For anyone wondering what the dealio is with this 'experiment' and didn't see last season's version, the basis betting this league this way is basically two-fold:
1) The even spread of talent across most if not all teams in this competition makes almost any underdog "overs" in terms of value imo. Any team can literally beat any other team on any given day.
2) I back-tested a number of situational / motivational angles in a bid to try to find an edge somewhere, somehow in this league over recent seasons and came up with naught that were worth pursuing. My conclusion: the A-League is as about as random as it gets. So rather than try to 'cap' which dogs are worth betting, the best course of action is to flat-stake each and just let nature take its course.
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For anyone wondering what the dealio is with this 'experiment' and didn't see last season's version, the basis betting this league this way is basically two-fold:
1) The even spread of talent across most if not all teams in this competition makes almost any underdog "overs" in terms of value imo. Any team can literally beat any other team on any given day.
2) I back-tested a number of situational / motivational angles in a bid to try to find an edge somewhere, somehow in this league over recent seasons and came up with naught that were worth pursuing. My conclusion: the A-League is as about as random as it gets. So rather than try to 'cap' which dogs are worth betting, the best course of action is to flat-stake each and just let nature take its course.
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