1) The NHL has selected Edmonton and Toronto as locations during covid-19, with Stanley Cup finals likely in Edmonton.
2) Canada has done a light-years better job of managing covid-19 deaths and infections than the USA.
3) NBA for Orlando -- well, Florida now has 100,000 covid-19 victims and growing exponentially. That's dicey. Who knows if they can do it or not all the way through ?
4) Likewise for MLB, which opted out of Florida so far, but again it's in the USA (except Toronto) and USA is now in exponential explosion of covid-19 in over half of the USA.
5) Likewise for NFL. All in USA.
I'd rate the NHL as the most likely to be able to pull this off, because it's gonna be done in Canada not the USA. I could be incorrect, only time will tell. But looking at this here on July 6, 2020, I feel a substantial risk of delay or season cancellation even after any season starts during 2020 for all of these major sports, but much less so for the NHL, because it's being held in Canada, which doesn't have exponential growth, and has actually handled covid-19 mostly competently as might be possible, unlike the USA.
Just my opinion, but I'd say the data and evidence is on my side in my prediction here.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
My take is this :
1) The NHL has selected Edmonton and Toronto as locations during covid-19, with Stanley Cup finals likely in Edmonton.
2) Canada has done a light-years better job of managing covid-19 deaths and infections than the USA.
3) NBA for Orlando -- well, Florida now has 100,000 covid-19 victims and growing exponentially. That's dicey. Who knows if they can do it or not all the way through ?
4) Likewise for MLB, which opted out of Florida so far, but again it's in the USA (except Toronto) and USA is now in exponential explosion of covid-19 in over half of the USA.
5) Likewise for NFL. All in USA.
I'd rate the NHL as the most likely to be able to pull this off, because it's gonna be done in Canada not the USA. I could be incorrect, only time will tell. But looking at this here on July 6, 2020, I feel a substantial risk of delay or season cancellation even after any season starts during 2020 for all of these major sports, but much less so for the NHL, because it's being held in Canada, which doesn't have exponential growth, and has actually handled covid-19 mostly competently as might be possible, unlike the USA.
Just my opinion, but I'd say the data and evidence is on my side in my prediction here.
I can't see any of the majors sports pulling this off
Yeah unfortunately it's looking tougher now. Many players are testing positive in the various major sports during practice sessions.
I'd say that if any of the major sports get games started up, expect major disruptions without notice.
Makes it tough to possibly bet.
Maybe more emphasis towards dogs than usual ? Or go against teams that are overly dependent on one or two key players ? Bet against teams without a lot of depth -- on the grounds that any infections and sitting out would hurt the performance of thin-depth teams more ? Assuming that the game weren't cancelled entirely...
In the NHL, one example might be to bet against the Oilers, who are heavily dependent on 2 star players, mcdavid and draisaitl, and lack depth. After factoring in that the games will be in Edmonton which gives home-ice advantage, figure that one might therefore get a "road"-type price for the Oilers' opponent, and then figure that if mcdavid or draisaitl tests positive after you play your bet, you will have an advantage compared to any other player in that game testing positive because missing mcdavid or draisaitl causes a much heavier impact because they are so great on a team that is overwise lacking some depth. Just some thoughts....
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Quote Originally Posted by Lippsman:
I can't see any of the majors sports pulling this off
Yeah unfortunately it's looking tougher now. Many players are testing positive in the various major sports during practice sessions.
I'd say that if any of the major sports get games started up, expect major disruptions without notice.
Makes it tough to possibly bet.
Maybe more emphasis towards dogs than usual ? Or go against teams that are overly dependent on one or two key players ? Bet against teams without a lot of depth -- on the grounds that any infections and sitting out would hurt the performance of thin-depth teams more ? Assuming that the game weren't cancelled entirely...
In the NHL, one example might be to bet against the Oilers, who are heavily dependent on 2 star players, mcdavid and draisaitl, and lack depth. After factoring in that the games will be in Edmonton which gives home-ice advantage, figure that one might therefore get a "road"-type price for the Oilers' opponent, and then figure that if mcdavid or draisaitl tests positive after you play your bet, you will have an advantage compared to any other player in that game testing positive because missing mcdavid or draisaitl causes a much heavier impact because they are so great on a team that is overwise lacking some depth. Just some thoughts....
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