VGA - NHL Model Picks Analysis - Feb 19

I am discouraged by posting this after reading the comments on my previous post, and am only doing this by force of staying true to my word. I wrote that post to incite inspiration and convey a great detail in the market structure of betting in the NHL rather than convey arrogancy. The aggression has cautioned me to a limit my post on this side. The last paragraph of the post i greatly expressed the model become obsolete as you begin approaching the games from an unknown awareness.

NYR xEG: 2.3   AdjxEG: 2.96
CAR xEG: 3.3   AdjxEG: 4.82

Condensed Final Output
NYR 1.3
CAR 2.8

What i like about this model is that it doesn't take into account B2B days or 0 rest, in fact i may argue the results are even more true. I'm tackling this game from what the model doesn't know.  When i look at Hurricanes entire season they average 3 game win streaks regardless of OT or not that 4th game is quite questionable. The condensed Average goals were NYR-7.4, CAR-6.9 What threw me off Carolina was they had a low save percentage in all instances vs rangers. They average 3 game win streaks + NYR are on a seasonal head 2 head trend win against them in the final meeting of the season.
NYR have history of deafeting Carolina in the past 3 years. 7-3

I'm done guys no motivation for proper analysis... I was gonna do every game but I'm discouraged i literally just logged on and saw all the bashing for no reason. *Waits for NBA*

Model Prediction

Over 6.5 Goals
CAR

My Prediction

NYR SU or OT - I've used this model well enough to know how it calculates past games and translates it to now, i'm not believing those numbers for CAR.

Sorry for the negativity man. Just people like results and follow through so when you disappeared for a bit after that well thought out analysis it was tough to know the truth. However you are back and came through likebyou said so don’t be discouraged. I would encourage you to post more games. I like your thought process and glad you showed your face again here 

How do you feel about Nashville tonight ? 

Interesting analysis...Rangers usually show up against the better teams. 

Dallas wins tonight

NSH 2.77  AdjxEG 3.69
DAL 4.71  AdjxEG 4.71

Condensed
NSH 3
DAL 3.9

Their raw "now" performance in my model is 121  & NSH is 113 in my model. Dallas wins.

The problem of ice hockey is to really know if the team that bet is well prepared for that night and we are not talking about injuries, influences much more calendar and planning of technical equipment (the book has this information) that the physical state everything else he said are mental straws and by not publishing is showing to be just a sell smoke . It's more if you really have a system that hits that rhythm I do not think you will share it and less if you have the books in between because you would also have to do the mental straw if I publish this market will be influenced by my selections and then there will be mismatches in the odds . Also  you have to add 5-10 % of puck luck.

Not sure why people were hating in your other thread .. lot of miserable degenerates out there 

Yeah but I don't care about your or any model unless it's proven a winner so what's it matter to me if you post about it? If it really bothers someone enough to hate on someone on a public forum about it then so be it .. seems like a pretty sad existence to me