NHL 22/23 Picks

@Tha_Commish77

 Yup I hear ya can't win em all...im ice cold in nhl right now lol

overall 24-22 +1.645

3-0 +2.65 1 unit plays

21-22 -1.005 unit plays

1 unit plays saving the day...

1 locked in

Keller over 2.5 sog @2.05  0.5 to win 0.525

Over this in 4 of 5

Last 4 games he's had a hatty  and a 2 goal game

Plays ton of PP mins

Good matchup vs Habs

Like that he playing at home and played 20+ mins in 4 straight

Debating making this a 1 unit play, definitely in my top 10 plays outta 47 so far

Like him in the 2-4 range

GL all

1 locked in 

Saros over 28.5 saves @1.85 0.5 to win 0.425

Over this in 2 of last 4

Allowed 3 goals or less in 4 straight

Faced 36 earlier this year vs oil ...let in 6

Oilers 30+ shots in 3 of last 5

Oilers big names have good stats vs preds. Seem to have good games

Looking for 13+ shots from McDavid draisaitl and hyman

Like saros in the 27-32 save range

GL all

Keller 

Saros

Ill take it but wtf.....opposite night 2-0 nhl 0-2 nba hahahahah what a fuckin hobby...looks like the 17-6 nba run over

Nice job dubz - tailed ya and cashed myself as well.  Thx dude.

@dyamarik

  bit lucky on saros. Keller was a good read. Wish I went 1 unit 

leans

Kopitar over 2.5 sog @2.10

Dostal over 30.5 saves @1.75 ...not gonna lie I barely  know the guys name lol...but I do know he should get pelted tonight

...shit odds so linemakers agree he should get pelted

Debating 1 or both

1 locked in 

Dostal over 30.5 saves @1.75  0.5 to win 0.375

Over this in 2 of last 4

Ducks allow most shots in goal per game in league at 37.6

Kings 30+ sog in 5 straight 38+ in 3 of those 5

Only worry is if he gets pulled or if kings get a 3+ goal lead and sit back

Ducks playing better for hopefully they keep it close or even get a lead and make kings chase the game

Like him in the 29-34 save range 

GL all

GL dubz

I like Trevor Moore O2.5 SOGs as well 

@dyamarik

 Nice hit on moore ya ole goon

 Dostal goes postal

1 locked in

Makar over 3.5 sog@2.15 0.5 to win 0.575

Over this in 5 of 7 since Mackinnon injury

Over this in 3 straight at home

Like that avs at home and starting to get healthy and play a little better

Plays a ton of PP mins

Should play 24+ mins unless its a blowout 

Like him in the 3-5 range 

GL all

Leans

Keller over 2.5 sog...don't like the matchup vs vegas but he hot

Yotes goalie save prop

Ducks goalie save prop

Both save props depends on lines

Makar goes fubar

Keller hit . Dostal hit but wasn't offered and vejmelka would have went under

Leans 

Krieder over 2.5 sog

Kempe over 2.5 sog

Waiting on save props

MY top 5 SOG props FWIW:  Ovi, Necas, Pasta, Fiala, Eberle.  Prolly play some AGS on a few as well.

@dyamarik

 NiceFiala on fire as far as shooting the puck...course my.book only.offerr Kopitar and Kempe last night....and today Fiala juiced to hell over 2.5 @1.65

Leans

Rantanen over 3.5 sog

Makar over 3.5 sog

Waiting on josi and waiting on save props

1 locked in

Keller over 2.5 sog @2.10  0.5 to win 0.55

Over this in 6 of last 7 and 3 straight at home

Playing his best hockey of the season 

Like that he at home and kings on b2b

Don't love matchup vs Kopitar line and doughty.

Plays a ton of PP mins.

Should play 20+ mins and 2-4+ mins on PP

Like him in the 2-4 range

GL all

Keller 

Also loving Konecnky and Fiala and Petterson

2 locked in

Makar over 3.5 sog @2.20 0.5 to win 0.6

Over this in 6 of 7 since Mackinnon injury

Points in 3 of last 4

Matchup vs another perrienial Norris candidate in josi. Should provide some motivation.  

Had 7 vs preds a few nights  ago

Preds don't play a super tight game like the used to few years back

Like him to play 25+ mins unless its a blowout and he always gets his PP mins

Like him in the 3-5 range

Rantenan over 3.5 sog @1.95  0.5 to win 0.475

Over this in 5 of 7 since Mackinnon injury including 8 and 10 in last 2

Red hot with 26 points in 15 games and goals in 6 of last 9 including a hatty

Should play 22+ mins unless its a blowout and he will get his PP mins.

Have it capped at 55% chance one of makar or rantenan hits. 25% they both hit and 20% neither hits. With Mackinnon out there are more shot oppos for everyone

Like him in the 3-5 range

GL all

@dyamarik

 Thanks for konecny...not locking it in but now he on my radar...over 2.5 6 of 7 I think it was. Tough matchup vs canes who don't allow many SOG.

I'd be on Fiala at 1.80 or 1.75...but the win rate required at 1.65 makes it a pass for me but he should go over easy even on b2b

BOL Dubz!!

Rantenan 

Makar.

Keller

What a hose job on Keller....2 sog after 1st and then at end of 2nd they put it down to 1....or course he finishes with 2....and they even had a PP in OT

1 locked in

Makar over 3.5sog @1.95  0.5 to win 0.475

Over this in 7 of 8 since Mackinnon injury

Yotes allow a ton of sog per game

Expecting a bit of sloppy play after holidays.  Should give makar an extra rush or 2

Should play 24+ mins unless its a blowout 

Plays tons of PP mins

Like him in the 3-5 range 

GL all

more leans

Ovi over 4.5 Sog @2.05

Pasta over 4.5 sog @1.95

Shersty over 26.5 saves @1.85

Markstrom over 25.5 saves @1.85

1 locked in

Markstrom over 25.5 saves @1.95  0.5 to win 0.475

Only over this in 1 of last 10...

Kinda going against the numbers here but I have multiple reasons...

Of his last 10 starts only 1 vs team above 20th in shots on goal per game ...vladar started against the teams higher ranked in sog per game and went way over 25.5 in 6 of 8 

Oilers 30+ sog in 3 of last 5

Looking for Oilers to get 8+ shots a period and need one over 10

Like that flames playing better hockey...Hopefully they get lead and oil have to chase the game which generally means more shot oppos

Battle of alberta....no lack of motivation for either side

Only thing I don't like is that the flames do play tight hockey.....any team Sutter coaches gonna play tight..

Marky allowed 3 goals or less in 9 of last 10 starts but they were against those "worse" teams

Like this line as I think he faces at least 25+ shots at minimum...could see a lot of rubber depending how the game plays out

Like Marky in the 24-29 save range 

GL all