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    All Forums | NHL Betting Forum

    NOVEMBER 3

    «First Previous 123 Next Last»
    eknilb
    happycap
    potvin
    TheCrowCaws
    TrustMyG
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    Posts: 72
    «First Previous 123 Next Last»
     
    eknilb
    eknilb
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2011 - 1:34 PM ET #26

    Why would u want to risk 4.5 units to go 2/3 and pick up .5 units? And risk losing 4.5 units or losing 2 units if u go 1/2 please advise how this would benefit long term . I'm not talking shit I'm trying to learn the edge on this strategy . Thanks
    Reply
    Why would u want to risk 4.5 units to go 2/3 and pick up .5 units? And risk losing 4.5 units or losing 2 units if u go 1/2 please advise how this would benefit long term . I'm not talking shit I'm trying to learn the edge on this strategy . Thanks
     
    eknilb
    eknilb
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2011 - 1:37 PM ET #27

    Thanks for the picks yesterday I missed the under but picked up two units on the side
    Reply
    Thanks for the picks yesterday I missed the under but picked up two units on the side
     
    happycap
    happycap
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2011 - 1:45 PM ET #28

    Quote Originally Posted by eknilb:

    Why would u want to risk 4.5 units to go 2/3 and pick up .5 units? And risk losing 4.5 units or losing 2 units if u go 1/2 please advise how this would benefit long term . I'm not talking shit I'm trying to learn the edge on this strategy . Thanks

    Excellent question and one worth asking, thank you. When I say I expect to hit 2/3 I mean worst case scenario.  I think all 3 could net me 3 units, and if I parlay them its good for +400 Of course I could be way off and the way things have been going with my totals this year I am being a bit rash here... but I've always played my totals this way.  I make no apologies for laying the juice because historically it has not hurt me tremendously doing so on totals.

    BEST CASE: 3-0 +3 units

    LIKELY: 2-1 for half a unit

    UNLIKELY 1-2 for a 1.5 unit loss

    TRULY NOT LIKELY 0-3 for said 4.5 unit loss

    If you prefer to play these as 5s which I've been doing much of this season, and pushing on nearly all, godspeed.  I'm tired of pushing when 5.5 was hugely advantageous in retrospect.  NHL hockey with OT incl, 5 is the most common total so you just can't complain about the high commission you pay to go under 5.5

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by eknilb:

    Why would u want to risk 4.5 units to go 2/3 and pick up .5 units? And risk losing 4.5 units or losing 2 units if u go 1/2 please advise how this would benefit long term . I'm not talking shit I'm trying to learn the edge on this strategy . Thanks

    Excellent question and one worth asking, thank you. When I say I expect to hit 2/3 I mean worst case scenario.  I think all 3 could net me 3 units, and if I parlay them its good for +400 Of course I could be way off and the way things have been going with my totals this year I am being a bit rash here... but I've always played my totals this way.  I make no apologies for laying the juice because historically it has not hurt me tremendously doing so on totals.

    BEST CASE: 3-0 +3 units

    LIKELY: 2-1 for half a unit

    UNLIKELY 1-2 for a 1.5 unit loss

    TRULY NOT LIKELY 0-3 for said 4.5 unit loss

    If you prefer to play these as 5s which I've been doing much of this season, and pushing on nearly all, godspeed.  I'm tired of pushing when 5.5 was hugely advantageous in retrospect.  NHL hockey with OT incl, 5 is the most common total so you just can't complain about the high commission you pay to go under 5.5

     
    happycap
    happycap
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2011 - 1:48 PM ET #29

    Put another way, I think you are better off (most times) laying -150 under 5.5 than you would be laying -150 on a side with a slight edge.  When a total is that juiced it means you have some solid goaltenders and usually teams that will play defensively and be happy to get at least a point at 2-2 or 1-1.  When those games are tight going into the 3rd they almost NEVER get wild in the third due to coaches SOPs
    Reply
    Put another way, I think you are better off (most times) laying -150 under 5.5 than you would be laying -150 on a side with a slight edge.  When a total is that juiced it means you have some solid goaltenders and usually teams that will play defensively and be happy to get at least a point at 2-2 or 1-1.  When those games are tight going into the 3rd they almost NEVER get wild in the third due to coaches SOPs
     
    happycap
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2011 - 1:50 PM ET #30

    FINAL CARD:

    DUCKS +113

    DUCKS U5.5 -137

    LEAFS +108

    ISLES -137

    FLYERS -148

    HAWKS -130

    PREDS U5.5 -145

    NUCKS -134

    NUCKS U5.5 -154

    PENS +120

    NOTE: I've opted to lay juice for the half goal on all three totals... I feel 2/3 of these go under for a small profit and that is the reasoning... 5s are extremely common in these games.

    Reply

    FINAL CARD:

    DUCKS +113

    DUCKS U5.5 -137

    LEAFS +108

    ISLES -137

    FLYERS -148

    HAWKS -130

    PREDS U5.5 -145

    NUCKS -134

    NUCKS U5.5 -154

    PENS +120

    NOTE: I've opted to lay juice for the half goal on all three totals... I feel 2/3 of these go under for a small profit and that is the reasoning... 5s are extremely common in these games.

     
    potvin
    potvin
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2011 - 2:04 PM ET #31

    good luck happy! keep it rolling!

    Reply

    good luck happy! keep it rolling!

     
    eknilb
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2011 - 2:08 PM ET #32

    Excellent thanks for the explanation. My book doesn't allow me to buy .5 so I'm stuck with the 7 sides. A lot of action today. A bit degenerated today eh 
    Reply
    Excellent thanks for the explanation. My book doesn't allow me to buy .5 so I'm stuck with the 7 sides. A lot of action today. A bit degenerated today eh 
     
    TheCrowCaws
    TheCrowCaws
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2011 - 2:12 PM ET #33

    Good luck happy!
    Reply
    Good luck happy!
     
    happycap
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2011 - 2:16 PM ET #34

    Quote Originally Posted by eknilb:

    Excellent thanks for the explanation. My book doesn't allow me to buy .5 so I'm stuck with the 7 sides. A lot of action today. A bit degenerated today eh 

    GL but really you should go easy, I'm on a roll but so what? That could end tonight

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by eknilb:

    Excellent thanks for the explanation. My book doesn't allow me to buy .5 so I'm stuck with the 7 sides. A lot of action today. A bit degenerated today eh 

    GL but really you should go easy, I'm on a roll but so what? That could end tonight

     
    TrustMyG
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2011 - 2:25 PM ET #35

    just wanted to ask you ... dont u think the rangers are catching the ducks the same way the rangers caught the sharks .. ( at the end of a long road trip)
    Reply
    just wanted to ask you ... dont u think the rangers are catching the ducks the same way the rangers caught the sharks .. ( at the end of a long road trip)
     
    tone79
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2011 - 2:26 PM ET #36

    Reply
     
    SportsFreak69
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2011 - 2:37 PM ET #37

    Best of Luck
    Reply
    Best of Luck
     
    happycap
    happycap
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2011 - 3:52 PM ET #38

    Quote Originally Posted by TrustMyG:

    just wanted to ask you ... dont u think the rangers are catching the ducks the same way the rangers caught the sharks .. ( at the end of a long road trip)

    Yes, but if the Ducks bring half the jam they had in Washington they will leave the Rags in the dust... Rangers are one of the most overrated teams on my list until Richards starts to produce

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by TrustMyG:

    just wanted to ask you ... dont u think the rangers are catching the ducks the same way the rangers caught the sharks .. ( at the end of a long road trip)

    Yes, but if the Ducks bring half the jam they had in Washington they will leave the Rags in the dust... Rangers are one of the most overrated teams on my list until Richards starts to produce

     
    happycap
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2011 - 4:52 PM ET #39

    Personally, I'm actually playing all 7 sides on the REG line ALL for plus money fwiw
    Reply
    Personally, I'm actually playing all 7 sides on the REG line ALL for plus money fwiw
     
    MarchMadness05
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2011 - 5:42 PM ET #40

    BOL
    Reply
    BOL
     
    TRAIN69
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2011 - 6:00 PM ET #41

    Reply
     
    TRAIN69
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2011 - 6:03 PM ET #42

    Quote Originally Posted by happycap:

    FINAL CARD:

    DUCKS +113

    DUCKS U5.5 -137

    LEAFS +108

    ISLES -137

    FLYERS -148

    HAWKS -130

    PREDS U5.5 -145

    NUCKS -134

    NUCKS U5.5 -154

    PENS +120

    NOTE: I've opted to lay juice for the half goal on all three totals... I feel 2/3 of these go under for a small profit and that is the reasoning... 5s are extremely common in these games.

    I think you should play a ten team parlay tonight.

     

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by happycap:

    FINAL CARD:

    DUCKS +113

    DUCKS U5.5 -137

    LEAFS +108

    ISLES -137

    FLYERS -148

    HAWKS -130

    PREDS U5.5 -145

    NUCKS -134

    NUCKS U5.5 -154

    PENS +120

    NOTE: I've opted to lay juice for the half goal on all three totals... I feel 2/3 of these go under for a small profit and that is the reasoning... 5s are extremely common in these games.

    I think you should play a ten team parlay tonight.

     

     
    happycap
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2011 - 6:26 PM ET #43

    Train

    No way man, this could be my Waterloo. I'm worried, hope I don't go 3-7 or even 5-5

    Reply

    Train

    No way man, this could be my Waterloo. I'm worried, hope I don't go 3-7 or even 5-5

     
    vicb
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2011 - 6:27 PM ET #44

    GL tonight buddy
    Reply
    GL tonight buddy
     
    TRAIN69
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2011 - 6:31 PM ET #45

    Quote Originally Posted by happycap:

    Train

    No way man, this could be my Waterloo. I'm worried, hope I don't go 3-7 or even 5-5

    Nah. Its worth 1% of your normal unit.

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by happycap:

    Train

    No way man, this could be my Waterloo. I'm worried, hope I don't go 3-7 or even 5-5

    Nah. Its worth 1% of your normal unit.

     
    freestlyin
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2011 - 6:45 PM ET #46

    Good Luck tonight HC

    Always appreciate the insight

    Reply

    Good Luck tonight HC

    Always appreciate the insight

     
    happycap
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2011 - 7:03 PM ET #47

    Damn leftwinglock was wrong today for the first time I've really seen... Scrivens gets the start not Monster - hopefully no big negative there
    Reply
    Damn leftwinglock was wrong today for the first time I've really seen... Scrivens gets the start not Monster - hopefully no big negative there
     
    happycap
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2011 - 7:51 PM ET #48

    Scrivens looks solid through 20, hope that is a sign of things to come Leafs Nation 
    Reply
    Scrivens looks solid through 20, hope that is a sign of things to come Leafs Nation 
     
    happycap
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2011 - 9:15 PM ET #49

    FINAL, FINAL CARD:

    DUCKS +113

    DUCKS U5.5 -137

    LEAFS +108

    ISLES -137

    FLYERS -148

    HAWKS -130

    PREDS U5.5 -145

    NUCKS -134

    NUCKS U5.5 -154

    PENS +120

    PENS U5.5 -130

    OIL U5 -113

     

    Reply

    FINAL, FINAL CARD:

    DUCKS +113

    DUCKS U5.5 -137

    LEAFS +108

    ISLES -137

    FLYERS -148

    HAWKS -130

    PREDS U5.5 -145

    NUCKS -134

    NUCKS U5.5 -154

    PENS +120

    PENS U5.5 -130

    OIL U5 -113

     

     
     
    happycap
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2011 - 9:17 PM ET #50

    SORRY for late posting but I've decided to play those two late unders

    Reply

    SORRY for late posting but I've decided to play those two late unders

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