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The Lippsman Split Round 1

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Posted: #26

Hi Mr Lippsman! Do you think the new format for playoffs is having an effect on this long-running betting angle? Just asking. an_praise

 
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Posted: #27
Game 2: Minnesota & Philadelphia parlay +800!

 
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Posted: #28
How can you back a team on the road that just got routed 7-0 by the back to back champs?? They have no goalie
 
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Posted: #29
Quote Originally Posted by StairwaytoSeven:

How can you back a team on the road that just got routed 7-0 by the back to back champs?? They have no goalie
  Just so you're aware as you sound new to hockey. A handful of years ago these same Flyers were routed by these same Penguins by the same 7 goals and that game was in Philly and their goalie was Bryzgalov who is even worse than Elliot. The Penguins destroyed them 10-3 that day. The Flyers won the series 4 games to 2. The Flyers crushed them 8-3, 5-1 and 8-4 in 3 of the games....

One game has zero to do with the next. If anything when you beat a team that badly you can be sure in the next game you will almost certainly get their best game of the season. 
The lion and the tiger may be more powerful, but the wolf doesn't perform in the circus.
 
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Posted: #30
Quote Originally Posted by Polar_Bear:

  Just so you're aware as you sound new to hockey. A handful of years ago these same Flyers were routed by these same Penguins by the same 7 goals and that game was in Philly and their goalie was Bryzgalov who is even worse than Elliot. The Penguins destroyed them 10-3 that day. The Flyers won the series 4 games to 2. The Flyers crushed them 8-3, 5-1 and 8-4 in 3 of the games....

One game has zero to do with the next. If anything when you beat a team that badly you can be sure in the next game you will almost certainly get their best game of the season. 

 That is exactly how hockey rolls
 
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Posted: #31
Quote Originally Posted by StairwaytoSeven:

How can you back a team on the road that just got routed 7-0 by the back to back champs?? They have no goalie
I was hoping it would end 10-0,with each goal my eye on the flyers got stronger.+185 or nothing
 
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Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by StairwaytoSeven:

How can you back a team on the road that just got routed 7-0 by the back to back champs?? They have no goalie

Flyers 5
Pens 1

Philly +185

That's how I can back a team that was routed by the back to back champs. 


 
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Posted: #33
So we have three plays tomorrow?  Small medium and large in terms of long shots it seems
 
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Posted: #34
Quote Originally Posted by Ramanujan:

So we have three plays tomorrow?  Small medium and large in terms of long shots it seems

Yes we do, two huge dog plays

Devils +210
Avs +289
Leafs +152

 
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Posted: #35
Quote Originally Posted by JOHNNY_ODAE:

Hi Mr Lippsman! Do you think the new format for playoffs is having an effect on this long-running betting angle? Just asking. an_praise


I really don't.
 
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Posted: #36
Last  night 1-0, picking up +1.85 units, overall 3-5 -.59 of a unit

Nailing the Devils or Avs would be quite nice
 
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Posted: #37
Glad you hit but you really should be putting this in a normal pick thread. There is no theory to it if you are picking and choosing which plays to make, that is just normal handicapping and normal dog selection based upon what you have handicapped from the games yourself. This is just you making picks it does not fall under the umbrella of any system or angle. No one could pull this up on their own and just play it because that's not what is happening. They are simply following the dogs you are selecting through handicapping and not playing the ones you have omitted through your personal handicapping for your own personal preference reasons.

They should go under Lipps playoff picks not the false guise of a blanket angle. But anyway good luck with your own selections here
The lion and the tiger may be more powerful, but the wolf doesn't perform in the circus.
 
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Posted: #38

Quote Originally Posted by Lippsman:

Posted: 10 hours ago "Quote" Quote Originally Posted by StairwaytoSeven: How can you back a team on the road that just got routed 7-0 by the back to back champs?? They have no goalie Flyers 5Pens 1Philly +185That's how I can back a team that was routed by the back to back champs.

Teams that get routed like that, by 5+ goals in the playoffs, show up and win the next game, something like 90% of the time. Doesn't happen often but I always watch for it in the playoffs. Happened twice last year and both team that got embarrassed won the next game. These are talented professionals that are going to respond to that type of embarrassment, especially given the rivalry. 

 
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Posted: #39
Quote Originally Posted by Polar_Bear:

Glad you hit but you really should be putting this in a normal pick thread. There is no theory to it if you are picking and choosing which plays to make, that is just normal handicapping and normal dog selection based upon what you have handicapped from the games yourself. This is just you making picks it does not fall under the umbrella of any system or angle. No one could pull this up on their own and just play it because that's not what is happening. They are simply following the dogs you are selecting through handicapping and not playing the ones you have omitted through your personal handicapping for your own personal preference reasons.

They should go under Lipps playoff picks not the false guise of a blanket angle. But anyway good luck with your own selections here

I post them in the daily thread and seriously, have you not read any of the split threads I have been posting for decades. It tells exactly the parameters so yes it's very much an angle.  I have no personal input on what teams are picked.

In fact you don't even need to see the teams I post because if you go by the parameters you know exactly what teams to pick

 
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Posted: #40
For the posters that missed the thread

https://www.covers.com/postingforum/POST01/showmessage.aspx?spt=23&sub=103231357


 
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Posted: #41

Ive read it before and i always notice the same inconsistencies every season but anyways goodluck with your picks...

The lion and the tiger may be more powerful, but the wolf doesn't perform in the circus.
 
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Posted: #42

Let's Go Flyers!!   ;)

The lion and the tiger may be more powerful, but the wolf doesn't perform in the circus.
 
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Posted: #43
Quote Originally Posted by Lippsman:


I post them in the daily thread and seriously, have you not read any of the split threads I have been posting for decades. It tells exactly the parameters so yes it's very much an angle.  I have no personal input on what teams are picked.

In fact you don't even need to see the teams I post because if you go by the parameters you know exactly what teams to pick




I don't understand what is so hard about it for people to understand...  it's fairly simple to comprehend and the bottom line is that it profits annually.  
 
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Posted: #44
Quote Originally Posted by Polar_Bear:

Ive read it before and i always notice the same inconsistencies every season but anyways goodluck with your picks...


It's always the injury situation, that's the only wild card there is

 
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Posted: #45
wondering what the 1st period works out for road dogs especially after losing game 1...seems like the Favs are really napping early...
 
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Posted: #46
Quote Originally Posted by Hoyasaxa:

wondering what the 1st period works out for road dogs especially after losing game 1...seems like the Favs are really napping early...

I have never crunched those numbers
 
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Posted: #47
Quote Originally Posted by BWS77:




I don't understand what is so hard about it for people to understand...  it's fairly simple to comprehend and the bottom line is that it profits annually.  
I was having some fun here but since you stuck your nose in. Explain why Lipps played some dogs but not others....I know his reasoning for not taking the Wild and then not taking the Kings in game 2 but do you? And in my book that is handicapping to take the Avalanche but not take the Wild, he made a conscious decision there. Can you explain why he did that and the difference between the Avs and the Wild. I know what his answer would be because I know how he thinks but I am curious if you do?
The lion and the tiger may be more powerful, but the wolf doesn't perform in the circus.
 
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Posted: #48
Both big dogs go down, now need the......for the love of God....Leafs to come through

You will see a much better effort tonight.  Not sure it it will be enough though.

Leafs +153
 
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Posted: #49
BTW there is an alternate split play also. 

Ducks -134

But not official and not playing it.  Although I know plenty that are

 
 
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Posted: #50
When you need the leafs to come through for you... you know it's been a rough day 

Same boat, so hopefully it doesn't sink tonight 
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