Santa Barb/San Fran Under 162.5 live ingame wager at the half...tied 41-41...original line is around 148.5....i tend to see alot of lower scoring 2nd halves when the first half goes well above the expected total like in this one...i cant see these 2 teams keeping up this scoring pace...they will need to hit another perfect offensive half to hit this number...hopefully both teams coaches are talking about more defensive effort during halftime and will make the appropriate adjustments...and the refs as well can leave their whistles behind in the lockerroom.
Victory Belongs to the Most Tenacious
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Locked in:
Santa Barb/San Fran Under 162.5 live ingame wager at the half...tied 41-41...original line is around 148.5....i tend to see alot of lower scoring 2nd halves when the first half goes well above the expected total like in this one...i cant see these 2 teams keeping up this scoring pace...they will need to hit another perfect offensive half to hit this number...hopefully both teams coaches are talking about more defensive effort during halftime and will make the appropriate adjustments...and the refs as well can leave their whistles behind in the lockerroom.
CS North +13.5 (half unit)...pure fade of this Cal team losing by epic magins to Chaminade...also a heat check type late night wager...ive missed out a few gimmes today which i was looking over but didnt play...got really involved with the Cavs Heat game with live wagering...kept smashing Heat + pts and the Under whatever throughout the last 3 minutes of the 2nd Q and first 3 minutes of the 3rd Q...made quite a nice shekkel collection in that game...gotta love those scripted 1st half blowout overs which almost always lead to the dog covering with the under hitting in the 2nd half.
Victory Belongs to the Most Tenacious
0
Locked in:
CS North +13.5 (half unit)...pure fade of this Cal team losing by epic magins to Chaminade...also a heat check type late night wager...ive missed out a few gimmes today which i was looking over but didnt play...got really involved with the Cavs Heat game with live wagering...kept smashing Heat + pts and the Under whatever throughout the last 3 minutes of the 2nd Q and first 3 minutes of the 3rd Q...made quite a nice shekkel collection in that game...gotta love those scripted 1st half blowout overs which almost always lead to the dog covering with the under hitting in the 2nd half.
Famila Schio +15.5 (vs Ekaterin Womens Euroleague)....too many points here...line is inflated because of name brand recognition...in the past years Ekat was constantly beating teams by 25+...they arent the same squad thus far...Schio is usually a solid squad.....8-12 pt range for Ekat is what i predict.
Victory Belongs to the Most Tenacious
0
Locked in:
Famila Schio +15.5 (vs Ekaterin Womens Euroleague)....too many points here...line is inflated because of name brand recognition...in the past years Ekat was constantly beating teams by 25+...they arent the same squad thus far...Schio is usually a solid squad.....8-12 pt range for Ekat is what i predict.
Schio should get out to a fast start and lead by 2-4 after the 1st Q, Ekat will roar back in the 2nd and likely lead by 3-6pts at the half, then Schio holds on for the full game cover....this script is very common in womens international hoops...lets see if it happens again.
Victory Belongs to the Most Tenacious
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Schio should get out to a fast start and lead by 2-4 after the 1st Q, Ekat will roar back in the 2nd and likely lead by 3-6pts at the half, then Schio holds on for the full game cover....this script is very common in womens international hoops...lets see if it happens again.
BigD...last night was just a minor speed bump...nice to avoid any major landmines on such a tough night...that Louisville ending stung for sure...oh well, Badlands on Brown wasnt good for me either...onto today....i have to make sure the main mushes out there dont feel any of my caps are the easiest games on the board...winning aint easy when you are the peoples champ and have the reputation of the scalabrine killer...people expect only the best now.
Victory Belongs to the Most Tenacious
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BigD...last night was just a minor speed bump...nice to avoid any major landmines on such a tough night...that Louisville ending stung for sure...oh well, Badlands on Brown wasnt good for me either...onto today....i have to make sure the main mushes out there dont feel any of my caps are the easiest games on the board...winning aint easy when you are the peoples champ and have the reputation of the scalabrine killer...people expect only the best now.
Classic spot where a team rallies together following a coach being fired their very first game post firing...wow did Memphis look brutal in their last game...thus in the crazy NBA world of betting, this is the "see thru the smoke" smart cap....also, Spurs recently should have lost at home against the lowly Mavs, so its not like they are playing like world beaters either...Memphis has a very good heads up history versus this team, and they usually give max effort....8.5 points are just way too much here.
Dirk, what do you think? I know when the Spurs are expected to cover by margins like these, they lay eggs in atleast one full quarter and are left scrambling to get the win, let alone the cover.
Victory Belongs to the Most Tenacious
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The peoples eyeball focused on:
Memphis +8.5
Memphis 1st half (line not posted yet)
Memphis 1st Q (line not posted yet)
Memphis ML +290
Classic spot where a team rallies together following a coach being fired their very first game post firing...wow did Memphis look brutal in their last game...thus in the crazy NBA world of betting, this is the "see thru the smoke" smart cap....also, Spurs recently should have lost at home against the lowly Mavs, so its not like they are playing like world beaters either...Memphis has a very good heads up history versus this team, and they usually give max effort....8.5 points are just way too much here.
Dirk, what do you think? I know when the Spurs are expected to cover by margins like these, they lay eggs in atleast one full quarter and are left scrambling to get the win, let alone the cover.
Post your football picks here...you are a great capper in that sport and for you, we will make the exception...as long as you make sure the cookies and coffee are always fresh for your nightly Browns gathering
Victory Belongs to the Most Tenacious
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Hugh...the peoples proposal:
Post your football picks here...you are a great capper in that sport and for you, we will make the exception...as long as you make sure the cookies and coffee are always fresh for your nightly Browns gathering
As crazy as this will appear upon first glance...Mayfield to win the heisman is only -1200 over at b365...i am actually contemplating putting 6k on it to win 500...is there anyone else here who wouldnt make this wager if you throw out the actual odds....and just look at and analyze the outright winner...how can anyone not named Baker Mayfield win this award?
Call me square, however a winning wager is just that, as long as it wins....in all my 10 years here, i have never once posted anything like this, however with Xmas coming, and travelling expenses over winter break, this seems like a very safe bet.
The peoples champ is very thick skinned, so feel free to call me insane or crazy just for even considering this, but if you do, then please tell me logically who else stands a better chance to win the heisman this year and why?
Victory Belongs to the Most Tenacious
0
As crazy as this will appear upon first glance...Mayfield to win the heisman is only -1200 over at b365...i am actually contemplating putting 6k on it to win 500...is there anyone else here who wouldnt make this wager if you throw out the actual odds....and just look at and analyze the outright winner...how can anyone not named Baker Mayfield win this award?
Call me square, however a winning wager is just that, as long as it wins....in all my 10 years here, i have never once posted anything like this, however with Xmas coming, and travelling expenses over winter break, this seems like a very safe bet.
The peoples champ is very thick skinned, so feel free to call me insane or crazy just for even considering this, but if you do, then please tell me logically who else stands a better chance to win the heisman this year and why?
Schio covers wire to wire...got a bit dicey in the last minute...but the refs lined up their last minute calls based on the oriiginal script...great way to start the day and rid that Louisville bitterness hangover
Schio covers wire to wire...got a bit dicey in the last minute...but the refs lined up their last minute calls based on the oriiginal script...great way to start the day and rid that Louisville bitterness hangover
Eyeballing a live wager on Yesilgiresun come halftime...Galatasaray hovering around a 20pt lead as only a 7.5 pt home fav...these two teams are mediocre at best, and when one half goes tilted one way, the next half typically goes the other was and we get regression to the original line.
Eyeballing a live wager on Yesilgiresun come halftime...Galatasaray hovering around a 20pt lead as only a 7.5 pt home fav...these two teams are mediocre at best, and when one half goes tilted one way, the next half typically goes the other was and we get regression to the original line.
Yesilgiresun +17.5 for the game, placed at halftime down 58-40....odds are telling me they do not expect Galatasaray to keep up the 1st half dominance for the entire game.
Victory Belongs to the Most Tenacious
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Locked in:
Yesilgiresun +17.5 for the game, placed at halftime down 58-40....odds are telling me they do not expect Galatasaray to keep up the 1st half dominance for the entire game.
Classic spot where a team rallies together following a coach being fired their very first game post firing...wow did Memphis look brutal in their last game...thus in the crazy NBA world of betting, this is the "see thru the smoke" smart cap....also, Spurs recently should have lost at home against the lowly Mavs, so its not like they are playing like world beaters either...Memphis has a very good heads up history versus this team, and they usually give max effort....8.5 points are just way too much here.
Dirk, what do you think? I know when the Spurs are expected to cover by margins like these, they lay eggs in atleast one full quarter and are left scrambling to get the win, let alone the cover.
PB,
what you also get in this one is the "fired coach, everyone playing for their jobs angle" as well. Gasol was quoted last game as saying " if I'm not playing in the 4th quarter than I'm not valued here". now the coach is gone I'm sure that won't be an issue and yes, the Grizzlies have some great history against the Spurs even beating them in the playoffs in 2011.
0
Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:
The peoples eyeball focused on:
Memphis +8.5
Memphis 1st half (line not posted yet)
Memphis 1st Q (line not posted yet)
Memphis ML +290
Classic spot where a team rallies together following a coach being fired their very first game post firing...wow did Memphis look brutal in their last game...thus in the crazy NBA world of betting, this is the "see thru the smoke" smart cap....also, Spurs recently should have lost at home against the lowly Mavs, so its not like they are playing like world beaters either...Memphis has a very good heads up history versus this team, and they usually give max effort....8.5 points are just way too much here.
Dirk, what do you think? I know when the Spurs are expected to cover by margins like these, they lay eggs in atleast one full quarter and are left scrambling to get the win, let alone the cover.
PB,
what you also get in this one is the "fired coach, everyone playing for their jobs angle" as well. Gasol was quoted last game as saying " if I'm not playing in the 4th quarter than I'm not valued here". now the coach is gone I'm sure that won't be an issue and yes, the Grizzlies have some great history against the Spurs even beating them in the playoffs in 2011.
As crazy as this will appear upon first glance...Mayfield to win the heisman is only -1200 over at b365...i am actually contemplating putting 6k on it to win 500...is there anyone else here who wouldnt make this wager if you throw out the actual odds....and just look at and analyze the outright winner...how can anyone not named Baker Mayfield win this award?
Call me square, however a winning wager is just that, as long as it wins....in all my 10 years here, i have never once posted anything like this, however with Xmas coming, and travelling expenses over winter break, this seems like a very safe bet.
The peoples champ is very thick skinned, so feel free to call me insane or crazy just for even considering this, but if you do, then please tell me logically who else stands a better chance to win the heisman this year and why?
He will win it. But, yes you are crazy for risking that much on a -1200 favorite. I had Hillary at -600 and during the night had the Donald as a hedge at +1200 and didn't take it. Haunts me to this day.
0
Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:
As crazy as this will appear upon first glance...Mayfield to win the heisman is only -1200 over at b365...i am actually contemplating putting 6k on it to win 500...is there anyone else here who wouldnt make this wager if you throw out the actual odds....and just look at and analyze the outright winner...how can anyone not named Baker Mayfield win this award?
Call me square, however a winning wager is just that, as long as it wins....in all my 10 years here, i have never once posted anything like this, however with Xmas coming, and travelling expenses over winter break, this seems like a very safe bet.
The peoples champ is very thick skinned, so feel free to call me insane or crazy just for even considering this, but if you do, then please tell me logically who else stands a better chance to win the heisman this year and why?
He will win it. But, yes you are crazy for risking that much on a -1200 favorite. I had Hillary at -600 and during the night had the Donald as a hedge at +1200 and didn't take it. Haunts me to this day.
Yesil didnt work out as expected...international hoops is a different beast with alot of bumpy roads but with alot of +EV spots to more than make up for those bumps.
Victory Belongs to the Most Tenacious
0
Yesil didnt work out as expected...international hoops is a different beast with alot of bumpy roads but with alot of +EV spots to more than make up for those bumps.
BigD....only reason i am considering this Mayfield wager is because im really just using house money on it...the past several months have allowed me to truly press certain favorable wagers...last weeks Pittsburgh Steelers last leg winner allows me the buffer to make this wager.
I feel you regarding Hillary/Donald...i dont wager on politics, but last years election was a once in a lifetime live television event where all the major networks were completely blind sided because their polling system was flawed....unbelievably Michael Moore and few others predicted Donalds win almost a full year in advance...but if they were wrong and Hillary ended up winning, no one would have blinked an eye.
Victory Belongs to the Most Tenacious
0
BigD....only reason i am considering this Mayfield wager is because im really just using house money on it...the past several months have allowed me to truly press certain favorable wagers...last weeks Pittsburgh Steelers last leg winner allows me the buffer to make this wager.
I feel you regarding Hillary/Donald...i dont wager on politics, but last years election was a once in a lifetime live television event where all the major networks were completely blind sided because their polling system was flawed....unbelievably Michael Moore and few others predicted Donalds win almost a full year in advance...but if they were wrong and Hillary ended up winning, no one would have blinked an eye.
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voodoo on it???
but with alot of +EV spots to more than make up for those bumps.
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