Tonite one game.
34-26-15 56.66%
Your system is heavily flawed! When you bet Over 5, you are actually laying heavy juice and often need to win almost 60% (or more) of games just to break even!
Think about it. Games at 5 are low scoring games. But people are scared to bet Unders because a 2-2 nullifies it. A lot of games finish 2-2 or 3-2 resulting in a push.
But how many games actually finish with 6+ goals in comparison to 2-0's and 3-1's ? Not 60% for sure. I have made money betting Unders, even selling 5.5's to 5's to dramatically increase potential payout.
Your system is heavily flawed! When you bet Over 5, you are actually laying heavy juice and often need to win almost 60% (or more) of games just to break even!
Think about it. Games at 5 are low scoring games. But people are scared to bet Unders because a 2-2 nullifies it. A lot of games finish 2-2 or 3-2 resulting in a push.
But how many games actually finish with 6+ goals in comparison to 2-0's and 3-1's ? Not 60% for sure. I have made money betting Unders, even selling 5.5's to 5's to dramatically increase potential payout.
When the line goes to 4.5 on bet365, there is usually VERY HEAVY juice on the Over. Becuase everyone know that a 2-2 score wins it. And that too normally requires one block of scoreless 10 minutes (0-0 midway through the first, 1-0 after 1, etc).
FYI if you're betting Over 5 at -130 juice, you need to win 56.5% of the time to break even. 58% at -140. So your 62% is barely above break-even.
At bet365 the Over is often juiced at -160 AFTER 10 scoreless minutes or 1-0 after 1, or 2 goals midway through the 2nd without 1-1. That's when you need 61.5% to break even.
When the line goes to 4.5 on bet365, there is usually VERY HEAVY juice on the Over. Becuase everyone know that a 2-2 score wins it. And that too normally requires one block of scoreless 10 minutes (0-0 midway through the first, 1-0 after 1, etc).
FYI if you're betting Over 5 at -130 juice, you need to win 56.5% of the time to break even. 58% at -140. So your 62% is barely above break-even.
At bet365 the Over is often juiced at -160 AFTER 10 scoreless minutes or 1-0 after 1, or 2 goals midway through the 2nd without 1-1. That's when you need 61.5% to break even.
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