I'm going to bet the Marshall Thundering Herd. I got them at +13. The line has bounced between 11 and 13 all week and anyway you slice it, those are weak numbers on the favorite.
Boise lost 3 starters during their game with Florida St.
Boise turned the ball over 3 times despite recovering 2 of their own fumbles.
Frosh QB was sacked 5 times and hit bunches more. Even the coach said "I've never seen a kid get hit that hard and get back up as many times as him."
Let down and travel angles in effect as well.
Plenty of points to play with here on a good mid major team in a good spot.