Posted:
#1
YTD: 118-85 +32.0u
Not big on any of these, but have played them.
West Sydney +9.5 1u
I think this line would be about right if the game was in Perth, Perth hadn't travelled around the world a couple of times in the last 10 days and Rogers didn't have the flu.
West Sydney have been ordinairy in the second half of the season, but have put in a decent performance every few games such as when they were away to Melbourne a couple of weeks ago and lead for 90% of the match only to be overun in the final minutes and lose by 3. I think as usual they will need contributions from Hinson, Devries and Rush (who has a back injury but I believe he is playing) to keep it close.
Perth have alot to play for and may get an easy win, but my feeling is WS with nothing to lose may give a tired perth a run for their money.
Cairns -6 1u
Souths v Cairns under 196.5 1u
My numbers suggest Souths represent value and should only be getting a couple of points, but I can not buy into them. Cairns have too many quality players and too much to play for here. They have been inconsistent but have generally handled the weaker teams fairly easily, such as when they smashed Souths at home by 29.
History suggests the total is way too low with the last three between the two being 221, 215 and 218. Decided to go against this and have a ping on the under for a few reasons:
- since heal, the dragons leading scorer, stopped playing Souths scoring is down
- think Hendrix will have trouble scoring against Jawai
- reasonable chance Mee will be able to contain Cortez
- Jingles has been struggling
- not alot of offence amongst the others and there is some suggestion the bench will get more minutes to see if they can play
- if i was guy molloy and wanted the job next year one thing i would do to advance my cause is get the players to adopt the unusual strategy of playing some defence
- Cairns sit in eighth and need the win i think they will play defense
0
Having the Cat back is big. Dragons have nothing to play for, not even pride. Heal does a runner. Probably the best that's happened to the team for a while.
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