CD Newletter: Super Bowl Exxxtravaganza!

Sunday February Feb 12 on Fox

Chiefs vs Eagles

I'm out of futures.   Some props available now.  I'm waiting for 2nd Half Lead Change as my biggest one

Andy Reid ats off a bye:

18-10 (10-4 w/ Philly, 8-6 w/ KC)

Nick Sirianni ats off a bye:

2-0

Just posting this because I won't be looking at it again or putting any weight on it. I suppose I could look at how many times Reid was a dog in these games?

Potential MVP futures worth sprinkling on in my opinion, if you take out the obvious listed favorites:

Devonta Smith +2500 (scenario being a similar type game as Edelman had years ago, with a game winning TD,,,best case scenario piling a lot of YAC)

Chris Jones +5000 (scenario being a defensive battle of field position and more fgs than TDs,,,3+ sacks, perhaps with a strip sack fumble & recovery)

Reddick +6000 (same scenario as Jones)

Juju +6000 (scenario being 2TD with 150+ yds,,,,best case being one on a deep bomb with blown coverage)

Valdes-Scalding +8000 (same scenario as Juju)

Gardner Minshew +15000 (scenario being Hurts gets injured early and The Stash puts up big stats in a win and becomes Nick Foles 2.0)

Feedback? 

@packersbackers

 Smith...hurts bum shoulder....Eagles don't typically go pass heavy....if kc gets a big lead this has a better shot as it forces birds to pass

Jones tough matchup vs eagles OL

Reddick for sure. Should be DPOY but got snubbed.  He should get to mahomes at least once...chance for FF/RECOVERY if he does

The 2 KC receiver make sense...1 should go off....or kelce goes off insanely playing against his brother.....all-time motivation

Gl

@undermysac

 Thanks. Not as good with kc as he was with eagles off the bye 

I like Reddick for sure, worth lunch money

Quick position breakdown...

Feel free to expand/debate it

Qb- 2 mvp candidates. Edge kc 

Rb- edge phi

Te- edge kc but goedert top 5 as well

Ol- big edge  phi...smaller edge if Dickerson doesn't play 

Wr- big edge phi

De- big edge phi

Dt- even (hargrave/cox vs chris jones)

Lb- phi if Willie gay doesn't play ..even if Willie plays

Cb- big edge phi...kc down to rookies if Sneed not back

S- even, maybe small edge phi since cgjg lead league in interceptions 

Kicker- eagles

Punter- kc

St- kc

Be shocked if Sneed doesnt play....

@bigred84

 Same. He should be outta protocol next week

I think if KC wins, Kelce has a shot at mvp

@packersbackers

I was calling for Hurts to get benched last game. It's highly doubtful that Sirianni will do that. Only hope is at an injury, then that prop grows lungs. So it's kind of a parlay within itself, but those odds represent that I'm guessing. 

I can't stop thinking about the under every which way I look at this game. Perhaps I'm under valuing the KC young secondary vs a good receiving core that the Eagles have? I just see Hurts shitting the bed. He hasn't looked right since the shoulder injury. 

If the Raiders do not deal Carr by i believe some time in middle or late next month they will be stuck with his salary. How bout him for Purdy & Lance. 

No.....

@Biscuiteater1

 Hurts is not 100%. 

Looks like McNabb out there all of a sudden....worm burners at receivers feet and overthrows...not that he is an elite passrr to begin with

Eagles face a pretty big downgrade going from playing 49ers d to chiefs d...

I thought the eagles o looked bad... especially in the 1st half, but some of that was the 49ers d being so good...gotta give credit where credit is due

Eagles ended up running it down the throats of the best d in the league (best run d too if I'm not mistaken)

Coaches flipped the script after they saw the pass wasn't working after the first 2-3 drives

Interesting matchup . Eagles have few ways they can attack.  Chiefs will rely on mahomes arm with a little run game sprinkled in

@dubz4dummyz

 The pass game wasn't working because of Hurts imo. The Niners secondary aren't world beaters. Overall yes, a very good D. That's what has me thinking. 

Theoretically if the Eagles had to play a close game, or from behind vs SF, I think they'd be in a world of trouble. 

I believe that they have to pound the rock vs KC and get the run going. Maybe then the PA will open up. KC will blitz Hurts, that's what Spagnuolo does.

@undermysac

yup hurts did not look great for sure 

 I'm guessing they will pound the rock... doubt they gonna try to out-pass reid/mahomes....bold/stupid if they try to but they actually do have good options with smith/brown/goedert if hurts can hit em

Dickerson will play with an elbow brace .

He ranked 16th outta 88 guards per pff (min. 20% snaps played) and graded out as pff highest graded eagles offensive player in the win vs 49ers

NFL REG SEASON: 86-75-8 (+21.07)

PLAYOFFS 14-6 (+8.33)

FUTURES 2-7 (-1.35)

Futures:

SB:

Chiefs(+500) *.50/2.50

Eagles(+550) *.50/2.75

 is around the corner 

As Hayden Winks said today "I'm ready to fend off everybody who says the Eagles are better at everything but the Chiefs have Mahomes. The Chiefs are more than that and actually stack up pretty well vs. Philly."

Orioles rsw was 62 last year, i doubt it opens less than 72 this season.

Sean Payton to Denver, NO getting 1st and 2nd round picks

Starry Starry Night.......