NHL 22/23 Picks

overall 70-51 +8.97 units

7-0 +5.8  1-unit plays

63-51 +3.17  0.5-unit plays

A flat 1-unit bettor would be up 12.14 units

Keep it going Dubz

1 locked in

Allen over 32.5 saves @1.85  0.5 to win 0.425

Over this in 3 of last 6

Nj avg 38.4 sog last 5

Habs allowing 33.4 last 5...but only faced 2 high sog teams 

Nj had 38 and 40 sog vs Habs this season

Revenge spot for Devils after Habs won 5-2 last game...

Looking for a 13-14+ shot period from nj

Like him in the 31-36 range 

GL all

1 locked in

Ingram over 32.5 saves @1.80 0.5 to win 0.4

Over this in 8 of last 9 starts 

Avs avg 32.4 sog last 5....last 10 games they only played 1 real weak team...had 43 sog vs sj in that game

Yotes allowing 41.0 sog last 5

Looking for a 13-14+ shot period from avs

This would be full unit but ingram allowed 6,4 and 5 his last 3 starts

Like him in the 31-36 range 

GL all

Ingram 

Allen

Mistake not putting full unit on Ingram....was one of my top 10 of year so far for sure.....the reasoning was if Ingram lost at full unit and Allen won at half unit then I didn't do myself any favor...was worried after kahokonen let in 6 vs avs but sharks were on b2b in that situation...yotes were rested and winners of 2 in a row coming in

Early leans

Eichel over 3.5 sog 1.95

Josi over 4.5 sog 2.05

Waiting on few save props

1 locked in

Josi over 4.5 sog @2.05  0.5 to win  0.525

Over this in 2 straight

Has 5 and 6 in 2 games vs ducks this season

Had 5 last night vs tough kings matchup...only thing I don't like is he on b2b and ducks aren't...but ducks allow most sog in league 

Forsberg and Johansen out means more PP looks for yoster 

Should play at least 22+ mins....even though its b2b he could play 26+ mins as preds are trying to stay alive in playoff race...they 6 points behind Jets with 3 games in hand

Like him in the 4-6 range

GL all

GL Brother - Josi looks like a solid play with Phil out. 

Josi somehow has 0 sog thru 2  periods while almost every other dman  for Nashville has 2+....the one time I pass on the goalie save prop 

Josi

Well woulda got lucky with Gibson barely going over  30.5 saves....didnt see the game no idea what the hell happened with josi 

Thankfully went 1-1 with harden hitting in nba

Leans

Hintz over 2.5 sog @1.90....tough matchup.  Had 3 vs kraken 2 nights ago.

Small lean on jrob and tage over 3.5 as well but tough matchups.

Waiting on save props

1 locked in

Allen over 30.5 saves @1.70  0.5 to win  0.35

Over this in 2 of last 4

Had 34 saves vs avs in December

Avs avg 35.0 shots last 5

Habs allowing 34.0 last 5

Like that Habs at home and been playing decent hockey lately

Surprised this wasn't 31.5 or 32.5 although the 30.5 is juiced...still debating adding another half unit

Looking for a 13+ shot periods from avs

Like him in the 30-35 range

GL all

GL dubz - not on MacDaddy?

been tailing (small) some of your prop picks over the months, thanks, keep up the good work, do you ever play sides or totals? 

sprinkled a little on Allen ov tonight with you - GL

@Crazy_Train

 Rarely...and I think I have devised good reasoning as to why 

Used to like totals a bit but it is hard to predict a goalie standing on his head and I hate banking on an empty-netter....and I find they almost always juice the totals in the right direction....

Sides I don't mind either but I find that I find a better edge in props....

I actually sometimes like the -1.5 puck line better if I think a team wins big...but they have those juiced heavy this year

@dyamarik

 Couldn't do it @1.60

Lowest ill go on a 4.5 shot prop is 1.85...to much risk...5 sog is a lot

Allen getting pulled i imagine

Knew the line was fishy glad I stayed at half unit

Almost a guaranteed loser when goalie let's one in the first 2 mins....shakes the goalies confidence and they toast from there

Had a long day at work not sure what I missed...maybe Allen was due for a stinker....I almost typed he on a roll in my blurb above

Refs will prob put avs in the box a few times to try and get Habs back into it....which will limit avs shot attempts....

Well he might not get yanked....Habs have pens on deck tomorrow.....but now avs can sit back and protect big lead so doubtful they get over 30 sog regardless

On to tomorrow's card

There we go quick and painless.....glad I stayed off nba or it would be a real bad night

Allen

Looking at 4-6 for tomorrow depending on lines...quite a few that stand out

3 locked in

Montembealt over 32.5 saves @1.85  0.5 to win 0.425

Only over this in 2 of last 6

More of a situational play than strictly numbers

Double revenge spot for pens after 2 losses to Habs early in season

Pens fighting for points...Habs on b2b

Pens avg 36.4 last 5...Habs allowing 34.3 last 5

Like that monty saw some pucks last night vs avs

Looking for a 13+ shot period from pens 

Like him in the 31-36 range

Mrazek over 31.5 saves @1.90 0.5 to win 0.425

Over this in 4 of last 6

Faced 43 vs Boston earlier this season

Bs had 33 and 38 vs wings last 2 games....they much stingier than hawks

Bs avg 33.2 last 5....chi allowing 36.4 last 5

Only worry is if bs get big lead and sit on it...and bs don't typically throw a ton of picks on net....

Looking for 13+ shot period from bs

Like him in the 30-35 range

Ingram over 33.5 saves @1.85 0.5 to win 0.425

Over this in 8 of last 9

Flames had 51 shots last game vs yotes...vejjy in net

Flames avg 34.0 last 5....yotes allowing 40.0 last 5

Flames fighting for points...need a good effort here...they got on track vs sens last game I hoping....

Looking for a 13-14+ shot period from flames

Like him in the 32-36 range

GL all

Looking for 2 outta 3 on the save props

Other leans

Mcjesus over 4.5 sog 2.20

Pasta over 4.5 sog 1.90

Wanted sens goalie save prop....not offered...guessing it woulda been 30.5 or 31.5

Lmao what is going on in Pittsburgh.....monty let's in 2 of first 4 shots and now Habs winning 3-2 

Jarry saw monty shaky and he got shaky fucking goalies...little bitches

if the pens lose tonight i can't bet on them again this year... 

Monty

Mrszek....leaves injured was setting up to be close 

Comes down to Ingram my least fave of the 3

2-1

Mrazek leaves with a minor head injury??? Couldn't buy a 3-0 sweep....

Only 1 lean today depending on the line they release