Thinking about these series plays

Isles  +1.5  +125  +2.5  -180  SU +275

I know my Canes are stacked, but consider Isles have equal to better goaltending in Sorokin and Vlarmy, and they split season series 2-2.  Canes also outsted Isles last Cup playoffs, but not carrying much weight on the Revenge part.  Isles hot AF going 8-1-1 last ten, and have no significant injuries.  This team scares me, and I think the series price is significantly skewed.  +280 Implied Odds is 26% chance Isles win.  Canes went 52-30 (52-23-7) for a 0.63 win percentage and Isles 39-43 (39-27-16) for a 0.48 win percentage and they are in the same Division, so that is literally playing the same schedule.  I would have priced this below +200 to get closer to a 65% differential.

Caps - rinse repeat at +350  +150  -155

IMHO the market is off here and at least 1 of these teams makes it 7 Games, and possible outright winner.  Nothing is guaranteed in gambling, so they both could lose 4-1, but I'd take my chances that each series goes 6, and sprinkle on the +1.5 and Series Win.  +2.5 parlay pays +160. 

I think Rangers are the chokers this year. 1st or 2nd round

I think Rangers are the chokers this year. 1st or 2nd round

Canes are stacked but when you play tight...low scoring games in the playoffs and run into a hot goalie...anything can happen ( see Bruins / Montreal in the Ken Dryden era ).

There is certainly value in those bets.

I just don't see the Crapbags with enough depth to get past the Rags.

Good luck

agree with boo

isles have decent shot, and its a rematch of last year if im not mistaken

rangers should get by caps in 6, maybe 5

The installation of Roy could have gone one of two ways, and the team has obviously bought in..which could be a factor. 

Just think it's a Canes/Rags meeting ahead. Give credit to Roy and the fighting Piroozi's. Still can't get over Caps at -37 goal differential. One on hand, you can say they are used to tight games and winning but the Rangers just too much fire power. Think the Canes can't play tight, close games v Isles or it will bite them in the arse. I want to see them open it up because I feel they have more offensive scorers. 

It is fun when you don't have to worry about your team and just want good pucks. Hell, I would like to see every series go to game 7 as a fan. 

GL D.

@smellybunty  I agree, but I also think that we could say that about a lot of teams - the level of parity and the difference in playoff hockey vs Reg season gives really any team a chance.  I stopped betting Futures because of that very reason.  GL bud.

@BooBunny  good input boo.  and totally agree.  I have much more faith in Isles over my Canes than I do Craps over Rags, but Wash has defied the odds making the playoffs, and a team that did not really have Legit playoff expectations (Homers aside, please), they are here and playing with House money.  GL to you this playoffs.

@dubz4dummyz  rematch yes.  I think you are right on Rags, so that +2.5 parlay may be the play. 

@Gainsford  did not seem so at first, but their latest streak maybe hints that they have.  Any totals today? 

@GASportsDoc  yeah, I am shocked at that figure too.  And totally agree on game play and pace.  They didn't really change too much last year, just ran into a FLA team that started clicking in that Boston Series, and was just playing too well to be stopped in the EC Finals (until Cup).  Sorry 'bout the Pens - that would have been even scarier as the #8 Seed after we all left them for dead in March. 

Alternative to +2,5 bet is to bet Series over under.  Rags Caps is -125 for +5.5  and -140 Isles series +5.5 

Other stats on Isles/Canes:

Road Team 4-0 - neither team won at home this year in H2H. 

In SCP playoffs last year Canes 2-1 at Nassau Coliseum (or whatever its called now) and Isles were 1-2 in Raleigh. 

Isles 8-1-0-1 last ten and Over is 2-6-2

Canes 7-2 last nine (Throwing out the CLB game where they rested half their team) Over 2-6-1

Over 3-2-1 in last year SCP series H2H

Over 3-1 this year Reg season

Gl !