~~ AFL FINALS 2015 ~~

Question

My friends, Finals are here. Let&#x27;s roll:&#xD;&#xA;West Coast Eagles vs Hawthorn Hawks (&#x2B;4.5 , -4.5)&#xD;&#xA;Total coin flip, staying far far away from this and will enjoy purely from a spectator point of view. Save your money.&#xD;&#xA;But if you are desperate to play and I am unsure why anyone would be, I refuse to bet against Hawthorn, particularly when the odds are at even money. Hodge is back, Smith is a big blow (if he is out), but they just find a way to dominate most weeks and are not really phased by playing away from home.&#xD;&#xA; &#xD;&#xA;Fremantle Dockers vs Sydney Swans (-17.5 , &#x2B;17.5)&#xD;&#xA;Well, Fremantle are completely rested and are playing at their home fortress. Swans are missing all their best players including Franklin, Parker and Jack. Nick Smith, who is a very good small defender, is also racing against time to be fit with a hamstring injury. &#xD;&#xA;It is beyond me the line is 17.5, I was thinking 30&#x2B; with the injuries. Finals are typically close, but not this one.&#xD;&#xA;I think Freo absolutely steamrolls here.&#xD;&#xA;PLAY: Fremantle -17.5 @ 1.92 &#xD;&#xA; &#xD;&#xA;Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows (-1.5 , &#x2B;1.5)&#xD;&#xA;The fact this is at the MCG instead of Etihad helps the Crows, but the stadium they are playing at isn&#x27;t going to be enough to save them. &#xD;&#xA;Dogs will get Boyd and Murphy back after a rest and essentially have their full team. They have been extremely impressive all season with their run and gun fast paced style and Crows will not like this and will struggle to shut them down on a large MCG ground. &#xD;&#xA;I do like the Crows as a team, but they just have too many weak links (their backline and inexperience). &#xD;&#xA;PLAY: Dogs -1.5 @ 1.92 &#xD;&#xA;Richmond Tigers v North Melbourne Kangaroos&#xD;&#xA;Another coinflip for me and another no play. I don&#x27;t see any angle to exploit.&#xD;&#xA;To be completely honest I think Kangaroos will win, but I would prefer Richmond to and therefore will enjoy this game without stressing about the money factor or who I want in my heart to win.&#xD;&#xA; &#xD;&#xA;Don&#x27;t be shy to parlay/multi the Fremantle and Dogs bets.&#xD;&#xA; &#xD;&#xA;Best of luck to all, these are my views only and I am not forcing anyone to follow.&#xD;&#xA;Enjoy the Finals!

peekay89 · Answer

My friends, Finals are here. Let&#x27;s roll:&#xD;&#xA;West Coast Eagles vs Hawthorn Hawks (&#x2B;4.5 , -4.5)&#xD;&#xA;Total coin flip, staying far far away from this and will enjoy purely from a spectator point of view. Save your money.&#xD;&#xA;But if you are desperate to play and I am unsure why anyone would be, I refuse to bet against Hawthorn, particularly when the odds are at even money. Hodge is back, Smith is a big blow (if he is out), but they just find a way to dominate most weeks and are not really phased by playing away from home.&#xD;&#xA; &#xD;&#xA;Fremantle Dockers vs Sydney Swans (-17.5 , &#x2B;17.5)&#xD;&#xA;Well, Fremantle are completely rested and are playing at their home fortress. Swans are missing all their best players including Franklin, Parker and Jack. Nick Smith, who is a very good small defender, is also racing against time to be fit with a hamstring injury. &#xD;&#xA;It is beyond me the line is 17.5, I was thinking 30&#x2B; with the injuries. Finals are typically close, but not this one.&#xD;&#xA;I think Freo absolutely steamrolls here.&#xD;&#xA;PLAY: Fremantle -17.5 @ 1.92 &#xD;&#xA; &#xD;&#xA;Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows (-1.5 , &#x2B;1.5)&#xD;&#xA;The fact this is at the MCG instead of Etihad helps the Crows, but the stadium they are playing at isn&#x27;t going to be enough to save them. &#xD;&#xA;Dogs will get Boyd and Murphy back after a rest and essentially have their full team. They have been extremely impressive all season with their run and gun fast paced style and Crows will not like this and will struggle to shut them down on a large MCG ground. &#xD;&#xA;I do like the Crows as a team, but they just have too many weak links (their backline and inexperience). &#xD;&#xA;PLAY: Dogs -1.5 @ 1.92 &#xD;&#xA;Richmond Tigers v North Melbourne Kangaroos&#xD;&#xA;Another coinflip for me and another no play. I don&#x27;t see any angle to exploit.&#xD;&#xA;To be completely honest I think Kangaroos will win, but I would prefer Richmond to and therefore will enjoy this game without stressing about the money factor or who I want in my heart to win.&#xD;&#xA; &#xD;&#xA;Don&#x27;t be shy to parlay/multi the Fremantle and Dogs bets.&#xD;&#xA; &#xD;&#xA;Best of luck to all, these are my views only and I am not forcing anyone to follow.&#xD;&#xA;Enjoy the Finals!

Target2million · Answer

How the afl format work pk.   Is it same like nrl.  Will top 4 team get life line.    Botom 4 got do or die.     I will keep on eye for my parlays.

isport · Answer

I to will keepon eye for my parlays

peekay89 · Answer

Hi guys,Target - yes you are correct. Top 4 have double chance and bottom 4 play elimination finals.So tigers, north melbourne, bulldogs and adelaide all open to be kicked out of finals.

Erich777 · Answer

Interesting reads buddy, most different to my own, lol.  You cause me to think more about the Freo match tho.  I wouldn&#x27;t lay that many points with Freo offense against any playiff team.  Even Swans missing players can make it physical defensively.  At same time, feel Swans may have given up.

isport · Answer

Erich&#x27;s insider told me something about possibly three players being out for the bulldogs, tread carefully on the doggies PK.

peekay89 · Answer

Not worried guys, taking these plays regardless. Stuck on them even before lines were released

peekay89 · Answer

I wouldnt be surprised to see Freo win by 40&#x2B;, just a gut feel that I get sometimes

isport · Answer

The whole country is with you on that one

ecoute · Answer

Personally for me going the other way with the Doggies pick. Doggies home ground is Etihad and their backline relies too much Boyd and Murphy. You got to ask who they match up against Tex and Betts.

peekay89 · Answer

The importance of Parker, Jack and Franklin is just too much for the Swans to cover. There's now no x-factor for the Swans that Franklin and to a lesser extent Parker provided. Their targets will consist of Tippett (when he's not being demolished in the ruck by Sandilands) and Goodes (too old, too slow).

It's finals now, Freo will ramp it right up. Ross Lyon would have been preparing for this a long time ago. If Freo kick the first 2 or 3 of the game and get the crowd into it, the game will almost be over before it started. People are stating that they have no confidence in the Freo attack; this team is capable of leading by 6-10 goals at Quarter time on their day.

I understand people's concerns with the Dogs; I like the crows too.

I just don't like the Crows in this spot, some of their players like Van Berlo, Hartigan, Atkins (if they are playing which I assume they are) are just complete trash. Yes I love Dangerfield, and Tex, and Betts is dangerous, but I see Crameri and to a huge extent Stringer giving the young Crows defenders nightmares. Talia, who is a phenomenal defender for the crows and their best one, is there to play on the big and slow forwards. Dogs don't have one (Redpath maybe) and play a lot of small, fast ball football.

These are the thoughts that really lead to my plays, but it's betting, so anything can happen.

peekay89 · Answer

95% chance of rain in Perth for Hawks Eagles game. It has been pouring all day today there so am huessing it will be very wet.Points total still set at 158.5Very very interesting.

Erich777 · Answer

Great stuff Peekay, and funny one Sport, haha.Not sure at all what I&#x27;m going to play now.  Will decide last minute am sure.  Hawks line in to 2.5.

Target2million · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by isport]  I to will keepon eye for my parlays mr isport are you making fun with me.  or have got any problem with  me or what else. talk to me straightforward buddy.

isport · Answer

Yeah I&#x27;m wondering if you&#x27;re a bot, posting same thing over and over again. Are you actually from New Zealand?

Target2million · Answer

i live in beautiful wellington called newzealand capital buddy.

i will never ever post bull..s.. and never lie..

every single things i post on cover "trage2m" ture.

my world is my life.....

you know why im "buddhist"

hope you get me now. do you want to know more... let me know.

Target2million · Answer

sorry my word is my life.   as you know i do lots parlays.  thats true too.

Target2million · Answer

you mean " bot" .  i follow people.  yes i follow good people and learn always good things.   coz im humble.. but before i put my money i do my own resarch too.

isport · Answer

Where were you born and raised? Clearly you immigrated.

Target2million · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by isport] Where were you born and raised? Clearly you immigrated.
[/Quote

Haha. Clearly you have got some problems in your life buddy

Hope you understand this forum for share thoughts for gambling..

isport · Answer

I know that, I&#x27;m just trying to figure out why your sentences are constructed at the level of a 5 year old.Sorry for the thread derail PK.

Target2million · Answer

@isportYou know buddy.  Its not your fault.   Its sad your mum and did not teach you good and bad things  for your life.  Thx god my mum and dad did me that help.  If you need any help  for your life.  Still not late.   Fogive me pk using your forum.

isport · Answer

My point has been proven

peekay89 · Answer

I think T2 is from Sri Lanka, but lives in New Zealand.

Please do not mock his English as not being perfect. Not everyone can speak fluent English for a reason, and it's not reason to make fun of someone.

He is always very welcoming and kind to everyone around here and always posts good plays.

Erich777 · Answer

Yo, any reason for Hawks line moving out to 9.5?

~~ AFL FINALS 2015 ~~

Hot Forum Topics

AFL FINALS 2015