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MLB stuff for August 23 - 29

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Legend
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Posted: #1
Monday, August 23. American League: 

KC: Bruce Chen C- good
DET: Jeremy Bonderman C- good
Lean: Over

NYY: Iván Nova B _MEoJU _
TOR: Brandon Morrow B+ ^ME*MA ^SUcME
Lean: Blue Jays

SEA: Doug Fister C- ^SUtNE _
BOS: John Lackey A- good

MIN: Nick Blackburn B-/C- maybe
TEX: Rich Harden B-/C+ ^SU*JU good

TB: James Shields A _
LAA: Scott Kazmir B+ ^SUtJU ^SUtNE good
 
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Posted: #2
Monday, August 23. National League: 

CHC: Casey Coleman B-/C+ good
WAS: Liván Hernández B-/C+ $ lucky

HOU: Brett Myers B-/C- $$$ lucky
PHI: Joe Blanton C- _MEsSU _MAsMA
GAME OF THE MONTH: Astros

STL: Kyle Lohse B-/C+ good
PIT: Ross Ohlendorf B+ _VEcSA

ATL: Tim Hudson C- _
COL: Jason Hammel C+ ^ME*MA maybe

CIN: Edinson Vólquez B+ _ _
SF: Matt Cain C+ ^SU*PL maybe
 
Legend
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Posted: #3
Astros team mojo for August 23:

B+ Michael Bourn
B- Angel Sánchez
C- Hunter Pence
C- Carlos Lee 
C+ Chris Johnson 
C+ Brett Wallace
C- Anderson Hernández 
B+ Jason Castro

Phillies team mojo for August 23:

B Jimmy Rollins
B-/C+ Raúl Ibañez
C- Plácido Polanco
B Ryan Howard
C+ Jayson Werth 
B+ Chase Utley
B-/C+ Shane Victorino 
C- Carlos Ruiz

 
Legend
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Posted: #4
COOL COLORS = good/lucky ratings
WARM COLORS = bad/unlucky ratings

Lots of lucky aspects for the Astros tonight. Hopefully that means Brett Myers finally get some run support.

 And the inconsistent Joe Blanton showing up could only help the cause. Joe B. have been better than expected for a while; to me, that just means he could be due for a bad outing.
 
Legend
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Posted: #5
Tuesday, August 24. American League:

OAK: Gio González B-/C+ ^SUtNE fair
CLE: Fausto Carmona B+ ^SU*VE ^SU*PL _
Lean: Under

KC: Kyle Davies B+ ^SU*SA good
DET: Rick Porcello C- ^SUtUR _VEoMA
Lean: Royals

NYY: Dustin Moseley B+ good
TOR: Marc Rzepczynski C- ^SUtNE ^SU*PL

SEA: David Pauley C- good
BOS: Josh Beckett C- ^SU*VE ^SUcJU maybe

MIN: Carl Pavano C- _VEsSU _MAsSU _MAoJU
TEX: Colby Lewis B+ _MEsNE

BAL: Jeremy Guthrie A+ good
CWS: Gavin Floyd C- _
Lean: Orioles

TB: Wade Davis B+ ^SUcME ^SUtNE good
LAA: Ervin Santana C- ^SUtME ^SU*SA $$$$ good
 
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Posted: #6
 
Hall of Fame
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Posted: #7
Iam pulling for ya on the Stros Kane.. GL
 
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Posted: #8
houston  
 
Legend
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Posted: #9
Tuesday, August 24. National League:

STL: Adam Wainwright B+ no align
PIT: Paul Maholm B+ _VEcSA _

CHC: Carlos Zambrano A _ no^
WAS: John Lannan C+ ^SU*VE ^SU*PL _SAcSU
Lean: Under

HOU: Bud Norris B-/C- _MEsUR
PHI: Cole Hamels B+ ^SU*PL maybe

FLA: Josh Johnson C- ^MEtME ^SUtJU ^SU*PL _VEsME _
NYM: R.A. Dickey B- ^ME*SA ^SU*MA _VEsSA

LAD: Ted Lilly B+ _
MIL: Dave Bush C- _MEsNE
Lean: Dodgers

ATL: Derek Lowe B+ maybe
COL: Jorge De La Rosa B- _

ARI: Rodrigo López C $$
SD: Clayton Richard B ^MEcSU ^SU*SA good

CIN: Travis Wood C ^VE*SA ^SUtVE _MEsSA
SF: Jonathan Sánchez B- $$ lucky
 
Legend
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Posted: #10
Yankees team mojo for August 24:

B-/C+ Brett Gardner
A Nick Swisher
B+ Derek Jeter
A+ Mark Teixeira
C- Curtis Granderson
A+ Robinson Cano
C- Ramiro Peña
C- Jorge Posada

Blue Jays team mojo for August 24:

C- Fred Lewis
C+ Yunel Escobar
C- Edwin Encarnación
B+ José Bautista 
C- Vernon Wells
C- Adam Lind
C- Aaron Hill
B+ Lyle Overbay
CJosé Molina


 
Prospect
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Posted: #11

HK,

     Following up on your response to my post in your baseball forum thread yesterday,

QUOTE Originally Posted by HappyKane:

Stew Baker - A biorthym chart that is in transition. 

EXAMPLE: https://i171.photobucket.com/albums/u293/hapkane11/JoeSaunders-3.jpg

B-/C+ red line moving up

B-/C- red line moving down

Its just a way for me to assign numerical values for when i have a program that automates the readings.

So, for the sake of projecting performance on a given day, is there any difference between B-/C-, B-/C+, and plain B-? Which, if any, is better for a given day, if so, by much? Also, using the example of the charts of Aug. 16 - 22, most of the slash-ratngs start with B-, (with one A-/B+ - Kevin Correia on Aug.21, and one C-/D- - Livan Hernandez on Aug. 18), and most of the B-s are followed by a slash. Any explanation for this?

                                                 Thanks.

 
Legend
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Posted: #12
Wednesday, August 25. American League:

KC: Sean O'Sullivan C no align
DET: Armando Galarraga B+ maybe

GAME #1
SEA: David Pauley C- good
BOS: Josh Beckett B-/C+ maybe

GAME #2
SEA: Félix Hernández B+ no align
BOS: Jon Lester C- ^SU*PL _MAsSU

TB: Jeff Niemann B-/C- _
LAA: Dan Haren B+ maybe
Lean: Angels

OAK: Trevor Cahill B+ no align
CLE: Mitch Talbot A no align

NYY: Phil Hughes B-/C- ^SU*SU _
TOR: Brett Cecil B $$ good

MIN: Brian Duensing C- maybe
TEX: C.J. Wilson B- maybe
Lean: Over

BAL: Brian Matusz C- $$ lucky 
CWS: Mark Buehrle C+ _MEoMA
 
Legend
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Posted: #13
Wednesday, August 25. National League:

ATL: Jair Jurrjens B+ no align
COL: Esmil Rogers B-/C- ^SU*PL good

CIN: Homer Bailey A _MAsMA
SF: Madison Bumgarner C- ^SUtUR maybe

HOU: J.A. Happ A+ good
PHI: Roy Halladay B- no align

CHC: Ryan Dempster C+ _ no^
WAS: Jason Marquis B+ ^SUcSA good
Pick: Nationals

STL: Jake Westbrook A- _MAsMA no^
PIT: Daniel McCutchen B+ _SAcSU

FLA: Alex Sanabia C- maybe
NYM: Pat Misch C- ^SUcME maybe
Lean: Over

LAD: Hiroki Kuroda B+ ^SU*UR good
MIL: Randy Wolf B+ ^MEcVE maybe

ARI: Joe Saunders C- _ no^
SD: Wade LeBlanc C- _SAsJU no^

 
Legend
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Posted: #14
Stew Baker - 

A C-/D- rating is a critical bio with 3 bad aspects.

A D- rating (rare) is a critical bio with 4 bad aspects.

A F rating (very rare) is a critical bio with more than 4 bad aspects.

A A-/B+ rating is an optimal bio with 2 bad aspects.

Bad aspects are denoted by the underscore ( _ ).

Stay away from pitchers that have those undercores. Especially ones with SA, MA, SU & JU alignments.


 
Legend
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Posted: #15
Fade pitchers with underscores in one or more of these circumstances:

  • if the opposing pitcher have a good rating. Upgrade the units wagered especially if the pitcher you're backing is coming off a non-quality start. That pitcher will usually pitch better or have better results in other aspects of the game (run-support, team defense).
  • if the pitcher being wagered against is coming off a quality start. Usually, that pitcher' numbers will regress; example: he's more likely to give up more earned-runs than the previous start.

Here is a game i'm looking at that meets these criterias and filtering process:

CHC: Ryan Dempster C+ _ no^
WAS: Jason Marquis B+ ^SUcSA good
 
Legend
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Posted: #16
Dempster is coming off a quality start in which he gave up 2 earned-runs against the Braves. He has a bad rating tonight.

Marquis has been bad the whole season. That just means he'll have a spot where he can be better than expected. 

Baseball is about picking spots. Tonight is a good day to cheer for the walk-machine known as Marquis. And whereas most people will look at his overall numbers and pass up on the game, i look to my mojo chartsand find value on the home team.

Two fundamental handicapping theories also apply to fading Dempster in this matchup. I don't have the exact numbers but the Cubs are well below .500 in a Dempster game following a quality start by him. And you don't want to bet on Demspter after he's thrown more than 7 innings. Over the past 3 seasons, the Cubs are 1-8 in a game after Dempster throws more than 7 innings in his previous start.
 
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Posted: #17
So if even an optimal bio of A-/B+ has bad aspects, then everyone on their best bio days must have bad aspects, no? And when there is one or more underscores in a profile, that means the bad aspects that do exist are more prominent than normal?
 
Legend
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Posted: #18
Thursday, August 26. American League:

OAK: Vin Mazzaro C- ^SUtNE _
CLE: Justin Masterson C- ^SUtNE ^SU*PL _MEsUR _MAoME

DET: Max Scherzer B+ maybe
TOR: Ricky Romero C- ^SU*PL good

MIN: Francisco Liriano B+ maybe
TEX: Cliff Lee A+ ^SUcSA maybe

BAL: Jake Arrieta C- _MEsMA
CWS: Edwin Jackson B+ good
Lean: White Sox -1
 
Legend
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Posted: #19
Thursday, August 26. National League:

HOU: Wandy Rodríguez C- good
PHI: Kyle Kendrick C- ^SUcSU ^SUtJU _SAsJU

LAD: Carlos Monasterios C+ $ lucky
MIL: Yovani Gallardo B- _MEoVE no^

ARI: Ian Kennedy B- ^SU*PL _MEsME _MAsJU
SD: Kevin Correia B $$$$$ good

STL: Chris Carpenter A+ no align
WAS: Jordan Zimmermann B+ $$$$$ good

FLA: Anibal Sánchez C- maybe
NYM: Jonathon Niese C+ ^VE*UR ^ME*VE ^SU&SU ^SUtNE good
Pick: Mets
 
Legend
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Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by Stew Baker:

So if even an optimal bio of A-/B+ has bad aspects, then everyone on their best bio days must have bad aspects, no? And when there is one or more underscores in a profile, that means the bad aspects that do exist are more prominent than normal?


Yes. A pitcher can pitch well and be unlucky. These types of aspects can produce a low-scoring game. When both pitchers have those types of ratings, you can expect such a game. For example, i usually lean on playing the Under when both pitchers have B+ ratings.

On the other hand, i usually lean on playing the Under when both pitchers have C- ratings.

Two prime examplesfrom yesterday:

Wednesday, August 25. National League:

STL: Jake Westbrook A- _MAsMA no^
PIT: Daniel McCutchen B+ _SAcSU

FLA: Alex Sanabia C- maybe
NYM: Pat Misch C- ^SUcME maybe

Although it took a while and the Over was somewhat a lucky bet, the Over 8 hit in the 9th inning of that Marlins/Mets game.

And the Cardinals/Pirates game stayed Under 8.5.

 
Legend
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Posted: #21
Question: And when there is one or more underscores in a profile, that means the bad aspects that do exist are more prominent than normal?

Answer: Not necessarily. But as i've stated before: Stay away from pitchers that have the SA, MA, SU & JU undercores.

SA = Saturn = status, career
JU = Jupiter = expansion, success
MA = energy, passion
SU = vitality

Talking about prominence i've found those 4 planets to have the most confluences in competitive sports.

For example, a pitcher with a bad Sun alignment (underscore _) will usually not pitch well or worse than his last time out.

A pitcher with a good Sun alignment (uptick ^) will usually pitch well or better than his last time out.
 
Legend
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Posted: #22
Here is a game we should keep an eye on for Thursday, August 26.

FLA: Anibal Sánchez C- maybe
NYM: Jonathon Niese C+ ^VE*UR ^ME*VE ^SU&SU ^SUtNE good

Anibal Sánchez has a minor good aligment that may or may not have an impact on his performace.

Jonathon Niese have 4 good aligments. I expect him to do very well tonight.

I made a 1.5 units play in the Mets.
 
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Posted: #23
Thanks. That helps.
 
Legend
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Posted: #24
Well. The Mets really sucked last night.

Looks like Anibal's minor good mojo trumped Jonathon's major good mojo. Or maybe the Mets' team mojo was low.


 
 
Legend
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Posted: #25
Friday, August 27. American League:

KC: Bryan Bullington B- good
CLE: Josh Tomlin B- ^ME*SA maybe

DET: Justin Verlander C ^SU*SA maybe
TOR: Shaun Marcum C- _VEcSA
Lean: Tigers

BOS: Jon Lester C+ ^ME*SA ^SUtJU _
TB: David Price B+ good

OAK: Brett Anderson B-/C- _MEsMA no^
TEX: Tommy Hunter B- ^SUtNE ^SU*PL _VEsMA

NYY: A.J. Burnett B+ _VEsME no^
CWS: Freddy García B+ ^MEtSU ^SU*UR _MEsVE
Lean: Under in a Freddy García game? No way!

BAL: Brad Bergesen C- ^SUcVE maybe
LAA: Trevor Bell A+ good

MIN: Scott Baker B- no align
SEA: Jason Vargas C- ^SU*SA _MAsME
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