AFL Round 4

Quote Originally Posted by HeadOverHeart:



The Bombers, on the other hand, are the second worst in the League in allowing teams to mark inside the 50....worst if you don't count the Dees. 

That is a very suprising stat about the Dons. Thanks for that.

Any thoughts on the Lions game? I haven't watched any of their games this season however they do appear to be one dimensional up forward with too much reliance on Bradshaw & Brown.

Leaning on Port -15.5

I do have a few thoughts on the lions game Rod. I went for the lions in my tipping comp but that was purely wishful thinking.

HeadOver you've got a point, they may be drained. Port has 6 days rest (from the most physical game of the year to date) Brisbane has 7 days rest. Port will come out fired up, and I mean fired up! They are a very proud club and will do anything to get their first win. With Port at home, unfortunately I'd have to lean with them too Rod. A bit of history between the 2 teams should be a good match.

Carlton/Collingwood
I've been very impressed with the Pies attack on the ball this year. It should win them a lot of games. Carlton has a few problems. Firstly, the amount of goals they give up. They can never be confident of winning any games with the worst defence in the league. Second, they are continually fading in the last quarter.

Carlton has a resonable history with the Pies with keeping it close. But the Tigers had the same history and the Pies beat them easily last week. Looking at the same type of result. I haven't locked this in yet but I'd say I'll be putting 2-3 units on the Pies.
Collingwood -24.5 (2-3 units)

Just another thing about the Bris/Port game. Brisbane have been heavily reliant on Brown/Bradshaw but they have already kicked 20 goals between them. Port's defence this year has been their weakness and Brisbane have close to their best forward line in. Will it be enough to conteract a huge HGA to Port?

HeadOver parlay is @$7.50

Just 2 small plays today.

Collingwood -24.5 (2 units)
Hawthorn -14.5 (2 units)
As HeadOverHeart pointed out. Port completely fatigued last night meaning the Crows might struggle late as well, and the strength of the Hawks to finish strong makes this an attractive play for me. I was already leaning on a hawks win but this amkes me more certain of them covering.