@jezhead
I love your perspectives and appreciate the advanced stats.
I had the Blues on Tuesday night as I thought the wrong team was favored.
Tonight, the only difference is the back up goalies are in net.
Vladar has been a pretty decent back up with a 2.76 GAA where only 3 of his 14 starts he’s given up 4 or more goals.
Greiss hasn’t been that great with a 3.23 GAA. In his previous 5 starts, he’s given up 14 goals but he’s coming off a shutout 4 days ago. He also was in net when these teams played a month ago stopping 41 shots, giving up 2 goals.
I don’t see value in laying -160 on Calgary (I agree if you’re going to take them, take the regulation line) but these teams have gone over the total in 5 of the last 6 and the Blues have been an over machine so to me that’s the play if any.
Those are my thoughts.
BOL
A case can be made that’s it’s hard to beat a team 3 times in a row and I get that can be a thing.
@jezhead
I love your perspectives and appreciate the advanced stats.
I had the Blues on Tuesday night as I thought the wrong team was favored.
Tonight, the only difference is the back up goalies are in net.
Vladar has been a pretty decent back up with a 2.76 GAA where only 3 of his 14 starts he’s given up 4 or more goals.
Greiss hasn’t been that great with a 3.23 GAA. In his previous 5 starts, he’s given up 14 goals but he’s coming off a shutout 4 days ago. He also was in net when these teams played a month ago stopping 41 shots, giving up 2 goals.
I don’t see value in laying -160 on Calgary (I agree if you’re going to take them, take the regulation line) but these teams have gone over the total in 5 of the last 6 and the Blues have been an over machine so to me that’s the play if any.
Those are my thoughts.
BOL
A case can be made that’s it’s hard to beat a team 3 times in a row and I get that can be a thing.
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