i rarely lay double digit spreads but i really like the odds here. cincy is coming off two straight losses. uconn has nothing to play for and they just flat out suck. cincy is 10-3 in beating opponents ranked 100 or greater in the kenpom ratings, (one of those games was by 19....), and 7-1 at home by 20 or greater.
more so, uconn is 5-1 when they played anyone even in the top 25 of kenpom ratings.
No team is as good as it looks when winning nor are they as bad as they look when losing
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cincy -18 (2u)
i rarely lay double digit spreads but i really like the odds here. cincy is coming off two straight losses. uconn has nothing to play for and they just flat out suck. cincy is 10-3 in beating opponents ranked 100 or greater in the kenpom ratings, (one of those games was by 19....), and 7-1 at home by 20 or greater.
more so, uconn is 5-1 when they played anyone even in the top 25 of kenpom ratings.
oregon st. hasn't gotten less than double digits, home or away, since 2012. home teams are 8-2 ATS over the last ten. even when the played washington, who is a better team than oregon st, they laid -7. zona has beaten oregon st. by 9 points or more the last four games... yet the line is 6?
oh yeaaa. zona's leading guard not eligible to play due to failing drug test
No team is as good as it looks when winning nor are they as bad as they look when losing
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Quote Originally Posted by OlDirtyBaztid:
the close your eyes and hit submit special
oregon st. +6 (2u)
oregon st. hasn't gotten less than double digits, home or away, since 2012. home teams are 8-2 ATS over the last ten. even when the played washington, who is a better team than oregon st, they laid -7. zona has beaten oregon st. by 9 points or more the last four games... yet the line is 6?
oh yeaaa. zona's leading guard not eligible to play due to failing drug test
Bulls 76ers Under 242.5...ingame wager at halftme...original line approx 214...this is an autobet for me with all this +EV here...just need one average scoring Q and this should regress downwards...i will ask the gambling gods well in advance...please no OT here.
Victory Belongs to the Most Tenacious
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Locked in:
Bulls 76ers Under 242.5...ingame wager at halftme...original line approx 214...this is an autobet for me with all this +EV here...just need one average scoring Q and this should regress downwards...i will ask the gambling gods well in advance...please no OT here.
Clippers +3.5 1st Q...pure trend play...half unit for me as I do want to ease back into the NBA soap opera without overcommitting
so I just heard that Zaza was taken out of the starting lineup for yesterdays game in favor of McGee...over the all star break the Dubs came to the realization per the relevant metrics showing that with Zaza on the floor they were even points wise vs their opponents, and with him on the bench were significantly higher point differential in all 1st Qs this season...bye bye Zaza...hope the bench has extra padding for the rest of the season, you will be sitting a lot for the rest of the year before they ship you off to Sacramento or another bottom feeder where you belong.
obviously, had I known this, I wouldn't have made this Clips 1st Q, but only going half unit is better than a full one being wasted.
Look for Dubs to potentially flip the switch and play hard in all upcoming 1st Qs, in order to relatively coast for the remainder of the games...lots of Dubs 1h's may be the play, while being weary of the back door potential thus taking their opponents 2h if the games are relative blowouts.
Victory Belongs to the Most Tenacious
0
Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:
Locked in:
Clippers +3.5 1st Q...pure trend play...half unit for me as I do want to ease back into the NBA soap opera without overcommitting
so I just heard that Zaza was taken out of the starting lineup for yesterdays game in favor of McGee...over the all star break the Dubs came to the realization per the relevant metrics showing that with Zaza on the floor they were even points wise vs their opponents, and with him on the bench were significantly higher point differential in all 1st Qs this season...bye bye Zaza...hope the bench has extra padding for the rest of the season, you will be sitting a lot for the rest of the year before they ship you off to Sacramento or another bottom feeder where you belong.
obviously, had I known this, I wouldn't have made this Clips 1st Q, but only going half unit is better than a full one being wasted.
Look for Dubs to potentially flip the switch and play hard in all upcoming 1st Qs, in order to relatively coast for the remainder of the games...lots of Dubs 1h's may be the play, while being weary of the back door potential thus taking their opponents 2h if the games are relative blowouts.
Montenegro Slovenia Over 136.5...ingame wager at halftime...very low scoring 1st H 32-29, with original line of 157...this is an autobet for me with this +EV amount... I would expect the total to fall around the mid 140s when the dust settles, plus a close game like this pickem type spread always has OT possibilities
Montenegro Slovenia Over 136.5...ingame wager at halftime...very low scoring 1st H 32-29, with original line of 157...this is an autobet for me with this +EV amount... I would expect the total to fall around the mid 140s when the dust settles, plus a close game like this pickem type spread always has OT possibilities
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