Posted:
#1
2012 YTD: -5.14units (13-12 52%)
Worst AFL slide of my career ATM. Last week full blame goes onto my dumb self with for drinking too much saturday and chasing losses all over the shop. Some of the poor form does come down to luck and shocking kicking from some of these teams. Cats and Dockers looked like no chance covering last w/e. But J.Selwood late withdrawal and Jimmy being subbed doesnt help chances in the slightest. Sydney very unlucky not get the 1-39 but thats footy. Should have won really... Blues up 19-0 at the start of the game then fucking disappeared for the rest of the quarter and didnt even get close to covering the Qtime line. This week going to try focus on the 1-39 games and hit some value. Appears I'm not having any luck with these teams covering sizable lines ATM. Although i will be playing Hawks
EARLY LEANS:
Hawks -49.5
Cats -7.5
Swans -5.5 @$2.10
Swans 1-39 @$2.40
Bombers 1-39 @$2.40
Roos 1-39 @$2.20
Blues -28.5
PLAYING:
HAWKS -49.5 .5units@ $1.92
HAWKS -25.5 (1st Half Line) .5units@ $1.92
--- Still not convinced with the Dees ATM and i feel the Hawks are going to leave them for dead. Cats beat the Dees by 40+ lat w/e and that was without a few big guns namely J.Selwood and they also subbed off Jimmy in the 3rd. Had they not done that particular swap i think the cats would have finished with a 50pt win as they were up by 39 at 3rdQtime and only out scored the Dees by 4pts in the last. Hawks i feel wont make these subs and as the showed against the Saints late last week they are reckless in final stages. I see the Hawks getting the jump on them here and not letting up until the final siren. Hawks by 35+ by the half and 60+ for the game.
ROOS 1-39 .5units@ $2.20
--- Like the Kangas here in this spot. I went to the game lat week and they were border line horrible. Our handballs to get out of defense were ok at best but when it came down to the final kick we couldnt hit a target for shit. Continuously went to 2 on 1s and continuously got beaten. But the positive i saw in this was we were only 1 kick away each time from doing serious damage. And i mean serious damage. The Dogs were impressive last week but was it due to playing friday night or the fact they were playing the Pies? Im sold on the Doggies still and i dont think they have what it takes to win this game. They have though had 2 extra days rest and the Roos have had to fly back from Perth which has always been taxing on the players but these are the reason why i dont think the Roos will leave for them dead. Kangas by 23
Worst AFL slide of my career ATM. Last week full blame goes onto my dumb self with for drinking too much saturday and chasing losses all over the shop. Some of the poor form does come down to luck and shocking kicking from some of these teams. Cats and Dockers looked like no chance covering last w/e. But J.Selwood late withdrawal and Jimmy being subbed doesnt help chances in the slightest. Sydney very unlucky not get the 1-39 but thats footy. Should have won really... Blues up 19-0 at the start of the game then fucking disappeared for the rest of the quarter and didnt even get close to covering the Qtime line. This week going to try focus on the 1-39 games and hit some value. Appears I'm not having any luck with these teams covering sizable lines ATM. Although i will be playing Hawks
EARLY LEANS:
Hawks -49.5
Cats -7.5
Swans -5.5 @$2.10
Swans 1-39 @$2.40
Bombers 1-39 @$2.40
Roos 1-39 @$2.20
Blues -28.5
PLAYING:
HAWKS -49.5 .5units@ $1.92
HAWKS -25.5 (1st Half Line) .5units@ $1.92
--- Still not convinced with the Dees ATM and i feel the Hawks are going to leave them for dead. Cats beat the Dees by 40+ lat w/e and that was without a few big guns namely J.Selwood and they also subbed off Jimmy in the 3rd. Had they not done that particular swap i think the cats would have finished with a 50pt win as they were up by 39 at 3rdQtime and only out scored the Dees by 4pts in the last. Hawks i feel wont make these subs and as the showed against the Saints late last week they are reckless in final stages. I see the Hawks getting the jump on them here and not letting up until the final siren. Hawks by 35+ by the half and 60+ for the game.
ROOS 1-39 .5units@ $2.20
--- Like the Kangas here in this spot. I went to the game lat week and they were border line horrible. Our handballs to get out of defense were ok at best but when it came down to the final kick we couldnt hit a target for shit. Continuously went to 2 on 1s and continuously got beaten. But the positive i saw in this was we were only 1 kick away each time from doing serious damage. And i mean serious damage. The Dogs were impressive last week but was it due to playing friday night or the fact they were playing the Pies? Im sold on the Doggies still and i dont think they have what it takes to win this game. They have though had 2 extra days rest and the Roos have had to fly back from Perth which has always been taxing on the players but these are the reason why i dont think the Roos will leave for them dead. Kangas by 23
0
cheers mate. hope to turn this horrid luck around starting friday!
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