Partizan +33.5....ingame wager at the half...down 54-28 at the half as 19pt road dogs...I just don't see Lokomotiv keeping on the gas pedal here in the 2nd half....could be a classic let up spot where the spread regresses back to the original line over the next 2 Qs
Partizan +33.5....ingame wager at the half...down 54-28 at the half as 19pt road dogs...I just don't see Lokomotiv keeping on the gas pedal here in the 2nd half....could be a classic let up spot where the spread regresses back to the original line over the next 2 Qs
BC Kalev -7.5 for the game...ingame wager at the half with them down 32-30, as an original 21.5 pt road fav...this spot is almost always an autobet for me, getting so much + EV for a team which I believe point shaved in the 1st half, only to blow them out in the 2nd half, and maybe even flirting with the original spread come late in the 4th Q
BC Kalev -7.5 for the game...ingame wager at the half with them down 32-30, as an original 21.5 pt road fav...this spot is almost always an autobet for me, getting so much + EV for a team which I believe point shaved in the 1st half, only to blow them out in the 2nd half, and maybe even flirting with the original spread come late in the 4th Q
was pondering that Xavier line myself last night. I have been fading Marquette for most of the year but this line is fishy as hell. GL on your wager. Im just not sure about this game yet.
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ODB,
was pondering that Xavier line myself last night. I have been fading Marquette for most of the year but this line is fishy as hell. GL on your wager. Im just not sure about this game yet.
was pondering that Xavier line myself last night. I have been fading Marquette for most of the year but this line is fishy as hell. GL on your wager. Im just not sure about this game yet.
i had my suspisions, too, d, and that is why i'm taking the l. everything points to xavier win. maybe the line is inflated because they beat some higher ranked teams by 10 or more? it's not like marquette has had a walk int he park schedule or antyhing. x is better than marquette in almost every which way possible. i'll have to roll the dice on this one
No team is as good as it looks when winning nor are they as bad as they look when losing
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Quote Originally Posted by BIGDTITLE:
ODB,
was pondering that Xavier line myself last night. I have been fading Marquette for most of the year but this line is fishy as hell. GL on your wager. Im just not sure about this game yet.
i had my suspisions, too, d, and that is why i'm taking the l. everything points to xavier win. maybe the line is inflated because they beat some higher ranked teams by 10 or more? it's not like marquette has had a walk int he park schedule or antyhing. x is better than marquette in almost every which way possible. i'll have to roll the dice on this one
they are the better overall squad ODB but if Marquette gets hot from 3 which is their entire game than this could be a straight up Marquette win. How is X against the 3 ball?
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they are the better overall squad ODB but if Marquette gets hot from 3 which is their entire game than this could be a straight up Marquette win. How is X against the 3 ball?
I had to take Partizan +49.5 out of principle. Not sure they are gonna score a point the entire 4th.
yup..there are always 2 ways to play these blowouts...bet the dog the at halftime or have the patience to back them after the 3rd Q assuming they continue to take a beating...I took PArtizan for a half unit after the 3rd Q to minimize the sting...
BC Kalev 4th Q was a thing of beauty
MEntal note...it's always better to back a good team who underachieves like BC Kalev than back a shiit team and hope the good team lets up...not an exact science but both betting patterns are long term winning propositions
Victory Belongs to the Most Tenacious
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Quote Originally Posted by BIGDTITLE:
PB,
I had to take Partizan +49.5 out of principle. Not sure they are gonna score a point the entire 4th.
yup..there are always 2 ways to play these blowouts...bet the dog the at halftime or have the patience to back them after the 3rd Q assuming they continue to take a beating...I took PArtizan for a half unit after the 3rd Q to minimize the sting...
BC Kalev 4th Q was a thing of beauty
MEntal note...it's always better to back a good team who underachieves like BC Kalev than back a shiit team and hope the good team lets up...not an exact science but both betting patterns are long term winning propositions
OKC -3.5...Raps in a tough spot here...they needed to win last night, to afford a loss here for the split...I hate to say it but OKC might have found the winning formula...let Russ do whatever he wants and hope for the best.
Pacers -5....classic letdown spot for MAvs on the road, and classic bounceback spot for Indy following that embarrassing loss in Detroit last night
I also see CAvs punking the Queens tonight, however I am hoping they sleepwalk thru the 1st Q for a much better ingame live line...no way I am lining up to take them -9.5
perhaps the better play is a ML parlay for Warriors/Pelicans/Cavs which pays around -150...these are never as easy as they seem to be on paper, but I think I will most likely be on this one come gametime
In College...I really want to pull the trigger on Chicago St +30.5...I know Wisconsin is on a down year, and this is a huge number to cover, however I recall how bad they played against Northwestern recently...they can't lose again by 60 can they?
Victory Belongs to the Most Tenacious
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Eyeballing:
OKC -3.5...Raps in a tough spot here...they needed to win last night, to afford a loss here for the split...I hate to say it but OKC might have found the winning formula...let Russ do whatever he wants and hope for the best.
Pacers -5....classic letdown spot for MAvs on the road, and classic bounceback spot for Indy following that embarrassing loss in Detroit last night
I also see CAvs punking the Queens tonight, however I am hoping they sleepwalk thru the 1st Q for a much better ingame live line...no way I am lining up to take them -9.5
perhaps the better play is a ML parlay for Warriors/Pelicans/Cavs which pays around -150...these are never as easy as they seem to be on paper, but I think I will most likely be on this one come gametime
In College...I really want to pull the trigger on Chicago St +30.5...I know Wisconsin is on a down year, and this is a huge number to cover, however I recall how bad they played against Northwestern recently...they can't lose again by 60 can they?
they are the better overall squad ODB but if Marquette gets hot from 3 which is their entire game than this could be a straight up Marquette win. How is X against the 3 ball?
ranked 59 on kenpom defensively allowing 3 pt %, almost four points better than average
No team is as good as it looks when winning nor are they as bad as they look when losing
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Quote Originally Posted by BIGDTITLE:
they are the better overall squad ODB but if Marquette gets hot from 3 which is their entire game than this could be a straight up Marquette win. How is X against the 3 ball?
ranked 59 on kenpom defensively allowing 3 pt %, almost four points better than average
be honest...I infected you with the daytime international zika hoops virus, didn't i
I pay attention now for sure. Pure boredom/degen action I can't get with the night games. I don't usually play them for much money. Just an action junkie I guess.
I mentioned earlier in another thread that the Pacers core didn't log very many minutes in the beatdown last night and Mavs off a big win against a team that would normally beat them 9 times out of 10. Was just a bad spot for Toronto overall.
I tinkered with but haven't hit the button yet on:
Pacers -5
Cavs ML
Pels ML
pays around +175
more of a bet on pacers with some ML to juice the payout. Thoughts?
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Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:
be honest...I infected you with the daytime international zika hoops virus, didn't i
I pay attention now for sure. Pure boredom/degen action I can't get with the night games. I don't usually play them for much money. Just an action junkie I guess.
I mentioned earlier in another thread that the Pacers core didn't log very many minutes in the beatdown last night and Mavs off a big win against a team that would normally beat them 9 times out of 10. Was just a bad spot for Toronto overall.
I tinkered with but haven't hit the button yet on:
Pacers -5
Cavs ML
Pels ML
pays around +175
more of a bet on pacers with some ML to juice the payout. Thoughts?
My full NBA card for Wednesday, December 27, 2017 is... BOS@CHA
The line looks screwy as hell because it is the night for CHA to get a win. No point in giving a bunch of points to BOS just to make BIG payouts to the CHA backers. CHA ML (3 units) DEN@MIN
I really don't think DEN can keep up this pace. Sure, MIN could lose, but this seems like a good spot for them to get the win.
MIN ML (1 unit) BKN@NOP
To me, BKN losing yesterday was their shot, to get a win on this road trip. So, it is time for them to get used to losing until they return to New York.
NOP ML (1 unit)
DAL@IND
I am going to go out on a limb and say IND covers here, considering what happened in DET and what DAL did to TOR.
IND ATS (.5 unit)
WAS@ATL
Since ATL is bad, I'll just say WAS covers the 6 points.
WAS ATS (.5 unit)
NYK@CHI
CHI loses either here to NYK or to CHI. I'm going to put a .5 unit on this game. If it loses, I am increasing it to a full unit when CHI plays WAS. NYK (.5 unit) CLE@SAC
Well, CLE isn't losing this. This will be a LIVE bet. But, I know there will never be a point where I can get + points on CLE.
CLE ML (may put this in a ML parlay)
UTA@GSW
I don't see GSW losing again for a LOOOOONNNNGGGG time. Covering the spread is another story.
GSW ML
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My full NBA card for Wednesday, December 27, 2017 is... BOS@CHA
The line looks screwy as hell because it is the night for CHA to get a win. No point in giving a bunch of points to BOS just to make BIG payouts to the CHA backers. CHA ML (3 units) DEN@MIN
I really don't think DEN can keep up this pace. Sure, MIN could lose, but this seems like a good spot for them to get the win.
MIN ML (1 unit) BKN@NOP
To me, BKN losing yesterday was their shot, to get a win on this road trip. So, it is time for them to get used to losing until they return to New York.
NOP ML (1 unit)
DAL@IND
I am going to go out on a limb and say IND covers here, considering what happened in DET and what DAL did to TOR.
IND ATS (.5 unit)
WAS@ATL
Since ATL is bad, I'll just say WAS covers the 6 points.
WAS ATS (.5 unit)
NYK@CHI
CHI loses either here to NYK or to CHI. I'm going to put a .5 unit on this game. If it loses, I am increasing it to a full unit when CHI plays WAS. NYK (.5 unit) CLE@SAC
Well, CLE isn't losing this. This will be a LIVE bet. But, I know there will never be a point where I can get + points on CLE.
CLE ML (may put this in a ML parlay)
UTA@GSW
I don't see GSW losing again for a LOOOOONNNNGGGG time. Covering the spread is another story.
GL all, That Chicago St team is bad,think Wisc.FH is good and game also,against average teams getting a few points I would go against Wisc.,but this team could be down 20 something at half.
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GL all, That Chicago St team is bad,think Wisc.FH is good and game also,against average teams getting a few points I would go against Wisc.,but this team could be down 20 something at half.
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