TJ Watt last 3 games played post injury, 0 sacks 0 pressures. Posting his worst pff grades in 2 of the 3.
Buckle down it's jumbo package time in the cold and snow, they will run Derek Henry right at him.
TJ Watt last 3 games played post injury, 0 sacks 0 pressures. Posting his worst pff grades in 2 of the 3.
Buckle down it's jumbo package time in the cold and snow, they will run Derek Henry right at him.
TJ Watt last 3 games played post injury, 0 sacks 0 pressures. Posting his worst pff grades in 2 of the 3.
Buckle down it's jumbo package time in the cold and snow, they will run Derek Henry right at him.
Mike Tomlin’s eyes are yellower than the snow Cranky Hank pissed on when he went outside in his boxers in the middle of a snowstorm cuz he remembered that he left a Door Dash from Chipotle untouched on the porch just sitting there from an order that he made 3 days ago because being drunk all the time makes you forget things .
Ravens 27-13
Mike Tomlin’s eyes are yellower than the snow Cranky Hank pissed on when he went outside in his boxers in the middle of a snowstorm cuz he remembered that he left a Door Dash from Chipotle untouched on the porch just sitting there from an order that he made 3 days ago because being drunk all the time makes you forget things .
Ravens 27-13
Ohio St. 1H -3½-110 $110/$100
Just passing along a buddy's strong recommendation. I've only studied prospects, so I'm far removed from capping any CFB on my own this year.
I have bets on the WC playoffs coming up later today.
Ohio St. 1H -3½-110 $110/$100
Just passing along a buddy's strong recommendation. I've only studied prospects, so I'm far removed from capping any CFB on my own this year.
I have bets on the WC playoffs coming up later today.
@iConsciousness
I don't think that the Texans defensive ends(who are really good) have faced offensive tackles the caliber of what the Chargers have. I think a lot of what happens in those matchups determines the outcome.
I'm not gonna bet the game or total at this point, good luck.
@iConsciousness
I don't think that the Texans defensive ends(who are really good) have faced offensive tackles the caliber of what the Chargers have. I think a lot of what happens in those matchups determines the outcome.
I'm not gonna bet the game or total at this point, good luck.
I'm going to call it a wash. Hunter and Anderson are one the best DE tandems in the league, and Alt & Slater are one the best OT bookends in the league. Texans are going to have to get pressure up the middle, and they may just do it.
Herbert ranks 7th overall in QBR rating while under pressure (101.7). Stroud ranks 25th at 87.
The Texans have the 2nd most takeaways in the league, while Herbert has only thrown 3 interceptions all year; tops among starters. So something's gotta give there.
The Chargers have been playing much better with Dobbins back. Herbert has regained full mobility, and that's another element to his game the Texans are going to have to account for.
The more I respond to you and Biscuit, Sac, the more I like the Chargers side.
I'm going to call it a wash. Hunter and Anderson are one the best DE tandems in the league, and Alt & Slater are one the best OT bookends in the league. Texans are going to have to get pressure up the middle, and they may just do it.
Herbert ranks 7th overall in QBR rating while under pressure (101.7). Stroud ranks 25th at 87.
The Texans have the 2nd most takeaways in the league, while Herbert has only thrown 3 interceptions all year; tops among starters. So something's gotta give there.
The Chargers have been playing much better with Dobbins back. Herbert has regained full mobility, and that's another element to his game the Texans are going to have to account for.
The more I respond to you and Biscuit, Sac, the more I like the Chargers side.
YTD:
Sides/Totals: 29-18-3 ($1071)
Parlays/Teasers: 4-3 ($239)
Props: 2-2 ($37.50)
Live Bets: 0-1 (-$57)
Overall: 35-24-3 (+$1290.50)
Here are my official plays for the WC weekend:
Chargers -3 EV ($100/$100) *BetOnline
Chargers -2.5 -120 ($120/$100) *BetOnline
Chargers 1H ML -135 ($140/$100) *Bovada
Chargers 1H -0.5 -110 ($50/$45.45) *Bovada
I'm wagering a little over 4 units to win close to 3.5.
My thought process is here is that the Chargers should win the 1H, but in the even that they don't, they'll both cover the 2H and the game. So if I lose the 1H, I'll either just let the FG bet ride or, if in watching the game I'm more confident than I am now that they'll cover the 2H, I'll go in on a 2H bet as well. In the past 3 games no team other than the Commanders have scored more 2nd half points than the Chargers. The Texans are bottom 5. I expect some adjustments in the 2H if it needs to be made,
Other plays:
Ravens -9.5 -105 ($105/$100)
Broncos +9.5 -110 ($110/$100)
I'm better when picking favorites, even with high spreads, but I see an opportunity here with the Broncos. For as much praise as Josh Allen gets, his numbers aren't much off from Bo Nix's.
Player A Player B
31 TDs 31 TDs
8 INTs 6 TDs
3435 Yards 3342 Yards
68.3 % Completion 62% Completion
103.2 Passer Rating 97.4 Passer Rating
One is in the MVP discussion, the other is a rookie QB with some ups and downs this year. Anyway, both defenses grade out similarly enough where I would focus more on the offense. My only concern is the playoff experience the Bills have over this current Broncos squad. The experience couldn't be any more paramount than at QB, and that's where Allen has the edge.
I'm not a fan of Sean Payton, but this isn't his first rodeo in the playoffs. I like having the 9 points in my back pocket, so give me the Broncos here.
By the way, Player A is Bo Nix, and Josh Allen is Player B. With the Ravens, I think it's simply a matter of them being a better team on both sides of the ball right now. Since their home loss against the Eagles, by 5 points, they've whooped on the Giants, Steelers, Texans, and Browns. There was a thread in the mains about teams peaking at the right time, and I think the Ravens are the first team that come to mind. It's a shame they'll be without Flowers, but they seemed to be able to work around that well enough. They'll need him in the next round, though.
YTD:
Sides/Totals: 29-18-3 ($1071)
Parlays/Teasers: 4-3 ($239)
Props: 2-2 ($37.50)
Live Bets: 0-1 (-$57)
Overall: 35-24-3 (+$1290.50)
Here are my official plays for the WC weekend:
Chargers -3 EV ($100/$100) *BetOnline
Chargers -2.5 -120 ($120/$100) *BetOnline
Chargers 1H ML -135 ($140/$100) *Bovada
Chargers 1H -0.5 -110 ($50/$45.45) *Bovada
I'm wagering a little over 4 units to win close to 3.5.
My thought process is here is that the Chargers should win the 1H, but in the even that they don't, they'll both cover the 2H and the game. So if I lose the 1H, I'll either just let the FG bet ride or, if in watching the game I'm more confident than I am now that they'll cover the 2H, I'll go in on a 2H bet as well. In the past 3 games no team other than the Commanders have scored more 2nd half points than the Chargers. The Texans are bottom 5. I expect some adjustments in the 2H if it needs to be made,
Other plays:
Ravens -9.5 -105 ($105/$100)
Broncos +9.5 -110 ($110/$100)
I'm better when picking favorites, even with high spreads, but I see an opportunity here with the Broncos. For as much praise as Josh Allen gets, his numbers aren't much off from Bo Nix's.
Player A Player B
31 TDs 31 TDs
8 INTs 6 TDs
3435 Yards 3342 Yards
68.3 % Completion 62% Completion
103.2 Passer Rating 97.4 Passer Rating
One is in the MVP discussion, the other is a rookie QB with some ups and downs this year. Anyway, both defenses grade out similarly enough where I would focus more on the offense. My only concern is the playoff experience the Bills have over this current Broncos squad. The experience couldn't be any more paramount than at QB, and that's where Allen has the edge.
I'm not a fan of Sean Payton, but this isn't his first rodeo in the playoffs. I like having the 9 points in my back pocket, so give me the Broncos here.
By the way, Player A is Bo Nix, and Josh Allen is Player B. With the Ravens, I think it's simply a matter of them being a better team on both sides of the ball right now. Since their home loss against the Eagles, by 5 points, they've whooped on the Giants, Steelers, Texans, and Browns. There was a thread in the mains about teams peaking at the right time, and I think the Ravens are the first team that come to mind. It's a shame they'll be without Flowers, but they seemed to be able to work around that well enough. They'll need him in the next round, though.
@undermysac
Unless the Bolts do not play up to par they gonna be right there and probably cover and the -3 is cheap, don't be a schmuck my friend.
@undermysac
Unless the Bolts do not play up to par they gonna be right there and probably cover and the -3 is cheap, don't be a schmuck my friend.
..per Shefty
The Cardinals are sending two of the team’s 777 planes to Los Angeles this afternoon, picking up the Rams team, its staff, their families, six dogs and two cats — yes, six dogs and two cats, per an official — and bringing them to Arizona tonight. Cardinals are turning over their training facility for the evacuated Rams to use in advance of their Monday night game vs. the Vikings at State Farm Stadium.
..per Shefty
The Cardinals are sending two of the team’s 777 planes to Los Angeles this afternoon, picking up the Rams team, its staff, their families, six dogs and two cats — yes, six dogs and two cats, per an official — and bringing them to Arizona tonight. Cardinals are turning over their training facility for the evacuated Rams to use in advance of their Monday night game vs. the Vikings at State Farm Stadium.
Don't make me take a road fav in the playoffs! I hate my life enough all ready as it is
Don't make me take a road fav in the playoffs! I hate my life enough all ready as it is
unreal ending to the first half...
unreal ending to the first half...
Just getting to the dvoa podcast now.
Aaron Shotz usually recommends favorites, but looking like mostly dogs for the wildcard. His picks:
Chargers -3. He said he'd take the Texans at +3.5
He likes Pitt and the points but thinks Ravens win.
He likes the Broncos +8.5 but Bills should win.
He doesn't like either Packers or Eagles 4.5, no recommendation. Says that his #'s give the Packers more love than other ratings.
His best bet is Commanders +3.
They didn't talk about the Vikings/Rams, they're doing another pod about that game on Monday.
Just getting to the dvoa podcast now.
Aaron Shotz usually recommends favorites, but looking like mostly dogs for the wildcard. His picks:
Chargers -3. He said he'd take the Texans at +3.5
He likes Pitt and the points but thinks Ravens win.
He likes the Broncos +8.5 but Bills should win.
He doesn't like either Packers or Eagles 4.5, no recommendation. Says that his #'s give the Packers more love than other ratings.
His best bet is Commanders +3.
They didn't talk about the Vikings/Rams, they're doing another pod about that game on Monday.
3-3 +0.98 last week
78-83-9 (+0.59) YTD
Ravens -8.5(-110) *1.10/1.00
Eagles -3.5(-110) *1.00/.91
Broncos 1H +6(-115) *1.00/.87
Vikings 1H ML(-130) *1.00/.77
Packers 1H +3(-115) *.50/.44
3-3 +0.98 last week
78-83-9 (+0.59) YTD
Ravens -8.5(-110) *1.10/1.00
Eagles -3.5(-110) *1.00/.91
Broncos 1H +6(-115) *1.00/.87
Vikings 1H ML(-130) *1.00/.77
Packers 1H +3(-115) *.50/.44
played them in week 1 a long time ago....
Skins D was bad then no better now....
Lattimore was trashed by the Eagles #11 ate him alive...
Skins only chance is a track meet...
Cyrax special Triple Max....
played them in week 1 a long time ago....
Skins D was bad then no better now....
Lattimore was trashed by the Eagles #11 ate him alive...
Skins only chance is a track meet...
Cyrax special Triple Max....
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