6-0 this round and hoping to make it a clean sweep with my final play for this round on Sunday.
This play is based on a strong trend that I've noticed for teams playing in Perth and then having to fly out to play another game in 2 or 3 days time at a different venue. Teams in this spot have gone 0-4 in their next game after playing in Perth.
Below are the games that support my theory:-
1. Perth defeated Illawarra 89-84 in Perth on 13/10/17.
Illawarra then flew back to Sydney to play the Kings 2 days later and lost 87-103.
2. Perth defeated Melb United 89-84 on 22/10/17.
Melb United flew to New Zealand to play the Breakers 2 days later and lost 76-88.
Perth also flew to Cairns to play the Taipans 2 days later and lost 69-90 (Perth's only loss for the season)
3. Perth defeated Illawarra 105-74 in Perth on 26/10/17.
Illawarra then flew home to play the Kings 3 days later and lost 94-99 in overtime.
We are only into round 5 of the competition but the above teams are 0-4 backing up away from Perth 2 to 3 days later. Teams backing up from such a spot looked really lethargic and out of sync due perhaps to the long flight time and the time zone difference.
Hawks have been the unfortunate victim of this weird scheduling twice and are 0-2 against the Kings as a result. Hawks will be desperate for revenge tomorrow afternoon when the situation is reversed- Sydney returning from home from a 4.5 hour flight from Perth and to a different timezone after playing a late Friday night game.
Hawks will be rested and ready to ambush the Kings in Sydney after a short flight back from Brisbane where they've defeated the Bullets 112-81. It was an impressive all round team performance where they've dominated the glass, protected the ball and got 45 points from the Bench. They will look to carry this momentum over to Sundays game.
Apart from the bad scheduling spot, the Kings are facing a myriad of problems- team chemistry, injuries, leaky defence and undersized at the 4 spot. Travis Leslie has struggled to make an impact on this team. Coach Gaze is unproven at this level.
Bookies have made the Kings a small favorite at home due their 2-0 record over the Hawks.
I'll gladly fade the Kings here and grab the Hawks ML @ 2.15
(got this number on Friday night after the Hawks beat the Bullets)
GLTA