NFL Wildcard Round

Pittsburgh -3(-126) *1.26/1.00

Bought the hook, not a fan of doing that. Good Luck

@undermysac

 like it, get it 

@kcblitzkrieg 

8-7 +4.81 last week

64-68 (+14.98) YTD

Crazy that the Shrimp are -3.5 on the road in Nashville, but I'm not even thinking of betting the Titans for now.

The Redskins will be a live dog against the spread vs. Tampa and the line is expectedly moving in WFTs favor from +6.5 to +8. What Public Joe will bet the team without a name? 

I like the Bills to make a run to the Super Bowl but I almost wish they didn't look so damn good last week. I respect the Colts and would be inclined to play them on the spread even though I think Buffalo wins. I like the under 52 total more than anything. That's an inflated reflection of last week more than reality.

Rams/Dorks? Lean to the over 43 just because I think another 20-9 result is unlikely. 

Saints are the nuts to win this week based on the 10 point line. Bears will probably be a public underdog and get killed.

Steelers up to 4.5. That's a strong line to get some Brownie bets. I won't fall for it.

Shrimps lost last 2 to them...both DT's out last time...staggered late....

Redskins get run over....Smith on one leg....

Bills get Colts outdoors..Bye Bye Rivers....

Goff out ....no chance Clown put up 9 Sunday...

Saints name the score in this one

Steelers with Ben back...see ya Baker...

Payback time for Balty, 34 carries for Henry last week and the going is gonna be at least a little stiffer this week. What the closing line gonna be, i guess it goes up a tick.

I thought the same thing. I know Henry seems like an Ironman ala APeterson in his day, but at some point, the hits and the bruises have to take their toll. I love JK Dobbins and with him and Gus Bus taking turns with LJax running the ball, the Titans may simply run out of time to do anything. Baltimore is peaking and should show well even though they haven't won a playoff game since Flacco's Super Bowl. The line just begs for Titans money. 

@Getty3

 I'm afraid that the Bills freight train is something no one can stop, not even the books head fake lines to throw off contrarian bettors like you and I. I have that feeling about them here. I'm not sure when it stops and not willing to guess when.

Bills finish the season with the #1 weighted dvoa.

The biggest problem for the Colts is their injuries to their o line. Their pass protection for Rivers has been something they hung their hat on all year.

Anthony Castonzo has been ruled out for the season following surgery and backup Le'Raven Clark is also out for the year after tearing his Achilles. Right tackle Braden Smith returned from the Reserve/COVID list against the Jaguars, but backup Will Holden is out with an ankle injury. The team signed veteran Jared Veldheer as cover for J'Marcus Webb and Chaz Green, but that is not an attractive trio of options to play left tackle opposite Smith against Buffalo's strong pass rush.

The Bills have allowed 6.5 yards per pass all year, 9th best. Over their last 3 games allowing only 5 yards per pass, 3rd best over that stretch.

I'm yet to look at Frank Reich's success vs the Bills Leslie Frazier. I respect both guys. Great coaching on both teams in this matchup.

Fun fact:

The Browns are the only team in the playoffs to not finish in the top half of dvoa. 18th in total and weighted dvoa.

Pro football reference agrees. -2.58 SRS and expected wins at 7.7

They also lost Olivier Vernon to an Achilles injury.

Seattle 1H TT U12.5(-110) *1.10/1.00

Rams 1H +3(-110) *1/.91

1H UNDER 21(-110) *1/.91

Seattle OVER 1.5 FG's(-125) *1.25/1.00

Rams OVER 1.5 FG's(-118) *1.18/1.00

@undermysac

 i have little doubt that Indy's game plan is gonna go like this,run>run>pass>run>run>pass>run>run>pass.I think it has to for them to win.

You got a good line for the Steelers

Understood, I agree. That's what they would want to do. 

But can Jonathan Taylor handle the load after a 30 carry 253 yard effort vs the hapless Getty's?

I always liked RB's from Wisco, he could probably handle it but I'm not sure. The only 2 guys who prove they can each week is Derrick Henry and Dalvin Cook.

The Bills strike fast, strike hard, no mercy...

If Indy has to play catch up, the game plan could go out the door.

Dang it appears as some large dough has come in on Titans. 

Beat em 2 straight ...3.5  looks like a gift....

Seems like people don't give 2 shits about defense, the Titans don't have one. The kicking game is night and day as well.

I don't know what people are seeing.

FWIW, the Titans allow a decent amount of fans in. I went there earlier this year. Got a little loud but nothing crazy.

I'm in your and Red's corner rooting, but I'm staying far away from this game. It don't smell right.

And where the hell is CD?

Colts 1Q +.5(+110) *1/1.10

Bills 2Q -2.5(-125) *1/.80

Colts@Bills 2Q OVER 15.5(-125) *1/.80

Colts@Bills 1H OVER 24.5(-110) *1/.91

Hindsight is 20/20 but this was my best play and should of went 2 or more units. That ship has sailed with covid. Clubdirt would be going for the middle

Fun fact:

The Texans finished the year with the 13th worst rush dvoa in history.

Trading Hopkins for David Johnson eh? Trading the first rd(3rd overal) pick to the Phins for Tunsil. A guy who is part of the rush O.

And just imagine if the Bears had any common sense and would of drafted Watkins instead of Trubisky? The Texans would have who at qb currently?

The wrath of Bill O'brien was incredible.

They should trade Watt and any other tradable asset this off-season, and just start over from scratch. They need to load up on draft picks 

Football is a game of matchups. Titans D matches up well with the Shrimp O.

The line seems to be right where it is supposed to be for this game 

is there another Carr brother they can draft to take 15 concussions while they get good?  

At least you have the Rangers to look forward to in baseball