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NBA & NCAA Season Long Hoops Chat - Hosted by The Peoples Champ, Featuring Expert BigD

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Posted: #1126
ODB...thanks buddy...summarizes how I feel too...if Baker played the PC game better, he would be a media darling...and the NFL would be hyping him up as the next best thing...but I think what makes him special is indeed his arrogance and cockiness...maybe he will be another Brett Favre if he's lucky enough to be drafted by anyone not named Browns
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Posted: #1127
Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:

ODB...thanks buddy...summarizes how I feel too...if Baker played the PC game better, he would be a media darling...and the NFL would be hyping him up as the next best thing...but I think what makes him special is indeed his arrogance and cockiness...maybe he will be another Brett Favre if he's lucky enough to be drafted by anyone not named Browns
maybe that was secretly his plan. lol. maybe if i act like the biggest a$$hole to come out of the draft, darnold will still have the spotlight and i'll be somewhat overlooked, therefore decreasing my chances of being drafted by the browns. i don't see what all the hype is for about darnold. i do not think he is that great. he struggled in the pac-12, and that division BLOWS
No team is as good as it looks when winning nor are they as bad as they look when losing
 
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Posted: #1128
Locked in:

Spurs -2....their home record is undeniably impressive, especially against the Celtics...taking Boston ML will likely be the "Sexy" pick by a lot of amateur cappers and some possible online touts or talkers, but in all reality, asking the Spurs to essentially win a game at home is always a long term profitable wager in this price range.

Raptors/Cavs ML parlay (+125 odds)....I think the Cavs will keep winning as long at the Celtics keep winning...like a weird bizarre competition between the two teams to see who will have the longest winning streak this season...and Memphis is likely going into the tank and hopefully decide to lose as many games now as possible to improve their draft status...this is not a good team at all right now...Raps on the first game of a 4 game roady...rested and they know tonight could be the first stepping stone to a very successful 4-0 road trip....maybe Raps 1st Q and 1st H worth looking into once the lines become available, as I can see them getting out to a nice early lead, and holding off in the 2nd half for the win, and perhaps blowing the cover if Memphis sees an unlocked backdoor.

not going to get too involved with the Never Bet Alot card tonight, as I truly feel my good run recently with ingame wagering is where I should be more focused on, if the correct opportunities become available.


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Posted: #1129
i'm really liking jacksonville st. up against LMU. kenpom numbers ar elooking sexy. LMU has lost every away game this season, and 3 out of 4 of those losses were by 10 or more points. the one away game that was a close call was to stephen austin and that is not a good team to lose to straight up

locking in jax st -8.5
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Posted: #1130
Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:

any legit insight or reasoning from anyone reading this as to why I should consider hedging my Mayfield Heisman 6000/500 wager placed a little while ago (yes I realize its an insane bet based on what my usual betting pattern is, however 500 bones is still 500 bones, and it will allow me to be a little extra generous to myself and my loved ones with a nice night out over the holidays)

I just cannot see any justified reasoning behind anyone else winning the award other than Baker the Touchdown Maker.

I got it at -1200, and now its -3300 with JAckson and Love both sitting at +1400.


Am I reading this correctly? You risked 6k to win $500? I can't be reading this correctly, if I am how could you possibly hedge that?
 
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Posted: #1131
I did bad yesterday (1-3) in the NBA lacking any strong angles. Fortunately, my covers buddies covered my losses with some great picks.

Today, my STRONGEST angle is on my WEAKEST team... TOR. I have never won a pick on any contest involving TOR in a solid year!
My 2nd worst team is MEM. And, guess who plays each other tonight? Talk about a nightmare match. But, one of these two has to win... there are no ties in the NBA.

Having said all that... my SUPER STRONG ANGLE says TOR loses tonight and wins BIG on Sunday at SAC.

If TOR wins this game, I will have to give up on them until they get a new coach, because he clearly has my number.

MEM ML (if this doesn't hit, I need to stay away from MEM & TOR) 4 units - biggest bet in a month

 
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Posted: #1132
Quote Originally Posted by chaloots:



Am I reading this correctly? You risked 6k to win $500? I can't be reading this correctly, if I am how could you possibly hedge that?

I just wanted to hear someone say something along the lines of what ODB said...there's no hedge here, never was a thought to...that's why I made this bet when I did...just talking out loud here I suppose to wart off any Scal bad karma...I can imagine him planting a flag into one of his sodomy friends tomorrow and try to spite me on this wager
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Posted: #1133
Kapfenberg setting up nicely for an ingame wager...classic 1st Q point shaving effort, down early 14-7 halfway thru the 1st Q...you can't make this stuff up folks...
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Posted: #1134
ParlayB...why are you pressing your luck on Memphis ML for 4 units...if you really like them tonight, take the 6 points.
Moneyline plays like these are truly for the rich and wealthy who are running really good and perhaps have some fire in their pockets who are pressing their luck...why not consider taking 75% of your 4 unit wager and put it on the +6, and then the remaining 25% on the ML...that's what a pro capper would likely do if they were indeed heartset on this game.
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Posted: #1135
Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:

any legit insight or reasoning from anyone reading this as to why I should consider hedging my Mayfield Heisman 6000/500 wager placed a little while ago (yes I realize its an insane bet based on what my usual betting pattern is, however 500 bones is still 500 bones, and it will allow me to be a little extra generous to myself and my loved ones with a nice night out over the holidays)

I just cannot see any justified reasoning behind anyone else winning the award other than Baker the Touchdown Maker.

I got it at -1200, and now its -3300 with JAckson and Love both sitting at +1400.


nope. 
 
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Posted: #1136
Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:

ParlayB...why are you pressing your luck on Memphis ML for 4 units...if you really like them tonight, take the 6 points.
Moneyline plays like these are truly for the rich and wealthy who are running really good and perhaps have some fire in their pockets who are pressing their luck...why not consider taking 75% of your 4 unit wager and put it on the +6, and then the remaining 25% on the ML...that's what a pro capper would likely do if they were indeed heartset on this game.


You know, this makes more sense. No sense going big on a team I always lose agai.
 
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Posted: #1137
Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:

Kapfenberg setting up nicely for an ingame wager...classic 1st Q point shaving effort, down early 14-7 halfway thru the 1st Q...you can't make this stuff up folks...

Locked in:

Kapfenberg ML +100 ....ingame wager at the half, with them down 39-34 in what can only be described at a first half dumpjob by the road fav here...just watching them clank all these FTs is enough to know what's up here...not going to press here because it's still a dangerous play to ever truly trust in the fix, but this could easily be a 2 unit play if I wasn't such a ScalPussi with Euro Hoops
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Posted: #1138
Quote Originally Posted by ParlayBuster:



You know, this makes more sense. No sense going big on a team I always lose agai.

 good luck buddy whichever way you decide to go on this one
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Posted: #1139
My easy ML parlay is GSW/SAS.

Both teams are playing revenge angles. DET beat GSW in Oakland and BOS beat SAS in Boston.

Basically, this is a square bet.

So, it would be either a 1 or 1/2 unit play.
 
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Posted: #1140
Locked in:

Kapfenberg -2 3rd Q...couldn't resist...greed kills
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Posted: #1141
Locked in:

Kapfenberg +6.5 for the game...ingame wager at the end of the 3rdQ...if this wager loses, this was a very very bad misread on this game and I likely won't be looking at this league for quite some time...SOUR
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Posted: #1142
a true man of my word.


ASU -5

thinking this might be a gut buster of a wager for me.  Anyone have trends or angles to talk me off this one?  Im all ears.  I haven't clicked the button yet.





 
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Posted: #1143
Quote Originally Posted by BIGDTITLE:

a true man of my word.


ASU -5

thinking this might be a gut buster of a wager for me.  Anyone have trends or angles to talk me off this one?  Im all ears.  I haven't clicked the button yet.





the one thing that worries me is the defense. the line movement just moved down, too. this is probably going to be the squarest play on the board for today. i'm still debating
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Posted: #1144
it is square and with only a handful a games on the board I know the lines will be very sharp but the BigD eye test from Tuesdays game against GCU tells me this team is fools gold and should get embarrassed tonight.   I think the neutral site is also a reason this line looks fishy when it should be around -9 if this game was played in Tempe.  
 
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Posted: #1145
also leaning oklahoma. usc can't shoot for jack. here's some info on asu

St John’s is 8-1 vs schedule #214, losing 90-82 to Missouri on a neutral floor in game they led by 8 with 12:20 left. Red Storm is 3-1 in neutral floor games; they’ve got top 100 wins over UCF, Nebraska. Johnnies are forcing turnovers 28.2% of time (#3) vs schedule #214- they’re #227 experience team but Lovett didn’t play last two games. Arizona State is 7-0 vs schedule #227; they beat K-State/Xavier in Las Vegas, beat San Diego State by 22 at home. Sun Devils have the #92 experience team; their eFG% is #2 in country. ASU is shooting 42% on the arc.

ST. JOHN'S @ ARIZONA STATE
ST. JOHN'S


St. John's is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
ARIZONA STATE


Arizona State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Arizona State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
No team is as good as it looks when winning nor are they as bad as they look when losing
 
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Posted: #1146
Austrian Titanic Iceberg sinks the peoples champ today
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Posted: #1147
Locked in:


Arizona State -5


10 unit bet for me.

 
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Posted: #1148
The peoples champ  is just like anyone else, a champ for the common man, even he has a stubborn side and believes in persistence and faith in a system, even during an epic misread like Kapfenberg...these ingame wagering opportunities come fast and furious at the end of quarters, and not always can he post his picks:

Standard

Oberwart Gunners @ -118 (-4.5) 2nd Quarter - Handicap Betting LiveOpen

UBSC Graz v Oberwart Gunners

Stake: C $1200.00Potential Returns: C $2220.00

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Posted: #1149

This was locked in after the 1st Q, when they were down 21-15 as 15.5 road favs (as seen from Kapfenbergs dump, this system to back the better team following a poor 1st Q or Half is not fullproof, but I know it's a long term profitable wager...just can't get discouraged when you hit an occasional iceberg...Quitting is for Losers who don't have the courtesy or decency for one last epic meltdown and farewells, before their February 4th, 2018 funeral


Standard

Oberwart Gunners @ -118 (-8.5) Handicap Betting Live44-472nd

UBSC Graz v Oberwart Gunners

Stake: C $2000.00Potential Returns: C $3700.00

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Posted: #1150
GL PB,

nice 2nd quarter
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