NBL Round 10

Initial thoughts...

Cairns at home to NZ... gotta lean to Cairns on that. I feel dirty typing that. Better team at the moment with some big scalps at home on a short line. I am guessing Webster is back with the line so short... (and yeah, I mean Webster this time)

Sydney at Perth... I worked out why Cotton wasn't himself against the 36ers. He became a father a bit before the game. Not sure exactly when but without him at 100%, I can't see how Perth who are struggling can top the form team. Lisch back is just a bonus for the two games this week.

36ers at United... interested in the Over if it's a reasonable number.

Hawks at Brisbane. Brisbane cover.

Cats at SEM. SEM cover.

Cairns at Kings... it's gotta be Kings but I'm going to wait for live betting.

Bullets at Breakers. Close game that can wait.

Saturday is going to be a good day... I'm likely to skip Friday.

Lines all moved like they read this post. 

Syd went from even to -1.5 to -4.5. 

Brissy went up to -7.5 and is up 2 points and now is not a play. That's what I expected the line to be but I do think they win by 10.

Kings went up to -9.5. Up 3 points.

Now, I'm only looking at the games in Melbourne. 

Without Ball (injury), that's going to be an interesting change. I would guess it's just a scheduled rest to reduce risk of injury. They Hawks have some good players but just not enough. 

The Hawks also signed a good import so they will become competitive again but I don't think he'll be around this week.

Glen Rice is back. That total is going over 177.5.

 Good morning Buckley ,nice desigion about over, TNX 

 Cheers s33

Cats responded to their loss. Anyone scoring 40 in a quarter against the Kings is amazing.

the cats are a different team away. I just bet on SEM on Sunday.
Leaning to the over there. 

United 36ers over is not value at 198.5... that is just too high

Nothing on the early game. 

I like Brissy to win comfortably in the second game. Instead of the line, I am going with Brissy over 93 points.

I really like Brissy 1H total over, if it’s offered.

Hawks should try to win with a fast game. If they go slow with Anderson and AJ, they pick the slow death.

You like the Brissy team total 1H over or the game 1H total over 91.5

Brissy team totals over.

I hope you joined the party. Brissy total went over and the game went over. That 2Q was the only reason the 1H didn't go over.

Split the SEM results.

Small on Kings O93.5, Kings -9.5

Locked in Monday Over 180.5

Leaning Brisbane in that game tomorrow if the line stays around +3. Breakers are a train wreck and don't believe they should be favoured. Brisbane aren't the best road team as they have had their struggles over the past 12-15 months on the road but if they want a top 4 spot, they need to start winning on the road. Only thing that worries me is that Rice is back, yes he played the other night in their blow out loss to the Taipans but after one game back in the rotation under his belt, the Breakers might finally get a win.

Brissy are consistent. They have solid bigs.

Breakers at home are a 10 point better team. Rice is good for 25. Sek Henry is in good form. 

I understand your logic but I don't want to tip against NZ at home.

I think the Over is safer with both teams to score in the 90s.

No Rice but the injured Breakers are all back. 
I like the over a lot now.

It has gone up to 184.5 which is still good and now I think the line is about right.

Going way under.

Wow huge 2nd quarter over looking good again.