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NBA & NCAA Season Long Hoops Chat - Hosted by The Peoples Champ, Featuring Expert BigD

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Posted: #901
@ day trader, of course they made me sweat it out but a W is a W


PB, of all the plays I made today, how did I forget about Dubs 3rd?   such a moron.
 
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Posted: #902
I did jump on 


Over 226.5  Warriors Pels LIVE early in the 3rd.
 
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Posted: #903
I just sat there and watched thinking GSW -7.5 / 3Q was too much.

And, of course, I was wrong as hell.

Let me try this DEN -2.5 / 3Q and see if the Bball gods trap me.
 
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Posted: #904
Quote Originally Posted by BIGDTITLE:

Adding some small plays:


Dallas 1H -1 ( then Denver takes over in the second.  ).   winner

Under 7.5 made Free Throws for Giannis -120.   terrible play, someone stop me next time

Over 39.5 Longest Completion for Dalton -115.    he just missed this one because he is terrible.  AJ wide open

Bungals +6 -125.      looking solid

 
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Posted: #905
Locked in:

Florida -1.5 for the game...live wager at the half
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Posted: #906
I cant be the only one who thinks Warriors have started to take intentional early 1st half dives on the road just for shiits and giggles to see if they can still cover the original line?
A team this good has to now find creative ways to keeo them interested
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Posted: #907
Thank you Refs for c*ck blocking my Over for Dalton.  Worst holding call I've ever seen.
 
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Posted: #908
Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:

I cant be the only one who thinks Warriors have started to take intentional early 1st half dives on the road just for shiits and giggles to see if they can still cover the original line?
A team this good has to now find creative ways to keeo them interested


and to think I had +195 on the ML live and I said to myself "nah".    I need my head examined.
 
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Posted: #909
I had them +260 and wished my testicles didnt turn into a scal vag when i entered my wager amount
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Posted: #910
1H Dallas -1


then 


Nuggets 3rd Q


just how we drew it up!!


 
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Posted: #911
That Bernard holding call only fuels the National Fixxxed Leagues image...wow that ref who threw it probably is cross dressing as we speak
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Posted: #912
5-3 on the night.  ill take that every night.  Didn't want to play that many plays and props but hey, its Monday and we have all week to get it back or pile it on before we meet with the bad man


Taking a look at tomorrows card already because I can.

Eyeballing Wake Forest -7.5.  they were TURRIBLE to start the year but Manning has this group playing great ball the past 3 games and even though this is a road game its still in state.  I also like backing teams against teams that are horrible at the free throw line and Charlotte shoots 67% from the stripe. 
 
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Posted: #913
Regroup Tueaday...last night could have been alot worse had i chased with a few 2h misreads...super glad i didnt get involved with St.Marys last night...that would have stole money from me.

Eyeballing NBA:

Raptors -13....this is a feel good get healthy spot for Toronto ending a short home stand before getting a few days off before their next game, while this is Phoenix last game on a long road trip, and b2b situational fade is almost an autobet following their win last night...13 seems like a lot but Raps are scoring 3s and running fast breaks uptempo alot recently...Phx defense will be optional tonight....can easily see this game following the same screenplay as Indiana/NY last night...Rap get up 12-15 in the 1st Q, 20-25 by half, then just worry about the back door being left opened as the Raps stink in 3rd Qs lately, but close it well in the 4th Q....perhaps Raps 1st H may be worth a look too.

Washington/Portland Over 203...neither team seems to care about anything right now, thus the 1st thing to go is defensive intensity...this game may end up look like an AND 1 rafer alston classic...just 3pt jack ups and uncontested fast break 2 on 1s.
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Posted: #914
Also looking at Raptors under 225....i just smell a Phx laydown and egg laying contest...120-90 type blowout...when Toronto wants to play D, they are actually very good at its execution.
Phx in the past always were pests for the Raps, but thats when they had defensive specialist PJ Tucker, among few other xfactors...this Suns team simply doesnt have anyone left other than Booker.
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Posted: #915
Eyeballing College:

Gonzaga +5
Texas -5.5
Georgia -11
Arizona ML
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Posted: #916
PB,

in regards to Texas, any other thoughts on this game other than Shaka playing his told team?
 
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Posted: #917
Bigger stronger faster texas kids...VCU just shoots 3s...im sure the texas team will take that away from VCU...then how will VCU keep up their scoring?
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Posted: #918
line is moving in your favor......  -7 at my book  


locking in:

Under 135  Press Virginia vs Virginia
 
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Posted: #919
Also looking into,


Over 146.5 Arizona vs Texas A&M

both these teams should easily reach the 70s.  Arizona is averaging 85 a game and the Aggies are averaging 82 a game and yet the line is only 146.5?   Call me a sucker but its Super Tuesday and these offenses should be on full display. 
 
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Posted: #920
Lost all my profit yesterday on DET ML (should have taken the points). Then followed it up chasing 39.5 Under on the Bungles. They actually lost the game, AT HOME, in the 4th Q, allowing 10 unaswered points. Would hate to be a CINCY fan.

Tuesday in the NBA
I am terrible at capping TOR. Have never won on them for a solid year, no matter what side I take. For someone who bets, at most, 2 units per play, I have lost 20+ on TOR games.

 Having said that...

PHO just destroyed PHI on the road. Yet, TOR, is supposed to be the next coming of GSW and blowout PHO? Yeah, sure. I know TOR is at home. But, TOR can tank with the best of them. Will they cover? I'll believe it when I see it. That is a LOT of points to get.

PHO +14

WAS @ POR

POR should win this on first look. At home. Chance to end a losing streak. Playing an East Coast team in the middle of a West Coast road swing, playing the 2nd half of a back-to-back. Easy pick for POR, right? Not so fast. The NBA & the books rarely make things simple, and I think WAS is going to lose to PHO, when PHO comes back home after their East Coast swing. If WAS is going to get a win, it is going to be against a team that is playing poorly and on a losing streak.

WAS +5.5 (I would say ML but keep getting burned on dogs.)

 
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Posted: #921
ParlayB...it may be time for you to take a break from capping if these 2 dont work out for you...i see these 2 games of yours 1000% oppositely...sometimes its best to look at a game as "either this team or pass" is the play here...

You are backing 2 absolute crap teams, playing back to back road games...the nba is a classic situational betting league...you can sometimes cap a game without even knowing the teams playing...its all stats, trends, momentum, schedule, streaks, etc...

Washington is pure trash, ans after what happened to them last nigjt, there is no legit reason to back such a disfuctional team until they show us something.

And Raptors, perhaps you should ignore them all together and save yoirself the stress....i think Phx lays an egg here, and Raptors once again show their full arsenal as a top legit Eastern Conf team.

Good luck buddy.
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Posted: #922
Locked in:

Zenit St. Petersburg +15.5 live ingame wager when down 30-9 early 2nd Q.

Also locked in:

Zenit ML +1100 (half unit)....italian vs russian team...what could be nicer for a beauty of a point shaving fix...normally this would be a quarter unit lottery ticket...but this smells fixjob all the way in that 1st Q...
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Posted: #923
https://www.flashscore.ca/game/xzDn5LAJ/#game-summary


These 1st Q dumps and ML comebacks happen alot more often than youd think (ie...Warriors Pelicans last nigjt)
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Posted: #924
Another perfect example of a situational ingame wager is this game between Petrol and Rosa (https://www.flashscore.ca/game/vXfHosQ2/#game-summary)

First Qs where the scoring is bizarrely low, thats always an autobet for me on the ingame Over regardless the number immedaitely after the 1st Q ends.

It was offered at 132.5 going into the 2nd Q 

Its not an exact science, but these ingame angles are long term money makers and bankroll builders over the long haul
Victory Belongs to the Most Tenacious
 
 
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Posted: #925
Double dipping with Zenit...kicking myself for not waiting until halffime.

Locked in:

Zenit +23.5 ingame during the last possession of the 2nd Q. (1.5 units looking for a break even scenario, although the original wagers are still alive, although the ML is on life support...if Zenit comes out on a 7-0 run out of the break, the game is live ...also if the refs call 3 early el cheapo fouls against trento within the first 90 seconds, the fix is indeed live 
Victory Belongs to the Most Tenacious
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