Building Correct Score Ranges

This is Long work, lot of time to put , but hey i love sports and stats so why not give it a shot.

So far this season 106 Games has Been Played.

The most probable Score is 5-2 (13 times ) so 12.2 % of the time 

In Second Place 2-2 (10 times )  9.4 % of the time

In Third Place it's tied between 3-1 , 4-1 , 3-3 (8 times each) so 7.5 % of the time but the whole Group is 22.5 %

In Fourth we have 4-2 ( 7 times) 6.6 % of the time

in 5th place it's a tie between 3-2 and 4-3 (6 times each ) for 5.67 % of the time or if you add them up its 11,34 % 

So the Whole Range Looks like this :

(5-2)  +  (2-2)  +  (3-1)  +  (4-1)  +  (3-3)  +  (4-2)  +  (3-2)  +  (4-3)

12,2%     9,4%      7,5%      7,5%      7,5%      6,6%      5.67%    5.67 %  = 62.04 %

We can Narrow it Down a little bit more, if the Teams we're backing aren't fulfilling Range Requirements and over/under Expectations;

Let's Pick for Instance: PIT vs DAL

PIT GF: 4.0  GA:2.76

DAL GF: 1.88 GA : 3.13

So as an example for this game i would Pick all the range for Pittsburgh except 3-3 and 4-3 and still have 48,87 %

Average odds that Bookies gives me for the selected Range (5-2)  +  (2-2)  +  (3-1)  +  (4-1)  +  (4-2)  +  (3-2)   is 21.17:1

On Average I would hit 3.52 Units for every unit i place. You can Pick 2 games and parlay with a wider - narrower range, it's up to you.

My Tonight's (RANGE) Pick : 

WSH - PIT - EDM - COL (0,25 units on each) so 4 Units Total. I just need 1 correct pick to be +1 unit. I also made Some Parlays.

5-2 / 4-2 / 4-1 /3-1  

2 Went Through (+2000) and (+1900) and 1 Parlay at +41900 also As the Penguins manage a win 4-2 and Caps 5-2 Good Start ! 

Yes was worth the time and effort 

NICE

Almost hit a 3rd one with Edmonton, anyway it was a great night overall, i actually ended up investing 0,2 units on each. so 3.2 units total and got around 8 units in return on singles and 84 Units on the Parlay. (420 x 0.2)

So I'm up 92 Units so far with this system on first night. 

Nice job man

freakin nice picks bro 

Up 92u, you can already call it a season 

Just one question: how do you chose the games ? 

Haha Thx, in a certain perspective, i could be wrong 25 times in a row and still break even ^_^.

I Like Big Favs vs Big Dawgs. When Moneyline sit at 1.5:1 odds, I'd rather narrow down a range for 2-3 games and get better return.

(5-2)  +  (2-2)  +  (4-2) +   (3-1)  +  (4-1)  +  (3-3)  + (3-2)  +  (4-3) +  (2-1)

12,5%     9,8%       8%       7,5%      7,5%      7,5%     5.7%    5.7 %    5.7 %     =    69.9 %

Ranges Update. (Take note that I deny including any Score Below 5 %)

I took 4-2 / 5-2 for Bruins and Coyotes 

I'm Picking TBL and NSH

4-2 / 5-2 

I'm betting Reg time, so I would assume that these outcomes takes into consideration overtime ? I would usually take 2-2 and 3-3 around 12:1 odds which would eventually end up with 3-2 or 4-3 .

888 Does this is where i usually make my picks. And yeah when i feel like theres no play on ML, this is what i aim for.

thx mate