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HELLO BETTORS (End of 3rd quarter capper)

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Posted: #26
Yeah. I am probably putting way to much time into the sheet, but its the little things that help boost the confidence when making a bet. As you posted at the beginning of this thread. You have your winners and your losers, but if you can take the 55%-58% win ratio and somehow increase those odds and play your bets in a 70% win territory you never know.  Why not have the info. handy. Its also good to know your benches incase of a blow out. As I found out the hard way that some teams i.e. GSW has shooting depth on their bench so taking a 4th quarter under can go bad real fast. 
 
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Posted: #27
not even that like the SA Spurs mostly put up low scoring games but if they are blowing out a team in the 3rd quarter the bench comes in and they are mostly shooters so it drives the score up... alot of people don't put those particulars into play!
 
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Posted: #28
I like the idea of a GroupMe or some sort of chat. I discovered LIVE play about a month ago and have been playing it every day for about a month. It has been profitable, but there's room for improvement. As I learn more and more about these games, their trends, etc. it becomes even more profitable. Sometimes it seems I can't pull the trigger on what could be a good bet. Much like your Bulls Bet just now. Having that system could really crush and makes a lot of sense. Its hard to sit here and monitor every game as they are going on. 
 
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Posted: #29
its all about trends and how the game is progressing so that's why some of the data i use but then i see whats going on while watching the game i try not to bet on games i cant watch. but i sent u a request we could set this up and keep the money coming not flowing but trickle in lolol

We still have 1 more game this might be a big bet if the trend continues in the 3rd i need the knicks to maintain the 7-10 point deficit 
 
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Posted: #30
What are you looking at? An Over if they maintain the deficit?
 
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Posted: #31
9507] KNICKS (IN GAME) ACTION o190½ is what its at right now still to early to take!!!!! but that looks good

 
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Posted: #32
damm shuda took that 

 
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Posted: #33
2H SACRAMENTO KINGS u104 based on data trends look like a lock it has me at 68% i dont know if i want to take it knck come heavy in 3rd quarter when down  
 
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Posted: #34
but ima 4th quarter picker so im staying away till end of 3rd lol
 
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Posted: #35
over or under 52.5 3q?
 
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Posted: #36
Quote Originally Posted by Endof3rdJeff:

its all about trends and how the game is progressing so that's why some of the data i use but then i see whats going on while watching the game i try not to bet on games i cant watch. but i sent u a request we could set this up and keep the money coming not flowing but trickle in lolol

We still have 1 more game this might be a big bet if the trend continues in the 3rd i need the knicks to maintain the 7-10 point deficit 

Looking forward to it. This is going to be good!

Its really the best way to do it. You can watch the full 1st half. You never know what halftime adjustments are going to be made. The turnover from 3rd quarter to 4th quarter is a quick one, so usually that momentum is carried over. 

 
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Posted: #37

If the game is within a 10 point differential going into the 4th quarter here is the data. 195 matches total hit the criteria. The Under would just be the opposite. Welp, it ended at 11, but that probably doesn't skew the data that much. 

These are the rolling quarter odds based on precedents. 

OVER 4Q TOTAL w/Percentage

39.5 174/195 89.2%

40.5 168/196 85.72%

41.5 165/196    84.12%

42.5 157/196  80.10%

43.5 150/196 76.53%

44.5 143/196 72.96%

45.5 139/196 70.92%

46.5 130/196 66.34%

47.5 124/196 63.27%

48.5 116/196 59.18%

49.5 107/196 54.59%

50.5 96/196 48.98%

51.5 85/196 43.4%

52.5 79/196 40.31%

53.5 56/196 28.58%

54.5 55/196 28.17%

55.5 49/196 25.00%

56.5 41/196 20.92%

57.5 38/196 19.39%

58.5 36/196 18.37%

59.5 28/196 14.29%

60.5 25/196 12.76%

 
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Posted: #38
End of 3QT my pick will be:


NBA [9508] TOTAL u194½ (KNICKS (IN GAME) ACTION vrs KINGS (IN GAME) ACTION)


2-0 for the night lets go 3-0
 BOL to all!!!!
 
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Posted: #39
BOL
 
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Posted: #40
So a bet under 52.5 the 4Q?
 
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Posted: #41
Do the math I hit under 201 heritage
 
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Posted: #42
PACE is hot almost caught the quarter Under 60.5. Sitting at 58.5 LIVE right now. Going to put a unit down on the Under. Think these guys slow down as it gets closer. Kings will start holding the ball if they can start to pull away. Otherwise we will have free throws. 
 
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Posted: #43
is under 55,5 still a Good bet? 
 
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Posted: #44
Damm doesn't  look good again

 
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Posted: #45
If you see 60.5 LIVE In a 4Q and there is a decent amount of separation between the teams there is a good chance Under hits. As you can see from the data of the teams going under that number. If its a highly contested game. You never know. Looks like the Knicks are slowing their pace as the game is getting closer. Thats also something to consider with moving odds. The Knicks take the least amount of shots than any other team in the NBA. Which means they operate inside of their efficiency in a close game. 

 
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Posted: #46
Damm doesn't  look good again

 
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Posted: #47
its another nail bitter

 
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Posted: #48
Quote Originally Posted by Endof3rdJeff:

Damm doesn't  look good again

 
Crazy how these guys can't miss all of a sudden. 

41.3 Seconds left. 

Good news for us is its super close. If the Knicks tie the game right here. Sacramento may hold the ball for a last second shot. 

This is where that tip comes into handy that I told you about. 4Q bet does not count OT. 2H Bets do however. So you wouldn't want to take the full Under. IMO. We shall see. 
 
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Posted: #49
24.5 secs i need a miss
 
 
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Posted: #50
thats the loss right there with that foul

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