Red's And Sharps Daily Plays

Yesterday 5W 0L   YTD   28W   15L  + 1355                 Sharps passed. Still   25W   10L

Autopsy on yesterday's wagers. I have to apologize to the odds-makers by saying they were making soft lines on hockey. They're improving every day.

Yesterday's Rangers-Penguins game was a perfect example. On Monday night, I was waiting for the opening lines to be posted, sure that they would hang a 6 flat on this total. Why? Because I made the number 5.5 Under. I was ready to pounce on what I expected would be a great value bet. They fooled me by opening it at 5.5 Over. I started thinking about the bad beats on Saturday night, with open net goals ruining not 1, but 2 of my wagers. I backed off & decided to bet that my favorite team would not score more than 1 or 2 goals last night. Luckily, it turned out I was right.

Devils-Hurricanes were my least favorite wager, but I always say, "never throw yourself in front of a fast moving train". Hurricanes were moving very fast, Devils were stuck in reverse. Hurricanes win 4-1. End of story.

I'm not posting exact splits because I was asked not to by someone who works, at Draft Kings. Truth be told, I have an indirect connection with Draft Kings, so I don't want to ruffle any feathers. Sharp plays, will take its place. 6 of 1, half a dozen of another, if you know what I mean.

If anyone is making money following my plays, the only thing I would ask, is for you to give to a worthy charity, so that people less fortunate than us, can also have a very Happy Holiday. It also produces good Karma, so we can continue to cash our bets. Much appreciated. Be back soon with today's plays or non-plays. We shall see.

Great stuff as always Red. Love reading your analysis on this type of stuff.

"you to give to a worthy charity, so that people less fortunate than us, can also have a very Happy Holiday."

Amen Brother.  Don't even have to be tailing you and/or winning to do this.

So, today, it seems the oddsmaker once again has put up some accurate numbers. I was looking at the Devils Over, but now I see 6.5 Over & even some 7's around. We lose all the value we might have had at a lower total. I'm passing that game. Instead, I'm going to ask a bad team to do something they might not be capable of doing. But, I have heard that management was very upset that the Black Hawks allowed 7 goals in their last game with the Rangers. Maybe a few days off will give them a chance to practice defense. The game is steaming up as everyone seems to be on the Predators. I can't say I blame them, but I think the goal total is starting to get a little high for a team that usually does not score many goals on the road. I will take my chances and play

Nashville Under 3.5 Goals -110

Sharps are on the Stars in Hockey & The Clippers - 8 in the NBA

The Air Force bowl game is starting to steam towards the short. I hope people played it when I 1st posted it a few days. 4's are gone, and I only see 3.5 as of today. I also sprinkled a small play on the ML + 160

Some information on bowl games  ======= Most underdogs that cover the spread also win the whole game at a much higher rate than in the regular season. So, if you like an underdog, it usually makes sense to bet them on the ML as well.

Best Of Luck To All. Please Wager Responsibly. There are no sure things in sports betting. =========== Lets Go!

Hey Red,

BOL with your play tonight buddy  

Taking another night off...maybe the whole week off lol.

Cheers  

Good luck red!

Yesterday 0-1           YTD 28W 16L + 1245             Sharps    1-1        YTD     26W   11L

Autopsy of yesterday's play. Lost by a 1/2 goal. Black Hawks Are Just A Disaster. I don't regret making this wager, as I still feel I had a slight edge. It just didn't go my way.

Sharps are on the Rangers, tonight.

Hopefully we can cash our bet with Air Force tonight. Weather forecast is 20 degrees with wind gusts up to 40 mph. Got to like the team with more disciple, who loves to run the ball & control the clock.

Thursday night football pits the Jaguars against the Jets. The public are on the Jets moving the line from -1.5 to 2.5 as of this moment. There was a rumor that Lawrence might not play. I don't believe it for one second. I just can't bring myself to play the Jets as long as Wilson is the quarterback. He makes too many bad decisions, for my liking. Yes, I know the Jets need the game to make the play-offs. If I had 100 dollars for every team that was in a must win situation, and lost in the NFL, I would be much richer, than I already am. Some people are thinking that Jacksonville will have a let-down after having come back to beat the Cowboys in miraculous fashion, but Jacksonville needs the game as well.

I chose to use a Wong teaser Jaguars + 8.5  & Buffalo -2. I think that will provide more value than betting the game straight-up.

Wong's teasers always show more value when the cold weather sets in, & totals are lower.

Best Of Luck  ============= As always, please bet Responsibly.  =========== Let's Go!

Public is not on the Jets.

That line is being moved by sharps.

VSIN shows 73% on Jack, Action has it at 58%, Vegas perspective has it at 61% and Sports Interaction at 73%.

Cheers

@tboon

 I can't think of any Sharp that would bet on Wilson & the Jets. Someone just came into Circa & bet 50,000 ML on the Jaguars

@Redlad

 Jets Defense is legit.

Jags missing their best offensive LT and missing 2 of their best d-lineman. 2 other offensive lineman are gametime decisions.......Are they 100%?? Probably not. Also, Quinnen Williams, the Jets best defensive player and pass rusher also returning tonight.  This game will be decided in the trenches, and with the Jets at home and Jags on a short week traveling, I will eat the -2.5 on the men in green and white. Small play however.

-Fireman

@Redlad

 The line move against the majority consensus number of bets on the Jags would indicate sharp action.

Sharps play numbers, not teams.

Doesn't mean it will win but that's how it breaks down currently.

g/l

@awfireman1

 I hope you win, as long as the game falls 7 or less than I'm still alive with my teaser. I tried to explain that the line movement to the Jets was caused by a false rumor that Lawrence was not going to play. But, someone comes into my thread stating that the Sharps are on the Jets, because of some numbers he saw on a web-site. Totally ridiculous. I work with a sportsbook, so I think I should know who the Sharps are playing. To digress

There are so many touts on Air Force, which is never a good sign.

@Redlad

Nice put down, not very cool but anyway....everyone now knows that Lawrence is playing, so if it moved because of the "Lawrence not playing rumor" yesterday then why hasn't it gone back to pick or the Jags even being favored again?

Cheers

@tboon

 Not always my friend. There are plenty of filthy rich people who bet very large amounts of money on football. I've seen it for many years. They can sometimes move the line.

# 2 === Not all sharps play money & not teams. I see you've heard that phase from certain so-called sharps that go on podcasts.

I play teams & look for the best numbers for value. It's all about value. And I'm as sharp as anyone in the betting world, because I've been making a living betting on sports for 40 years. So, please don't insult me by throwing around phases that you've heard on podcasts. Why don't you use the phase "The Market"? Younger people just getting into the business like to use this phase, because it makes them feel like they're investing in stocks. They can't rub 2 nickels together, but they're great at learning phases. When you can make a living betting on sports, then you can also lecture me on what the sharps are betting. Until then, I would appreciate it, if an amateur does not lecture a professional. Best Of luck.

@Redlad

 Wow, you're a real asshole.

Good luck anyway

@tboon

 Nice put down, not very cool but anyway....everyone now knows that Lawrence is playing, so if it moved because of the "Lawrence not playing rumor" yesterday then why hasn't it gone back to pick or the Jags even being favored again?

Because (The Market has settled in at the number 2.5). You think you'll ever see a 3? Not in a million years.

A piece of advice, instead of trying to show how smart you are by challenging what a professional sports bettor has typed. Why not try to expand your knowledge by learning how to become a better handicapper?

You see, this is how it works

On Sunday night, the oddsmakers put up a number on every football game. They let a select few people bet into their opening numbers. They also don't allow you to bet more than 10 dimes on the game. Then the market (Sorry for phase) becomes efficient. They have more confidence that the numbers are right, & now allow the public to bet, sometimes in professional football, up to $100.00 on a game. That's how works. I hope you learned something. It's always better to be a student & than a know-it-all. It will make you a better handicapper. Thanks for your interest in my thread,

@tboon

 Alright you jerk. Now STAY OUT OF MY THREADS!

@IntenseOperator

 Yes. Tboon is a jerk, who thinks he knows it all. In public forums, you always find idiots like him. It goes with the territory. It's why I stopped posting in Covers Forums for 5 years. Not only that, but it's hard to deal with the TROLLS.

I'll only post to correct you when you put out false information like where the public is moving a line when it clearly isn't.

Bye douche bag

@tboon

 TROLL. STAY OUT OF MY THREADS! IF YOU DON'T I'LL ASK THE COVERS REFEREE's TO STOP YOU. IF THEY DON'T === I'LL STOP POSTING. PERIOD!

@tboon

 Fake news

Appreciate your post Red

Appreciate your post Red

@Redlad

 Thanks for today's picks. The flak gets heavy when you're over the target. Maybe the fireman can put out the fire on his and tbone's burnt cash!