NHL 22/23 Picks

Korpi looks like OT may have  saved me. 

Glad I passed i oetty thy played  a tight game

Waiting on 3 save props

Leans

Barkov o2.5 sog

Hamilton o3.5 sog

Waiting on 4 save props

Last night I wanted saros, Gibson and chi goalie...only got offered saros and Gibson at 31.5 and 33.5 both went over but I didn't like those numbers

@dubz4dummyz

 
Saros was running a 700 save% at

one point in the game. Porous.

2 locked in

Reimer over 30.5 saves @1.75  0.5 to win 0.375

Over this in 4 of last 6

Playing his former team, stopped 33 of 35 vs canes earlier this year 

Canes average 36.3 at home

Sharks allow 30.9 shots per game on road

Don't like canes shot stats last 5 but expecting a good home effort tonight

Looking for a 13+ shot period from canes and 8-9+ in the 1st period

Prefer if slavin plays

Like Reimer in the 29-34 save range

Lyon over 27.5 saves@1.80  0.5 to win 0.4

Over this in 2 of 4 starts. 1 under was vs mtl

Kings average 34.0 shots per game last 5 and 32.0 per game on road

Panthers allowing 32.3 at home and 33.8 last 5 games

Lyon been shaky.... slightly worried he gets pulled...hoping kings throw pucks on net thinking he shaky

Like him in the 27-32 save range

GL all

1 more leans might lock in later depending on these first 2

Korpisal over 30.5 saves....bounce back spot for nucks after terrible performance vs Seattle....3rd in 4 nights for nucks....

Lyon

Reimer

Insane luck on Reimer....canes scored 2 in last 2 mins to go to OT...Reimer gets 31 saves

Pretty lucky on lyon too....kings lead entire game

Should have locked in Copley as well and glad I passed on korpi

Waiting on 4 save props

Slackin on updates

overall 41-31 +5.445 units

5-0 +4.15  1-unit plays

36-31 +1.295  0.5-unit plays

Flat 1-unit bettor would be up 6.74 units....I potentially should be flat betting....in NFL and NHL this year it has cost me some units....in NBA I have only made 1 1-unit bet and it lost.

Which leads into the question is one play truly better/more valuable than another...

and even if so, in the long run can you correctly identify the better/more valuable plays consistently  or does the law of averages end up equaling it out in the long run regardless (10-20+ years)

I will monitor my NHL 1-unit plays and see how they start to trend. I have posted a few lately that were borderline 1-unit plays that I ended up going 0.5-unit

Keep it up buddy.

@Fuse

 Cheers fuser

1 locked in

Kahkonen over 28.5 saves @1.85  0.5 to win 0.425

Over this in 1 of last 4....3 games against ari, cbj and ana...low sog teams

Sharks on b2b

Pens 40+ shots in 3 of last 4

Sharks on b2b so they don't want to put Reimer in net preferably.. even if kahkonen stinks it up

Like a strong effort from pens tonight with fresher legs and needing the 2 points before the all-star break

Looking for a 9+ shot 1st period and a period with 13+ shots

Like him in the 28-33 range

GL all

BOL Dubz 

@rustie

 Cheers rustman

1 locked in

Mrazek over 31.5 saves @1.85  0.5 to win 0.425

Over this in 2 of last 4

Oilers averaging 33.8 per game last 5

E.kane back tonight.  He likes to throw pucks on net

Hawks allowing 36.0 per game last 5

Oilers had 38 and 41 in 2 previous meetings this year

Looking for a 13-14+ shot period

Like him in the 30-35 save range

GL all

Mrazek for a 4-0 sweep ...never gonna happen

Kahkonen

Mrazek

Of course  I go on a little heater when they about to go on break

Don't like stand-alone games very much...

Go eagles 

2 locked in

F.andersen over 24.5 saves @1.85  0.5 to win 0.425

Over this in 3 of last 4 starts. 1 under was vs Boston who were on a b2b and he had 24 saves exactly

Kings average 32.0 shots per game last 5

Canes allowing 27.6 per game

Only way I don't like this is if kings get lead and sit on it.

Kings like to put pucks on net and have a few shooters

Like kings to put 28+ shots on net

Like freddie in the 24-28 save range

Copley over 28.5 saves @1.85  0.5 to win 0.425

Over this in 1 of last 3 since getting pulled 

If flyers can get 31 on him hopefully canes are good for 30+...

Panthers put 48 on him last game. Canes can put pucks on net like that too

Canes average 36.3 shots per game at home

Only thing I don't like is if canes get a big lead and sit on it. Or if we get a defensive masterpiece this game, which there is slight potential for...

Also don't like that canes play tomorrow but hoping they go for the 2 points here...and they rolling a little bit

Looking for a 12+ shot period from canes

Like Copley in the 27-32 range

GL all

0-2 

Got that defensive game I mentioned...damn....funny thing is both teams had 4 shots each in the first 4 mins of the game.....all went downhill from there...even got OT

GL today. 

Early leans

J.hughes over 4.5 sog @1.95

Hamilton over 3.5 sog @1.90

Waiting on save props

1 locked in

Hamilton over 3.5 sog @1.95  0.5 to win 0.475

Was hot going into the break

Went over in 7 of last 10 before break, lot of those games went to OT only thing I didn't like

Should get some shots thru on the PP

Nucks near bottom of league in blocked shots per game and the worst PK in league

Should play 22+ mins and get his PP mins

Like him in the 3-5 range

GL all

G/L tonight 

0-1 palat tips in dougies 4th sog

I'm a dummy....Hughes was the play vs his big bro and I changed pick to dougie

Leans

Mackinnon over 4.5 sog @1.85....should be motivated vs his good buddy Crosby

Waiting on save props. Got none circled but hoping for a weak line

1 locked in

Zibby over 3.5 sog @2.15  0.5 to win 0.575

Over this in 3 of last 8

Had 8 shots and 2 goals last game, looking for him to keep shooting vs weaker nucks team

Only thing I don't like is the kid line could steal some PP mins from the #1 unit

Nucks near bottom of league in blocked shots and worst PK in league

Like him in the 3-5 range

GL all

Zibby  could only get 3