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Stevie Wonder's AFL picks - Round 1

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Posted: #1


Blues vs Tigers

Some important notes;

1) Carlton monstered the Tigers last year in the first game of round

2) Carlton apparently has two players celebrating milestones tonight.

3) Hardwick has indicated that he might play a slow, defensive type game https://www.heraldsun.com.au/sport/afl/tigers-build-from-back/story-e6frf9ix-1225844968268


 
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Posted: #2
Start: $1000
0/0

U195.5
$200 @ $1.70


Other points;

1) Lots of talk on the team boards about talls pushing back to help in defense.

2) Some positional quirks such as Joseph one of the best taggers in the league playing back make me think that Carlton will also play a defensive game. They no doubt feel they ruck supremacy and if the Tigers do play defensive minded then this will go way under.

3) Tiredness at the end of the fourth quarter.
 
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Posted: #3
Tigers 1-39
$100 @ $3.75

Blues 1-39
$100 @ $2.25

Seeing how the line is dropping from +17.5 to +15.5 might see if I can eeck out a few dollar with this risky bet.
 
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Posted: #4
Oopsie forgot to add the Richmond farewell / tribute.
 
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Posted: #5
I'm predicting a close game as well which will bring the total under, can't see this being a shootfest.

BOL this season
 
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Posted: #6
Thanks Ozfactor
 
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Posted: #7
Saturday's games are the money games.
 
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Posted: #8
U195.5
Tigers 1-39
Blues 1-39


Cats
O 190.5
$300 @ $1.90


GL all
 
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Posted: #9
Guys there is a big disparity in the total at Sportsalive vs Tab similar to what happened yesterday with the Tigers game.

Anyhow for tonights game if you want the over use Sportsalive for 190.5. If you want the under use TAB at 194.5.
 
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Posted: #10
BOL ecoute.Was waiting for live betting however the money seems to be coming for the under..Still agree though and will tail with such a move and take Centrebets total..Over-187.5

 
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Posted: #11
Bluephinn bugger mate I don't look at Centrebet. That is a better total. Anyhow I posted 190.5

I think a lot of people are figuring Bombers no forward line and Cats D as too strong but I don't see that. I am seeing a fast start with the Cats blowing this away in the 3rd quarter.
Good luck with the live betting mate
 
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Posted: #12
Fear not ecoute..A 200+ scoreline will make it forgotten memory...


 
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Posted: #13
Cats O190.5
 
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Posted: #14
Swans O160.5
$200 @ $1.85

This is pretty risky given the history these two teams have. I like having seen what the Doggies did to Dawson, Gilbert and Fisher. But I also like the Saints scoring options.
 
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Posted: #15
Swans O160.5

Went to the game. Fucking umps every time Reiwoldt went for the ball he would get a free kick. Do these guys jerk off to his photo in the change room or something.
 
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Posted: #16
Yes
 
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Posted: #17
Doggies OVER 193.5
$200 @ $1.90

Surely this total should be at around 210 or 211.
 
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Posted: #18
At the dome... yep. This should be high scoring until they run out of legs in the 4th.
 
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Posted: #19
Morris out is going to help Leon to kick more on Harbrow. Picken now has to go to Dids.
 
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Posted: #20
Freo O 183.5
$100 @ $1.90

Risky play but we know that Freo are trying to mould themselves into another Bulldogs. Run and pass at all costs. Both with some average defensive and two big forwards.
 
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Posted: #21
Quote Originally Posted by Hendy:

Morris out is going to help Leon to kick more on Harbrow. Picken now has to go to Dids.


Morris was never going to play this one. Hahn is still a good option for them even underdone as he is. I wonder how many 50 metre penalties we will get in this game with two hotheads in Bazza and Didak.
 
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Posted: #22
 Lots of overs 

Weather is Perth is great. The Over should be good unless the Crows decide to slow it down but I expect that they will run Freo off their feet which should open up scoring opportunities. The total is going to be up to the runners kicking goals. With such good conditions, I think it should be safe.

Brad Johnno's 350th... what a champ.
 
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Posted: #23
Nice stuff ecoute..Awesome weekend..You`re the man for totals no doubt..Thank you amigo..
 
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Posted: #24
Goodluck mate.
 
 
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Posted: #25
Quote Originally Posted by bluephinn:

Nice stuff ecoute..Awesome weekend..You`re the man for totals no doubt..Thank you amigo..


We have some very very good punters for AFL in this forum. Hendy 10-1 run, Gman over the years, Bolar etc etc. I've seen other AFL forums but not as consistent or as good as this one
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