"Met" a few other AFL followers/tippers in Rd 12, so thought I might post some lines/thoughts early for Rd 13, along with my leans. Goal is to share knowledge and help us all "beat the man" (or "joe public"). I think I might be "joe public" at the moment, so help me be better. :)
HomeAwayPre LineHm Line
25-JunFreoColl-25.5 -25.5
26-JunSydRich-25.5 -25.5
27-JunHawEss-44.5 -44.5
BrisAdel25.5 25.5
STKWB13.5 13.5
28-JunCarlGC-10.5 -10.5
Lines will be updated tomorrow, but should be close to above with only 1 game left in Rd 12. My leans:
Collingwood +25.5. Bucks has them playing well, and with as much heart as anyone. Freo can't seem to get interested and focused enough (a la Hawks) to cover a 4+ goal line against a team that will play hard.
Hawthorn -44.5. Best-run team all around in the league, will come to play and get the %-age up.
Western Bulldogs -13.5. Love the Saints, but don't think the talent can match the confidence/ability of WB at the moment.
Carlton -10.5. They continue to push hard, and with a heavier line-up of opponents after this match, win by 3 goals.
Look forward to others' thoughts/views/leans...
Cheers
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
"Met" a few other AFL followers/tippers in Rd 12, so thought I might post some lines/thoughts early for Rd 13, along with my leans. Goal is to share knowledge and help us all "beat the man" (or "joe public"). I think I might be "joe public" at the moment, so help me be better. :)
HomeAwayPre LineHm Line
25-JunFreoColl-25.5 -25.5
26-JunSydRich-25.5 -25.5
27-JunHawEss-44.5 -44.5
BrisAdel25.5 25.5
STKWB13.5 13.5
28-JunCarlGC-10.5 -10.5
Lines will be updated tomorrow, but should be close to above with only 1 game left in Rd 12. My leans:
Collingwood +25.5. Bucks has them playing well, and with as much heart as anyone. Freo can't seem to get interested and focused enough (a la Hawks) to cover a 4+ goal line against a team that will play hard.
Hawthorn -44.5. Best-run team all around in the league, will come to play and get the %-age up.
Western Bulldogs -13.5. Love the Saints, but don't think the talent can match the confidence/ability of WB at the moment.
Carlton -10.5. They continue to push hard, and with a heavier line-up of opponents after this match, win by 3 goals.
I like to discuss bets but will rarely tell people one is "easy money" or "must play". I don't like the thought of losing others money, my own I can handle.
I like Crows -25.5 and Saints/Dogs over, good luck and enjoy the footy Friday!
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I like to discuss bets but will rarely tell people one is "easy money" or "must play". I don't like the thought of losing others money, my own I can handle.
I like Crows -25.5 and Saints/Dogs over, good luck and enjoy the footy Friday!
Well, at 19-2with 7 mins to go 1Q, live bet Adel -1.5.
Geez, dogs are 5-0 before the final game. I'm still hitting 33%, yikes.
Suns line is out to +15.5 now from 10.5, which feels about right given the number of key players they expect to have back. I lean Suns +15.5, but too many wild cards to make a play. Will watch the 1Q and see if there is a live bet opportunity; say a line either way of high 30s+. I don't see a high margin result either way.
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Freo/Collingwood Over 165.5
Taking Western Bulldogs +10.5
Well, at 19-2with 7 mins to go 1Q, live bet Adel -1.5.
Geez, dogs are 5-0 before the final game. I'm still hitting 33%, yikes.
Suns line is out to +15.5 now from 10.5, which feels about right given the number of key players they expect to have back. I lean Suns +15.5, but too many wild cards to make a play. Will watch the 1Q and see if there is a live bet opportunity; say a line either way of high 30s+. I don't see a high margin result either way.
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