Quote Originally Posted by ta2dtx: Very good system I will be on board with you. I have been running a system that is 1h. If the team has a better coach and qb and the line is -4 or less. You take the team. So far 2-1 this week but the total record right now is 56-32-2. I have a indepth spreadsheet I make every week if you want to look it over. Just send me a message. Good luck with your system. Ill stick with mine. I don't play 1st halves anyway. Takes the fun out of the game for me. Its funny though how people disagree or just dont comprehend the system. The idea is to play the ML or ATS as a dog with the experienced QBs and create a 2 team parlay that right now has a 76 percent chance in winning.
But you purposely avoid the issues:
1. You refuse to put W/L in anything except record. You ignore that a lot of these are very big ML favorites. Someone figured out the dollar value of the whole system YTD was +4 units even with a record of WL that is much better.
2. You also add in all kinds of subjectivity with if this then that stuff that you dont define
3. You talk about these 2 team parlays, while ignoring the fact that they do nothing to increase your ROI (or at least explain why betting parlays is better than straight)
4. You post dozens of threads, mostly for attention - that add little or nothing to the discussion so everyone is just annoyed with you and ignore you.
Why not at least acknowledge the above and try to define / explain?
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1
Quote Originally Posted by Camouflage9:
Quote Originally Posted by ta2dtx: Very good system I will be on board with you. I have been running a system that is 1h. If the team has a better coach and qb and the line is -4 or less. You take the team. So far 2-1 this week but the total record right now is 56-32-2. I have a indepth spreadsheet I make every week if you want to look it over. Just send me a message. Good luck with your system. Ill stick with mine. I don't play 1st halves anyway. Takes the fun out of the game for me. Its funny though how people disagree or just dont comprehend the system. The idea is to play the ML or ATS as a dog with the experienced QBs and create a 2 team parlay that right now has a 76 percent chance in winning.
But you purposely avoid the issues:
1. You refuse to put W/L in anything except record. You ignore that a lot of these are very big ML favorites. Someone figured out the dollar value of the whole system YTD was +4 units even with a record of WL that is much better.
2. You also add in all kinds of subjectivity with if this then that stuff that you dont define
3. You talk about these 2 team parlays, while ignoring the fact that they do nothing to increase your ROI (or at least explain why betting parlays is better than straight)
4. You post dozens of threads, mostly for attention - that add little or nothing to the discussion so everyone is just annoyed with you and ignore you.
Why not at least acknowledge the above and try to define / explain?
@Camouflage9 Correction. A 76 percent chance in winning as a single play. But with that high of a percentage a two team parlay has a great shot at winning since 75 percent is the equivalent of hitting 3 of 4.
2 teams that have a 75% chance of each winning in a parlay means that the parlay has a 56% chance of winning (.75 * .75 = .56)
If the two teams are -300 or higher, it is a loser.
You keep ignoring this fact. But the fact is math, and you cant ignore math.
Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
1
Quote Originally Posted by Camouflage9:
@Camouflage9 Correction. A 76 percent chance in winning as a single play. But with that high of a percentage a two team parlay has a great shot at winning since 75 percent is the equivalent of hitting 3 of 4.
2 teams that have a 75% chance of each winning in a parlay means that the parlay has a 56% chance of winning (.75 * .75 = .56)
If the two teams are -300 or higher, it is a loser.
You keep ignoring this fact. But the fact is math, and you cant ignore math.
Its actually funny that the advice you give is to take ML dogs as single bets, and big ML favs as parlays.
It just shows your absolute lack of understanding that this strategy is square 101. If you wouldn't lay 300 straight, betting a parlay only masks the fact that you are betting that team -300 in your parlay - it is the same thing - and as square as they come.
To summarize your system:
1. Take the most experienced QB 2. Parlay if that team is a favorite, bet as a single if dog
Great. GL - I will be watching this system closely.
Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
1
Its actually funny that the advice you give is to take ML dogs as single bets, and big ML favs as parlays.
It just shows your absolute lack of understanding that this strategy is square 101. If you wouldn't lay 300 straight, betting a parlay only masks the fact that you are betting that team -300 in your parlay - it is the same thing - and as square as they come.
To summarize your system:
1. Take the most experienced QB 2. Parlay if that team is a favorite, bet as a single if dog
Great. GL - I will be watching this system closely.
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