Bit speculative but Maher is out, Copeland is suspended and Hodge is questionable. Some one at Ozhoops said Hodge is playing but the line moved by about two points from roughly WA -7.5 to -9.5 this afternoon. I have been burn't several times these season believing idle chatter on the net so I am following the bookmakers and taking Melbourne.
Melbourne often play down to their opposition but if Hodge is out beyond Ballinger, Ng, Dench, and Davidson there is not alot of scoring so I reckon Melbourne will have difficulty playing that badly.
Melbourne want second spot so I think they will give a decent showing.
Sydney v Souths over 203 1u
Very poor shooting in the West Sydney Sydney game cost me an over by a couple of points (plus only 3 points scored in the last 90 seconds on 1/7 shooting). Sydney get another chance to score some points against a hopeless defence.
Last five South games have gone over this number, I am betting on some better shooting by sydney sending it over again.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
YTD: 105-76 +29.9u
Melbourne -9 2u
Bit speculative but Maher is out, Copeland is suspended and Hodge is questionable. Some one at Ozhoops said Hodge is playing but the line moved by about two points from roughly WA -7.5 to -9.5 this afternoon. I have been burn't several times these season believing idle chatter on the net so I am following the bookmakers and taking Melbourne.
Melbourne often play down to their opposition but if Hodge is out beyond Ballinger, Ng, Dench, and Davidson there is not alot of scoring so I reckon Melbourne will have difficulty playing that badly.
Melbourne want second spot so I think they will give a decent showing.
Sydney v Souths over 203 1u
Very poor shooting in the West Sydney Sydney game cost me an over by a couple of points (plus only 3 points scored in the last 90 seconds on 1/7 shooting). Sydney get another chance to score some points against a hopeless defence.
Last five South games have gone over this number, I am betting on some better shooting by sydney sending it over again.
welcome back rod. would have been a different game if liam rush had played in my opinion. i didn't know he was out. would have taken the breakers -7 if i had known. pretty sick of not being able to find out who is playing.
YTD: 106-78 +27.8u
I like a couple of games tonight quite a bit for the first time in a while.
Perth +7 2u
Perth ML $3.60 0.5u
I think this line would be ok if ebi ere was playing but without him seems way too high for mine. Perth have a major advantage in the big guy department with Rogers, Loughton and Redhage all in form. Fisher says Robbins is expected to play after missing last game which toughens up their defence. Crawford has been playing well and I reckon Shipp is due to show something.
Perth lead Brisbane for three quarters last time they played then fell in a big hole in the last quarter. I think they are playing better than they were then and would see them self as a decent chance here, despite Brisbane's imposing home record.
Brisbane v Perth under 208.5 1u
Like the chances of this going under with EE out. While Bris have able replacements such as Williams, no one is the same offensive threat or willing to jack up transition 3s as readily.
Wollongong -5 2u
One team playing with a lot of passion and effort and winning regularly at home, the other despondent, haven't won for two months and were hideous two nights ago, at least for the first quarter and a bit which is all I could stomach.
I think Kavossey will be keen to play well as I understand he took it pretty badly getting replaced by Cortez. Matt Campbell plays his 400th and has been playing well.
I don't place alot of importance on record against the spread, but by my records the Hawks have covered 7 of 8 since they punted Reyes and for mine a line of -5 is still not giving them credit for their form of late.
Townsville -2 1u
Both sides have been a bit inconsistent of late but I am taking Townsville thinking there is a bit of value. Townsville have only lost one game at home since Homicide showed up, although not that many quality teams have visited.
Cairns are fairly stacked with Cattalini back, but i believe Grabeau and Darnell Mee are out. This should make things much easier for Rillie and Homicide to score some points.
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welcome back rod. would have been a different game if liam rush had played in my opinion. i didn't know he was out. would have taken the breakers -7 if i had known. pretty sick of not being able to find out who is playing.
YTD: 106-78 +27.8u
I like a couple of games tonight quite a bit for the first time in a while.
Perth +7 2u
Perth ML $3.60 0.5u
I think this line would be ok if ebi ere was playing but without him seems way too high for mine. Perth have a major advantage in the big guy department with Rogers, Loughton and Redhage all in form. Fisher says Robbins is expected to play after missing last game which toughens up their defence. Crawford has been playing well and I reckon Shipp is due to show something.
Perth lead Brisbane for three quarters last time they played then fell in a big hole in the last quarter. I think they are playing better than they were then and would see them self as a decent chance here, despite Brisbane's imposing home record.
Brisbane v Perth under 208.5 1u
Like the chances of this going under with EE out. While Bris have able replacements such as Williams, no one is the same offensive threat or willing to jack up transition 3s as readily.
Wollongong -5 2u
One team playing with a lot of passion and effort and winning regularly at home, the other despondent, haven't won for two months and were hideous two nights ago, at least for the first quarter and a bit which is all I could stomach.
I think Kavossey will be keen to play well as I understand he took it pretty badly getting replaced by Cortez. Matt Campbell plays his 400th and has been playing well.
I don't place alot of importance on record against the spread, but by my records the Hawks have covered 7 of 8 since they punted Reyes and for mine a line of -5 is still not giving them credit for their form of late.
Townsville -2 1u
Both sides have been a bit inconsistent of late but I am taking Townsville thinking there is a bit of value. Townsville have only lost one game at home since Homicide showed up, although not that many quality teams have visited.
Cairns are fairly stacked with Cattalini back, but i believe Grabeau and Darnell Mee are out. This should make things much easier for Rillie and Homicide to score some points.
Love all those picks mate! Couldnt fault u in any of them but the Dragons coming off the huge loss might be up for the Hawks somehow (dont ask me how) They played them well in Wollongong last year, won and covered each time but they are wakt this year at best....That game worries me a bit to be honest so i wouldnt touch it.
Love the Crocs and the road dog Wildcats tonight!
Kick ass my man! Cash them winners
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Love all those picks mate! Couldnt fault u in any of them but the Dragons coming off the huge loss might be up for the Hawks somehow (dont ask me how) They played them well in Wollongong last year, won and covered each time but they are wakt this year at best....That game worries me a bit to be honest so i wouldnt touch it.
Well would be richer if i had followed monster's spidey senses about Wollongong, although the box score suggests Wollongong out played Souths pretty badly except in terms of shooting the ball. Rebounds 44-32 and turnovers 8 to 13 allowed the Hawks to shoot 85 field goals to 68 (with both teams making 9 free throws). With 17 extra shots you would like their chances of covering 5 but it was not to be.
Gold Coast -2.5 1u
Whitehead showed he can play last week with 17 points, 15 rebounds and 4 assists. Melmeth also returned to action and scored 12 points in 12 minutes of court time. With a full squad GC showed they are pretty potent handling Townsville easily by 18.
Perth played a tough one last night that went down to the wire with starters logging minutes. While Perth have the advantage in the bigs with Rogers, Redhage and Loughton I think GC have the players to keep them honest.
Perth are playing well, but this is a tough spot and I like GCs chances.
I was going to play Singapore +17.5 until I read this article and decided to stay off:
CENTRE Chris Anstey wants the Melbourne Tigers to show no mercy to non-playoff opponents, starting tonight against the Singapore Slingers.
Anstey says the Tigers (18-6) will not be ready for a crack at the NBL championship unless they develop a ruthless streak that makes them play for 48 minutes and buries less talented teams.
That much was driven home during Wednesday night's 113-108 road win against the Adelaide 36ers (10-15), who are probably not going to the playoffs and were without key players in a game that should have been lopsided. Only it wasn't.
"It was terrible," Anstey said.
"To go into a game like that with no Brett Maher and Lanard Copeland and to beat a team like that by only five . . .
"It was good to get the win, but that basketball doesn't win championships. We've got to play better basketball than that to win a championship."
So the Slingers (5-21) should brace themselves for the full force of the Tigers tonight (The Cage, 7.30pm) as they follow Anstey's lead to build momentum with six games left before Melbourne's playoff campaign starts.
"Sometimes we haven't performed to out capacity," Anstey said.
"We haven't had that killer instinct to grab a game by the throat early and kept it there. We let them hang around and we don't kill them off. If we get the chance to bury teams, that's what we need to do.
"Singapore is that kind of game. That's a team we've got to get up for and smash them. We've got to beat them and play hard like Brisbane or Sydney would. We've just got to stay up and not give them a sniff."
The Tigers know they need to be sharp against the Slingers and stay sharp for Wednesday's home game against the Brisbane Bullets (17-7) in a showdown that will determine second place on the NBL ladder and an automatic semi-final spot.
Well would be richer if i had followed monster's spidey senses about Wollongong, although the box score suggests Wollongong out played Souths pretty badly except in terms of shooting the ball. Rebounds 44-32 and turnovers 8 to 13 allowed the Hawks to shoot 85 field goals to 68 (with both teams making 9 free throws). With 17 extra shots you would like their chances of covering 5 but it was not to be.
Gold Coast -2.5 1u
Whitehead showed he can play last week with 17 points, 15 rebounds and 4 assists. Melmeth also returned to action and scored 12 points in 12 minutes of court time. With a full squad GC showed they are pretty potent handling Townsville easily by 18.
Perth played a tough one last night that went down to the wire with starters logging minutes. While Perth have the advantage in the bigs with Rogers, Redhage and Loughton I think GC have the players to keep them honest.
Perth are playing well, but this is a tough spot and I like GCs chances.
I was going to play Singapore +17.5 until I read this article and decided to stay off:
CENTRE Chris Anstey wants the Melbourne Tigers to show no mercy to non-playoff opponents, starting tonight against the Singapore Slingers.
Anstey says the Tigers (18-6) will not be ready for a crack at the NBL championship unless they develop a ruthless streak that makes them play for 48 minutes and buries less talented teams.
That much was driven home during Wednesday night's 113-108 road win against the Adelaide 36ers (10-15), who are probably not going to the playoffs and were without key players in a game that should have been lopsided. Only it wasn't.
"It was terrible," Anstey said.
"To go into a game like that with no Brett Maher and Lanard Copeland and to beat a team like that by only five . . .
"It was good to get the win, but that basketball doesn't win championships. We've got to play better basketball than that to win a championship."
So the Slingers (5-21) should brace themselves for the full force of the Tigers tonight (The Cage, 7.30pm) as they follow Anstey's lead to build momentum with six games left before Melbourne's playoff campaign starts.
"Sometimes we haven't performed to out capacity," Anstey said.
"We haven't had that killer instinct to grab a game by the throat early and kept it there. We let them hang around and we don't kill them off. If we get the chance to bury teams, that's what we need to do.
"Singapore is that kind of game. That's a team we've got to get up for and smash them. We've got to beat them and play hard like Brisbane or Sydney would. We've just got to stay up and not give them a sniff."
The Tigers know they need to be sharp against the Slingers and stay sharp for Wednesday's home game against the Brisbane Bullets (17-7) in a showdown that will determine second place on the NBL ladder and an automatic semi-final spot.
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