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Cycling: 2009 Paris-Tours

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Captain
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Posted: #1
I'm on a high in cycling betting at the moment. Want to end this season on a higher note.
 
Paris-Tours is on Sunday, so let's have a look at what we have.
 
At the moment only one book has lines available. The sprinters who could win in Farrar and Greipel are $6/$7.50 respectively. The attacking riders/sprinters see Boasson-Hagen $10, Gilbert $13, Ballan $19, Chavanel $23 and Ignatiev $81. No price for Voeckler yet.
 
One of those 8 riders are going to win this. Can't see any others winning.
 
Will wait for suitable head to heads.

I aim to use all the profit i got at the World's, 10 units on Paris-Tours - probably in the one play.
 
More info and plays closer to Sunday.
 
Captain
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Posted: #2
 Van Avermaet over Reimer @ $1.66
 Fernandez over Hutarovic @ $1.83
Boasson-Hagen over Pozzato @ $2.10
Hammond over Usov @ $2
Chavanel over Langeveld @ $1.83
Napolitano over Feillu @ $2
Roelandts over Veelers @ $2.20
Bozic over Bonnet @ $2

Naturally I'm not playing all of those, but some of those plays I will be playing. The value is good for most of them. I now got to work out which ones from there I like best. Or which one.

Would love to hear N1CK's thoughts and Eli.


 
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Joined: Apr, 2007
Posts: 3552
Posted: #3
As per Christian Prudhomme , "Paris-Tours is the most unpredictable of the Classics with its famous finish along the avenue de Grammont."

Which website did you find those odds?

BWIN is again offering the "1 second or less" winning margin bet. Looks like a reasonably good 9% investment offer right there.

BOL with the picks and end of season .
 
Captain
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Posted: #4
That's right. A break either wins or the sprinters get upstaged or someone attacks in the closing.
 
Columbia and Garmin are sending strong sprint teams. It's not like Freire to go through a season without a major win.
 
.5 unit Freire @ $14
.5 unit Ballan @ $23
.5 unit Gilbert @ $17 - earlier in the week
.5 unit Ignatiev @ $81
 
H2H
 
6 units Freire over Boonen @ $2.20
3 units Chavanel over Langeveld @ $1.71
2 units Hammond over Usov @ $1.83
2 unit Roux over Vogondy @ $2 - Vogondy is not a classics rider.
 
Investing a lot in Freire
 
 
 
Captain
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Posted: #5
.5 unit Chavanel @ $51
 
Either way I look at it, I come out with an excellent profit at the end of the season if all these bets lose.
 
Captain
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Posted: #6
6 unit Freire over Ciolek @ $1.70 - Live in play just over 40km to go.
 
Captain
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Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by Bolar:

That's right. A break either wins or the sprinters get upstaged or someone attacks in the closing.
 
Columbia and Garmin are sending strong sprint teams. It's not like Freire to go through a season without a major win.
 
.5 unit Freire @ $14
.5 unit Ballan @ $23
.5 unit Gilbert @ $13 - earlier in the week
.5 unit Ignatiev @ $81
.5 unit Chavanel @ $51
 
H2H
 
6 units Freire over Boonen @ $2.20
3 units Chavanel over Langeveld @ $1.71
2 units Hammond over Usov @ $1.83
2 unit Roux over Vogondy @ $2 - Vogondy is not a classics rider.
6 unit Freire over Ciolek @ $1.70 - Live in play just over 40km to go.
 
 

At the moment Gilbert did it. Freire was fourth. Boonen second. 3 man break made it to the line by a couple hundred metres.

I await the results of the Roux, Hammond and Chavanel bets before I result everything but I know I have won two and lost that freire over boonen H2H

Will post the results in the morning.

 
Captain
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Posted: #8
Lost the Chavanel and Hammond ones.
 
Don't know on the Roux one.
 
At the moment -2.8 units.
 
I'm either going to have a loss of 4.8 or a loss of .8
 
I'l lfind out tomorrow what that is when the full results come to hand.
 
That's nothing to me. Finished off the season well. That's the main thing. Vuelta and World's was awesome bagging a lot.
 
 
 
 
Captain
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Posted: #9
That Roux V Vogondy bet was refunded.
 
-0.8 units
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