8/12/2007 12 Townsville
15/12/2007 13
22/12/2007 14 Townsville
28/12/2007 15
31/12/2007 16 Townsville Gold Coast
4/01/2008 16 Townsville South
12/01/2008 17 Townsville
18/01/2008 18 Gold Coast Townsville
25/01/2008 19 Townsville
31/01/2008 20
9/02/2008 21 Townsville
15/02/2008 22 Townsville Gold Coast
16/02/2008 22
If they can win 7 of the home games and 2 of the away games and finish 18-12 I think they would get fourth spot.
NZ's run home is tough with alot of away games and alot of games against the better teams and I think they will slip down the ladder.
Cairns have 8 wins so would need 10 of 15 for 18 wins. This is possible especially if they can win against Souths,
Gold Coast have a pretty hellish run home, including a horror 5 game road stretch:
I like Gold Coast but can't see them winning 9 of those 15.
If you make the top 4 you are decent chance of making the semis. At this point I can't see Townsville being a serious threat to Sydney or Brisbane but if they happen to get their should be able to hedge out for a decent profit.
Singapore +5.5 2u
Wollongong have been terrible in their last five games losing by an average of 23.
Singapore have been terrible in three of their last five poor in one (10 point loss to Souths) and very impressive in their win over Brisbane. Not only did they hold their lead in the last quarter, they pushed it out from around 10 to 19.
I think it is a common mistake I often make to place to much emphasis on a team's last game. Singapore are 0-8 on the road this season and generally a terrible road team, although last years team did get two wins in Wollongong. However, I can't find any positives in Wollongong's recent form to be positive about. Tragardh has faded, Matt Campbell's return last game did nothing for them and the numbers suggest their defense has been worse than lacklustre.
Might get burnt for backing a terrible road team on the road but I think 5.5 is way to many points given the way Wollongong are playing.
Gold Coast -7 2u
Gold Coast's offence continues to improve. As I see it they were generally playing low scoring games because their defence was strong but their offence was fairly ordinairy. The tempo of their games was slightly above the median for all teams. Although this theory probably needs to be tested against a few better opposition as they have generally playing the weaker teams of late.
There is nothing wrong with souths on paper for mine, but they seem to have some problems on the court, primarily that they don't seem to know what they are doing so resort to jacking up 3s alot. Sooner or later i suspect they will put in an impressive performance and beat someone convincingly. It could be tomorrow but I am betting against it.
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