Humble plays Tuesday

@spottie2935

 Anytime my picks are all falling in line with these "capping" site free picks I always worry im doing something wrong as Im convinced those dudes write for the books not the people lol. I def did not see the sens coming back from a tough road trip to dominate at home and the habs coming back from B2B wins and blowing it big at home. The ducks are not surprising and I did say they could be a dog that bites tonight just based on the travel schedule and never wanting to get shut out on a road trip. 

I play 5-6 leg parlays to start the season to cut juice, and help check myself. when im hitting the parlays consistently or start to find the win/loss spots to take advantage of, it get a little easier for me. I also have to relearn discipline every year that every game doesnt need to be played. Wild were my favorite play tonight. 

Great work so far. I am looking forward to being back for a full season this year with all you great gents, hopefully everyone making money! 

@triplee2385

 I really love when people take the time to share their thoughts, ideas, focus and missions.  I am that type of guy also.  It creates clarity and makes following each other more clear.  A Part of posting pick is the sharing and clarity so it easily understandable.  I am not that great with words and find writing difficult.  My thoughts are not concise at times.  Maybe too many pucks to my noggin.  I was A goalie from ages 5 thru 19.  2 huge concussions and I quit after the last.  

I am not into reading so I choose to focus on what most men do best, numbers.  Analyzing data is a part of it.   

Yesterday I felt the Sharks might be worth A shot again, but here is the thing about betting dogs.  When I post I have to look reasonable.  I can not give the impression that I am crazy.  Betting these big dogs and bad teams gives out a bad impression that not many can understand because the long time bad teams have tattooed bettors minds.

Going forward here is my mindset.  Can bet +180 or bettor lines but not everyone.  

Forget teams like Utah and Kraken.  The NHL can only do much with talent and competitive players and just like the NBA the big time players and big time talent wins.  Vegas has been different because the NHL fed them what they needed right away and these other newbie franchises didnt get those opportunities.  These new franchises need to excel before they are normalized and completely integrated into the league.

Why ?  There needs to be ups and downs and progression and then regression and these new teams have not gone though these processes to date.  Data I am search ing for is the back and forth and ups and downs so eliminating these teams for now is beneficial to what I do,.  Right now as favorites they are play against but going forward there could be progression with these teams and progression means winning when lined as favorites and winning those games.

Sharks, Ducks, Hawks and big lined teams. Once these teams elevate thats when to fade. They dont have a deep roster and these teams only have one line to posses the puck.  Puck possession is a great defense.  No puck possesion more opportunities for the opponent to score.  None of these teams have elite goalies so its really best to avoid these teams.  I will have to go look at the data but maybe the best way to fade these teams is play the over goals team totals.  

There is a lot of sensible data available but only so much time.  It also takes a hockey minded person to find the best data that consistently succeeds.  We are going to see if that is the case for me. 

Anyways just some thoughts and thank you spell check I need your assistance lol.