CD Newsletter Week 17

@undermysac

Just got off with my college football betting buddy

Why are you trying to hurt me ?

Guess he's sick of the igloo

@undermysac

 It pays to have good friends.

Outstanding train of thought.

I cant get away from this bet 

Bucs  -1.5  -118    3 units 

I cant get away from this bet 

Bucs  -1.5  -118    3 units 

That's looks to be the right side

*off the phone 

But I still got off anyway.

Little did he know, I was thinking of TW the whole time.

<3 

Good Luck. 

If we burn on these bets, at least we have each other's company. Which is priceless. 

Auburn -4.5

Anyone have a decent Dallas TT?    All mine are fucked

What #'s you got?

I see O29.5(-135) at Betonline...yeesh

O29.5 -110 U29.5 -110 at FanDuel Dallas

O23.5 -116 U 23.5 -106 Detroit at FanDuel 

Take that CH 

sac, I’m basically seeing o29.5 -140

So.  I woke up today to see my local moved all standard lines from -105 to -110.  So I guess I’m back with the peasants.  FML

You have won too much $ from his ass, thank yourself 

I don’t like change 

Jahmyr Gibbs rushing prop is at 49.5(draftkings)

Wtf kind of line is this?

https://en.as.com/nfl/will-johnathan-hankins-play-for-the-cowboys-against-the-lions-n/

Hankins is out.

Let's look at Gibbs last 5 games:

Vs GB: 11 for 54

@ NO: 8 for 60

@CHI(#1 run D) 11 for 66

Vs DEN: 11 for 100

@ MIN: 15 for 80

He's averaging 6.56 ypc last 5 games. Their center Frank Ragnow has been back the last 2 weeks since missing the Bears game. Him and Sewell have the best pff ratings for their respective positions. 

Do the Cowboys have the linebackers to chase this dude around?

@undermysac

 Its cause Montgomery is the lead back and Gibbs is the "pass catching" back. Gibbs lines been in that range all year

Like u say the stats are there if you think it's worth a stab

The other thought is boys are favored. So if they lead like oddsmakers expect maybe Detroit has to go pass heavy

Well that's the perception. He still gets his. Don't think it's a good play?

I'd play this for 2 units easy.

Also, I'm no nfl coach. But there's no chance I go pass heavy vs the Cowboys defense. Have to churn on the ground and keep the ball out of Dak's hands.

Is anyone watching the Toledo-Wyoming game?

The 2 announcers are talking/screaming at the same time, through the entire broadcast.

It is impossible to hear what either of them are saying.

The few times when I can hear wtf they are saying, it is evident that they are clueless.

This is brutal

@undermysac

 I have no opinion on it. He could get 7 carries he could get 14. His big gain could be a rush or a screen. Or 1 of each. I try to find more predictable situations

For example this week I'm on k.williams and cmc rush props....it would be a shock if either of their teams get blown out so they should be running the ball most of the game...and then when u check game logs they are the work horse back for their teams, with limited competition from the RB2. Obviously reflected by the lines. I just think its more likely that rams/9ers pound the run. And even if Detroit does pound the run, Montgomery is gonna get 60-70% of the carries

Some thoughts on the NFL weekend ...

Dal -4.5

Indy -4

Mia +3.5, ML

NO +2.5, ML

Min -1

Might add a couple more.

GL, fella's

@undermysac

 54.5 for both Monty and Gibbs at mine.  If you can take the 49.5 I’d say no brainer.