short handed goal blew up my night in a game Nashville completely controlled. Really really annoyed.
A scoreless third period, 70 combined SOG with another 39 blocked...again, made the right call and didn't get the results. What annoys me is the big factor of Vas being rusty being the part that slapped me in the face.
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A scoreless third period, 70 combined SOG with another 39 blocked...again, made the right call and didn't get the results. What annoys me is the big factor of Vas being rusty being the part that slapped me in the face.
WASH -133 After a 7-game winning streak turned into a short 2-game slide, the Caps righted the ship and have gone on to win their last 3 by a combined 14-4 margin. Whoever gets the nod in goal here for the Caps isn’t the big factor as Carolina holds the worst team shooting percentage in the league. What matters more is the projected start of Scott Darling, who has not been the goalie Carolina hoped for when they signed him—he runs out an .892 Save% and 3.14 GAA against the Caps #2 ranked offense. Darling has also allowed 8 goals in his last two starts.
ARZ/NYR under 6 -112 Adin Hill has three road starts under his belt. His stats away from Arizona? .983 Save% and 0.43 GAA. Not saying his splits are a trend for him but they do look nice in this small sample size. San Jose and Washington both got to him for a combined 7 goals but this NY offense isn’t like those two and comes in ranked #26 in the league. For Henrik Lundqvist, who has held the Rangers on his back this year, he faces Arizona’s #28 ranked offense and when tending net in MSG, The King has a .936 Save% and 2.06 GAA
ARZ TT under 2 ½ +105 I mentioned Lundqvist’s home stats above and now I’ll add in the fact that in those 12 home games he has held the opposition to under 3 goals 9 times for a 75% cash rate on this type of bet.
WIN/CHI over 6 ½ -110 Expecting a let down here after Chicago finally got the big win against Pittsburgh. Ending those long losing streaks always takes a lot of pressure off the shoulders of players but also leads to the inevitable relapse loss. And with the Jets coming in filling the opposing goals with pucks, it should lead us to a high scoring game again. Winnipeg has the #4 ranked offense in the league and has gone 8-2 in their last 10. If you throw out the one shutout loss to the Blues, they’ve been on fire the other nine games, scoring 46 goals (5.11)
0
2017-18 Overall 272-227 +$5517.00
2018-19 Overall 75-76 +$22.00
12/10-12/16 9-5 +$265.00
WASH -133 After a 7-game winning streak turned into a short 2-game slide, the Caps righted the ship and have gone on to win their last 3 by a combined 14-4 margin. Whoever gets the nod in goal here for the Caps isn’t the big factor as Carolina holds the worst team shooting percentage in the league. What matters more is the projected start of Scott Darling, who has not been the goalie Carolina hoped for when they signed him—he runs out an .892 Save% and 3.14 GAA against the Caps #2 ranked offense. Darling has also allowed 8 goals in his last two starts.
ARZ/NYR under 6 -112 Adin Hill has three road starts under his belt. His stats away from Arizona? .983 Save% and 0.43 GAA. Not saying his splits are a trend for him but they do look nice in this small sample size. San Jose and Washington both got to him for a combined 7 goals but this NY offense isn’t like those two and comes in ranked #26 in the league. For Henrik Lundqvist, who has held the Rangers on his back this year, he faces Arizona’s #28 ranked offense and when tending net in MSG, The King has a .936 Save% and 2.06 GAA
ARZ TT under 2 ½ +105 I mentioned Lundqvist’s home stats above and now I’ll add in the fact that in those 12 home games he has held the opposition to under 3 goals 9 times for a 75% cash rate on this type of bet.
WIN/CHI over 6 ½ -110 Expecting a let down here after Chicago finally got the big win against Pittsburgh. Ending those long losing streaks always takes a lot of pressure off the shoulders of players but also leads to the inevitable relapse loss. And with the Jets coming in filling the opposing goals with pucks, it should lead us to a high scoring game again. Winnipeg has the #4 ranked offense in the league and has gone 8-2 in their last 10. If you throw out the one shutout loss to the Blues, they’ve been on fire the other nine games, scoring 46 goals (5.11)
WIN -143 Jets doubled up Chicago last week and I can see the same thing happening here despite the revenge factor in play for Chicago. The revenge factor has more clout when it’s a weaker team having beaten a stronger team. The stronger team would want to come in and reassert themselves. Here, its just a better team in the Jets. And don’t let the win over highly over-rated Pittsburgh let you view The Hawks differently.
WIN TT O 3 ½ -115 Corey Crawford finally snapped a personal 8-game losing streak but still allowed 3 goals so now he’s allowed at LEAST 3 in his last nine starts and 4 or more in the other 5 starts during that streak.
EDM -123 Philly is having big trouble keeping the puck out of their own net. Stolarz gets the road call here and he gave up 4 goals in relief against The Jets then gave up six more in his last start against the Flames. As a team the Flyers are #29 in goals allowed and own the worst PK unit in the league. I don’t consider the Oilers a special team, but they’ve found their footing, having won 7 of 9 and the difference maker for them has been the play of Koskinen. Edmonton as a team has won 5-straight on home ice and only allowed 5 goals. Koskinen has won his last 4 in Edmonton and only allowed 3 goals.
Good luck, everyone! Out the door and off to work for the night!
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WIN -143 Jets doubled up Chicago last week and I can see the same thing happening here despite the revenge factor in play for Chicago. The revenge factor has more clout when it’s a weaker team having beaten a stronger team. The stronger team would want to come in and reassert themselves. Here, its just a better team in the Jets. And don’t let the win over highly over-rated Pittsburgh let you view The Hawks differently.
WIN TT O 3 ½ -115 Corey Crawford finally snapped a personal 8-game losing streak but still allowed 3 goals so now he’s allowed at LEAST 3 in his last nine starts and 4 or more in the other 5 starts during that streak.
EDM -123 Philly is having big trouble keeping the puck out of their own net. Stolarz gets the road call here and he gave up 4 goals in relief against The Jets then gave up six more in his last start against the Flames. As a team the Flyers are #29 in goals allowed and own the worst PK unit in the league. I don’t consider the Oilers a special team, but they’ve found their footing, having won 7 of 9 and the difference maker for them has been the play of Koskinen. Edmonton as a team has won 5-straight on home ice and only allowed 5 goals. Koskinen has won his last 4 in Edmonton and only allowed 3 goals.
Good luck, everyone! Out the door and off to work for the night!
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