CD Newsletter Championship Round

I can't help to think that Detroit will cover. And probably winning at some point in the game when the refs step in and fuck them, like they always do. Convince me otherwise. 

@Getty3

 That video was painful!  I couldn’t tell if Crosby was laughing at Tom Jones or just tripping.

There are other videos of singers performing outside their genre.  Pretty funny at times.

Just like asking me if I like to bet the Over.

@Cranky_Hank

 Frank kills it on Riders on the Storm. The Elvis duet is just silly showbiz.

@Cyrax

  Which game are you playing over? They both can't, can they?

@Cyrax

 Bet however you like.  The only person paying/collecting is you.  Opinions are like azzholes.  Everyone has one.

@Getty3

 Formulating my Sunday attempts to profit tonight. 

I always like prop wagers on the 2nd best receivers in big games.  They can’t double cover them all.  Also the tight ends are every quarterback’s security blanket.  When the blitz comes, the TE is getting the pass

@Getty3

 here is what the sportsbook are saying:

"Both games have similar splits. The public is on both 'dogs, and there's sharp play on the favorites," Lucas said. "Cinderella teams like Detroit usually end up being a popular bet, especially on the moneyline. Lions outright would guarantee a losing Sunday for us."

At the moment, moneyline tickets and cash are running 2/1 on Detroit.

TwinSpires opened the total at 50.5 and is up to 51.5. The Over is netting 62% of tickets/72% of money.

"Bettors are expecting a shootout. We are hoping for the opposite"

We are seeing a lot of Chiefs moneyline play. The ticket count on the Chiefs is quite a bit higher than the Ravens

Station opened the total at 46 and dropped down to 44.5. This afternoon, it nudged up to 45.

"Initially, there was some sharp action on the Under. But ticket count clearly favors the Over, as does the money bet.

I'm not taking any of the Over in these games...I'll just add more to they Parlay

True 

Every playoff team who has won thus far, their quarterback has not thrown an interception. 

Somehow I feel that Brock Purdy is the most volatile in this department. As he threw 2 interceptable balls vs GB. One of which was on a silver platter for a GB td.

The look ahead line is now Ravens -1 vs SF at Betonline.

Other possible SB matchups:

Lions/Ravens -6

Lions/Chiefs -3

Chiefs/49ers -2.5

Ravens minus the points looks like a lead pipe.  There is a mathematical equation, just trying to remember correctly, that the winner of an NFL game covers 70% of the time.

I’m not willing to die on this hill, but if you just pick the winner of the game, your chances of covering the spread goes way above 50%!

@Cranky_Hank

 The spread matters only 14% of the time on average, in the nfl.

Yesterday I was hanging out with my bass club friends. The fishing show is in Schaumburg and we got a booth there.

One dude likes to bet, and he bets like a square. Good guy non the less. We went to Hooters afterwards and he asked them to put on the Badgers game. The spread was -3, but he laid the ML "to be safe" as he put it.

Wiscy smoked Sparty 81-66. I told him "you should of laid the number you box".

Bucky at home is always good.  Big 10 in general at home is always good.

Northwestern beat Purdue at Northwestern.

Nuff said.

I'm looking at the 1H Over. I feel that the 49ers Defense will shut down the Lions in the 2H . A lot of money is coming in on the Over. The line is going up and I feel that the Books will clean up. GL either way

From the looks of it most of the heavier rain will subside by kick off, showers,mid 40's and winds 10 - 15 out of NW. In my estimation weather will not be a deciding factor in the outcome of this sporting event.Will update @ 12:15 if needed.