Ok, I've bee riding the Kings UNDER cash cow all season. Tomorrow we get the UNDER 5 -150. This might be the last time we see them get "5's" this season and I as shocked the haven't started setting the line at 4.5. I have the game capped as 1-0. I haven't kept track of how 1-0 games end up but I know they are hitting more regular then not. A couple of trends to look at:
Over is 2-0-2 in Flames last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
Under is 4-0-1 in Flames last 5 games as an underdog of +110 to +150.
Under is 7-1-2 in Flames last 10 games as an underdog.
Under is 6-1-2 in Flames last 9 vs. Pacific.
Under is 4-1-1 in Flames last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 4-1-1 in Flames last 6 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Under is 16-4-3 in Flames last 23 vs. Western Conference.
Under is 4-1-1 in Flames last 6 games as a road underdog.
Under is 6-1-4 in Kings last 11 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Under is 18-4-5 in Kings last 27 Saturday games.
Under is 6-1-4 in Kings last 11 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Under is 18-4-5 in Kings last 27 Saturday games.
Under is 6-1-4 in Kings last 11 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Under is 18-4-5 in Kings last 27 Saturday games.
Tomorrow we get two teams that stuggle night in and night out to score and two goalies that have been on fire recently. Of the last 10 games against each other the UNDER is 7-2-1. I feel at worse case scenario the 5
KINGS/FLAMES UNDER 5 UNITS
OTHER LEANS
BLUES/WILD UNDER FLYERS/PENS OVER
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Ok, I've bee riding the Kings UNDER cash cow all season. Tomorrow we get the UNDER 5 -150. This might be the last time we see them get "5's" this season and I as shocked the haven't started setting the line at 4.5. I have the game capped as 1-0. I haven't kept track of how 1-0 games end up but I know they are hitting more regular then not. A couple of trends to look at:
Over is 2-0-2 in Flames last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
Under is 4-0-1 in Flames last 5 games as an underdog of +110 to +150.
Under is 7-1-2 in Flames last 10 games as an underdog.
Under is 6-1-2 in Flames last 9 vs. Pacific.
Under is 4-1-1 in Flames last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 4-1-1 in Flames last 6 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Under is 16-4-3 in Flames last 23 vs. Western Conference.
Under is 4-1-1 in Flames last 6 games as a road underdog.
Under is 6-1-4 in Kings last 11 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Under is 18-4-5 in Kings last 27 Saturday games.
Under is 6-1-4 in Kings last 11 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Under is 18-4-5 in Kings last 27 Saturday games.
Under is 6-1-4 in Kings last 11 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Under is 18-4-5 in Kings last 27 Saturday games.
Tomorrow we get two teams that stuggle night in and night out to score and two goalies that have been on fire recently. Of the last 10 games against each other the UNDER is 7-2-1. I feel at worse case scenario the 5
I can these odds tonight assuming UNDER 4.5 (excluding SO)
Tie 0-0 @ 90-1
Tie 1-1 @ 17-1
Calgary 1-0 @ 60-1
Calgary 2-0 @ 48-1
Calgary 2-1 @ 12-1
Calgary 3-0 @ 43-1
Calgary 3-1 @ 16-1
Calgary 4-0 @ 80-1
LA 1-0 @ 45-1
LA 2-0 @ 35-1
LA 2-1 @ 12-1
LA 3-0 @ 33-1
LA 3-1 @ 12-1
LA 4-0 @ 60-1
That's 14 combos, but you feel strongly about a 1-0 game, so how many of these would you play?
I can parlay this with a Stanley Cup futures bet that has lots of value:
Detroit +600
Vancouver +650
St.Louis +1400
Example: LA 1-0 @ 45-1 x Det +600 x $10 = $3150 OR Calgary 1-0 @ 60-1 x Det +600 x $10 = $4200 OR Tie 0-0 after 65 minutes @ 90-1 x Det +600 x $10 = $6300
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I can these odds tonight assuming UNDER 4.5 (excluding SO)
Tie 0-0 @ 90-1
Tie 1-1 @ 17-1
Calgary 1-0 @ 60-1
Calgary 2-0 @ 48-1
Calgary 2-1 @ 12-1
Calgary 3-0 @ 43-1
Calgary 3-1 @ 16-1
Calgary 4-0 @ 80-1
LA 1-0 @ 45-1
LA 2-0 @ 35-1
LA 2-1 @ 12-1
LA 3-0 @ 33-1
LA 3-1 @ 12-1
LA 4-0 @ 60-1
That's 14 combos, but you feel strongly about a 1-0 game, so how many of these would you play?
I can parlay this with a Stanley Cup futures bet that has lots of value:
Detroit +600
Vancouver +650
St.Louis +1400
Example: LA 1-0 @ 45-1 x Det +600 x $10 = $3150 OR Calgary 1-0 @ 60-1 x Det +600 x $10 = $4200 OR Tie 0-0 after 65 minutes @ 90-1 x Det +600 x $10 = $6300
I too have been riding the under wagon Bag. StL is also another great under team.
Just play a 5 game chase on either of these 2 teams and you'll make a tonne! They rarely RARELY play more than 2 straight games of over. I play a little different tho as a bump up all my lines to 5.5's. Winning at a total of 5 rather than pushing is huge my mind.
BTW Pinnacle has the 4.5 line in CGY?LA at +129.
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I too have been riding the under wagon Bag. StL is also another great under team.
Just play a 5 game chase on either of these 2 teams and you'll make a tonne! They rarely RARELY play more than 2 straight games of over. I play a little different tho as a bump up all my lines to 5.5's. Winning at a total of 5 rather than pushing is huge my mind.
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