Bovada NHL playoffs player props

Updating the late couple days of results:

Maple Leafs vs. Bruins
Patrick Marleau under 2.5 SOG -125 WIN
Mitch Marner under 2.5 SOG -110 LOSS
Zdeno Chara under 3 SOG -130 WIN

2-1, +0.9 u

Penguins vs. Capitals
Nicklas Backstrom under 2.5 SOG -110 WIN
Jake Guentzel under 3 SOG -115 PUSH
Sidney Crosby under 3.5 SOG -115 WIN
Alexander Ovechkin under 5 SOG -125 WIN
Evgeny Kuznetsov under 3.5 SOG +110 LOSS

Sharks vs. Golden Knights
Tomas Hertl under 3 SOG -130 LOSS
Joe Pavelski under 2.5 SOG +140 WIN
Logan Couture under 2.5 SOG +110 LOSS

4-3, +1.1 u

Overall: 223.7 u risked, 31.7 u profit, 14.2% ROI

Today's plays:

Jets vs. Predators
Blake Wheeler under 3 SOG -125
Mark Scheifele under 2.5 SOG -105
Patrik Laine under 3.5 SOG -115
Dustin Byfuglien under 3 SOG +110

Yesterday's results:

Jets vs. Predators
Blake Wheeler under 3 SOG -125 WIN
Mark Scheifele under 2.5 SOG -105 LOSS
Patrik Laine under 3.5 SOG -115 WIN
Dustin Byfuglien under 3 SOG +110 WIN

3-1, +1.95 u

Overall: 228.15 u risked, 33.65 u profit, 14.7% ROI

Today's plays:

Bruins vs. Lightning
David Pastrnak under 3.5 SOG +110
Brad Marchand under 3 SOG -110
Torey Krug under 3 SOG +110
Jake DeBrusk under 2.5 SOG -120
Zdeno Chara under 2.5 SOG +110
Yanni Gourde under 2.5 SOG -125
J.T. Miller under 2 SOG +130

Sharks vs. Golden Knights
James Neal udner 3 SOG -105
Tomas Herlt under 3 SOG -130
Joe Pavelski under 2.5 SOG +120
Chris Tierney under 2 SOG -115

Today's results:

Bruins vs. Lightning
David Pastrnak under 3.5 SOG +110 WIN
Brad Marchand under 3 SOG -110 WIN
Torey Krug under 3 SOG +110 WIN
Jake DeBrusk under 2.5 SOG -120 WIN
Zdeno Chara under 2.5 SOG +110 WIN
Yanni Gourde under 2.5 SOG -125 WIN
J.T. Miller under 2 SOG +130 LOSS

Sharks vs. Golden Knights
James Neal udner 3 SOG -105 LOSS
Tomas Herlt under 3 SOG -130 WIN
Joe Pavelski under 2.5 SOG +120 LOSS
Chris Tierney under 2 SOG -115 LOSS

7-4, +3.1 u

Overall: 240.2 u risked, 36.75 u profit, 15.3% ROI

Today's plays:

Penguins vs. Capitals
Jake Guentzel under 3 SOG -115
Sidney Crosby under 3.5 SOG -115
T.J. Oshie under 2.5 SOG -115
Alexander Ovechkin under 4.5 SOG +120

Jets vs. Predators
Mark Scheifele under 2.5 SOG -105
Patrik Laine under 3 SOG +110
Dustin Byfuglien under 3 SOG -105

Yesterday's results:

Penguins vs. Capitals
Jake Guentzel under 3 SOG -115 WIN
Sidney Crosby under 3.5 SOG -115 WIN
T.J. Oshie under 2.5 SOG -115 WIN
Alexander Ovechkin under 4.5 SOG +120 WIN

Jets vs. Predators
Mark Scheifele under 2.5 SOG -105 WIN
Patrik Laine under 3 SOG +110 LOSS
Dustin Byfuglien under 3 SOG -105 LOSS

5-2, +3.15 u
Overall: 247.75 u risked, 39.9 u profit, 16.1% ROI

Today's plays:

Bruins vs. Lightning
David Pastrnak under 3.5 SOG -105
Brad Marchand under 3 SOG -115
Torey Krug under 3 SOG -130
Jake DeBrusk under 2.5 SOG -130
Zdeno Chara under 2.5 SOG -130
Yanni Gourde under 2 SOG +130

Golden Knights vs. Sharks
James Neal under 3 SOG -115
Alex Tuch under 2 SOG +120

Yesterday's results:

Bruins vs. Lightning
David Pastrnak under 3.5 SOG -105 WIN
Brad Marchand under 3 SOG -115 WIN
Torey Krug under 3 SOG -130 WIN
Jake DeBrusk under 2.5 SOG -130 WIN
Zdeno Chara under 2.5 SOG -130 WIN
Yanni Gourde under 2 SOG +130 WIN

Golden Knights vs. Sharks
James Neal under 3 SOG -115 LOSS
Alex Tuch under 2 SOG +120 WIN

7-1, +6.35 u
Overall: 257 u risked, 46.25 u profit, 18.0%

Today's plays:

Capitals vs. Penguins
Alexander Ovechkin under 4.5 SOG +120
Evgeny Kuznetsov under 3.5 SOG +100
John Carlson under 3 SOG -110

Predators vs. Jets
Ryan Johansen under 2 SOG -125
P.K. Subban under 3 SOG -115
Filip Forsberg under 3.5 SOG -115

Yesterday's results:

Capitals vs. Penguins
Alexander Ovechkin under 4.5 SOG +120 WIN
Evgeny Kuznetsov under 3.5 SOG +100 WIN
John Carlson under 3 SOG -110 LOSS

Predators vs. Jets
Ryan Johansen under 2 SOG -125 WIN
P.K. Subban under 3 SOG -115 WIN
Filip Forsberg under 3.5 SOG -115 LOSS

4-2, +1.95 u
Overall: 263.65 u risked, 48.2 u profit, 18.3% ROI

Today's plays:

Capitals vs. Penguins
Evgeny Kuznetsov under 3.5 SOG -115
Devante Smith-Pelley under 1.5 SOG -120
John Carlson under 3 SOG -105
Phil Kessel over 2.5 SOG -140
Patric Hornqvist over 3 SOG -125

Predators vs. Jets
P.K. Subban under 3 SOG -120
Filip Forsberg under 4 SOG -115

What do you think about Sydney Crosby with more points over TJ Oshie at -160?

Sorry I didn't see this in time.  I do not bet those comparison props, and because I don't have a well-vetted process for those, I don't feel comfortable saying whether this plays was good or bad.  I specialize in NHL SOG, baseball hitting props, and all NBA player props.

It would take me a while to come up with an algorithm that I believe is precise enough to beat the VIG on those comparison point props, and I haven't taken the time to do that yet.  Good luck!

Yesterday's results:

Capitals vs. Penguins
Evgeny Kuznetsov under 3.5 SOG -115 LOSS
Devante Smith-Pelley under 1.5 SOG -120 WIN
John Carlson under 3 SOG -105 WIN
Phil Kessel over 2.5 SOG -140 LOSS
Patric Hornqvist over 3 SOG -125 PUSH

Predators vs. Jets
P.K. Subban under 3 SOG -120 LOSS
Filip Forsberg under 4 SOG -115 WIN

3-3-1, -0.75 u
Overall: 272.05 u risked, 47.45 u profit, 17.4% ROI

Today's plays:

Lightning vs. Bruins
Steven Stamkos under 3 SOG -120
Ondrej Palat under 2 SOG +110
Nikita Kucherov under 3.5 SOG EVEN
Tyler Johnson under 3 SOG -120
Torey Krug under 3 SOG -120
Brad Marchand under 3 SOG -115

Sharks vs. Golden Knights
Cody Eakin under 1.5 SOG -125
Tomas Hertl under 2.5 SOG +120
Joe Pavelski under 3 SOG -105
Logan Couture under 3 SOG +130
James Neal under 3.5 SOG +110

Yesterday's results:

Lightning vs. Bruins
Steven Stamkos under 3 SOG -120 PUSH
Ondrej Palat under 2 SOG +110 WIN
Nikita Kucherov under 3.5 SOG EVEN LOSS
Tyler Johnson under 3 SOG -120 LOSS
Torey Krug under 3 SOG -120 WIN
Brad Marchand under 3 SOG -115 WIN

Sharks vs. Golden Knights
Cody Eakin under 1.5 SOG -125 WIN
Tomas Hertl under 2.5 SOG +120 LOSS
Joe Pavelski under 3 SOG -105 WIN
Logan Couture under 3 SOG +130 WIN
James Neal under 3.5 SOG +110 WIN

7-3-1, +4.3 u
Overall: 284.1 u risked, +51.75 u, 18.2% ROI

Today's plays:

Penguins vs. Capitals
Evgeni Malkin under 3 SOG -105
Jake Guentzel under 3 SOG -115
Sidney Crosby under 3 SOG -120
Evgeny Kuznetsov under 3.5 SOG -110

Jets vs. Predators
P.K. Subban under 3 SOG -125
Mark Scheifele under 2.5 SOG -120
Patrik Laine under 3.5 SOG -115
Dustin Byfuglien under 3 SOG -105

. I just started tailing you last night and turned a profit. Thanks. Keep up the good work!!!!!!

Yeterday's results:

Penguins vs. Capitals
Evgeni Malkin under 3 SOG -105 LOSS
Jake Guentzel under 3 SOG -115 LOSS
Sidney Crosby under 3 SOG -120 PUSH
Evgeny Kuznetsov under 3.5 SOG -110 WIN

Jets vs. Predators
P.K. Subban under 3 SOG -125 WIN
Mark Scheifele under 2.5 SOG -120 LOSS
Patrik Laine under 3.5 SOG -115 WIN
Dustin Byfuglien under 3 SOG -105 PUSH


3-3-2,  -0.4 u
Overall: 293.25 u risked, 51.35 u profit, 17.5% ROI

Bruins vs. Lightning
Brad Marchand under 3 SOG -130
Tyler Johnson under 2.5 SOG +120

Golden Knights vs. Sharks
William Karlsson under 3 SOG -125
James Neal under 3.5 SOG -115
Tomas Herlt under 3 SOG -110
Logan Couture under 3 SOG -120

Sometimes the fishy public moves the lines instead of the sharps.  The fish moved the line on this one, so I'm adding:

Patrice Bergeron (Bruins) under 3.5 SOG +135

Thanks, I will.  I can guarantee you that these plays are the most profitable plays posted on this NHL forum.  People usually post nonsense about how they are betting "80 units" on one game.  I bet 1 unit per game, and I am up 51 units. 

Big difference between books.. I got Marchand at -115.  Johnson is+110 and Bergeron only +100...  I'm gonna wait on Bergeron on hopes odds will get better later

Bergeron up to +115 now, so i grabbed it. Stamkos under3 looks good. Only twice in last 10 games he had 4 and twice 3. Other 6 times was under 3. The juice is high at-150. Is that why you don't play him?

I don't have the guts to bet Johnson under 2.5.. put 1000 on other two. Gl

I don't get into my process much, but I can say that you are overrating the significance of the last 10 games.  This is called "recency bias", and it's something I avoid. 

I don't like Stamkos over 3 -150.  Betting anyone under 2.5 SOG might be "unpleasant", because you can lose that bet in the first period, but you can't win it until after the game is over (barring injury).  But unders on the low numbers are the highest EV plays available.

typo, I meant I don't like Stamkos under 3 -150

cool... this process never crossed my mind. glad i read your post