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Phixer's NFL Continued

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Posted: #601
Excellent job Phixer - thank you for your efforts!
 
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Posted: #602
42-33-2  +3745$  This season NFL Overall Posted

37-33-2 -280$ This season NFL posted on Covers
 
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Posted: #603
NFL Week 10: BAL Ravens vs TEN Titans Totals

Baltimore's offense scores at 26.7  PPG while the Titan's defense allows 25.3 PPG. That is like Baltimore to score here 26 points.  Titan's score 17.1 PPG while the Ravens allow 19.3 meaning the Titans should score here 18 points and therefore LVSC issued a 44 points Total's line for a game. But will the Titans really be able to score that much against the tough Raven's defense? And why the line has not changed despite 3 out of 4 bettors going Over?

This is a 5 Units Play

Under 44  -110

 
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Posted: #604
NFL Week 10: OAK Raiders vs DEN Broncos

After an "embarrasment" in Foxboro - the Broncos will chew the Raiders out as LVSC in this instance was trapped. Accoding to PPG averages - the Broncos should have won by TD only because their loss to NE caused the PPG average to be what it is now. So, because of the strength they added another 3.5 points to the line making it TD+FG+0.5 points turning the line into funny Denver -10.5. Also the Raiders loss only by a vTD contributed to all that. Although the refs will do their best to keep the Broncos down as much as they can - they can't do much and should protect Manning which will make the Oakland case harder to win a penalty fight against the Broncos. My projection here is 21 points Denver. Or I am totally misreading it here. I will take my chances because of the circumstantial play.

This is a 5 Units Play

DEN Broncos -10.5  -110

 

 
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Posted: #605
Quote Originally Posted by Sicsemper:

Hey Phixer I do my own handicapping and I don't blinding tail, however when I am finished making my selections there are 8 cappers on here I check out before I submit my plays and you are one of them. I only bet the plays that any of the 8 cappers have that match any of my selections and make sure none of the 8 are opposite. If any disagree I don't play that game. I only play if their play or plays match any of mine and no one is opposite. Example: One of my selections is Giants over Redskins. However one of you has the Redskins, No play for me. Conversely one or more of you have the Giants and none of you have the redskins it's a play for me. I don't need to tell yoi I've done very well. Also, there may be 7-11 selections that I have handicapped but because of the 8 cappers I believe make money and the rules I've set for myself I may only make 2 or 3 bets a week. But I've come to enjoy the 2 or 3 bets that are huge with more winners, than sprinking a lot less money and say going 7-4 or 7-5 and making a whole lot less. Sometimes going 2-8 or 3-7. Playing with the rules I've set up for myself once again may only give me 2 or 3 plays a weekend and sometimes even no plays but the money is pure heaven. I can't tell you how much money you've saved me as you were opposite my selection therfore making it a no play. Anyway, I love the money I'm making and if you think they're going to whack you from here would you consider setting up a twitter account and make your plays there? A lot of us value you're input!!!!!!

Hey fellow Chargers fan just sent you a friendly request. Had a few questions to ask if you don't mind please accept. Thanks. 
 
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Posted: #606
Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

NFL Week 10: BAL Ravens vs TEN Titans TotalsBaltimore's offense scores at 26.7  PPG while the Titan's defense allows 25.3 PPG. That is like Baltimore to score here 26 points.  Titan's score 17.1 PPG while the Ravens allow 19.3 meaning the Titans should score here 18 points and therefore LVSC issued a 44 points Total's line for a game. But will the Titans really be able to score that much against the tough Raven's defense? And why the line has not changed despite 3 out of 4 bettors going Over?This is a 5 Units PlayUnder 44  -110


My big play ..GL
 
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Posted: #607
 
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Posted: #608
Bol phixer, 
 
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Posted: #610
Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

NFL Week 10: OAK Raiders vs DEN Broncos

After an "embarrasment" in Foxboro - the Broncos will chew the Raiders out as LVSC in this instance was trapped. Accoding to PPG averages - the Broncos should have won by TD only because their loss to NE caused the PPG average to be what it is now. So, because of the strength they added another 3.5 points to the line making it TD+FG+0.5 points turning the line into funny Denver -10.5. Also the Raiders loss only by a vTD contributed to all that. Although the refs will do their best to keep the Broncos down as much as they can - they can't do much and should protect Manning which will make the Oakland case harder to win a penalty fight against the Broncos. My projection here is 21 points Denver. Or I am totally misreading it here. I will take my chances because of the circumstantial play.

This is a 5 Units Play

DEN Broncos -10.5  -110

 


This is right play 
 
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Posted: #611
 
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Posted: #613
Phix-  Take a look at first and second half of that Oak Den game.  Raiders generally play one half and mail in the other. Denver off a loss will more than likely come out swinging in first half.  If by chance Raiders hang in first half I will take Den in second half.  I dont like playing 1/2 games but in the case of the Raiders I do.  Raiders still trying to get their first win.  I totally agree with you about the situation here for Denver.  If I was to make a case for Oak it would be the travel across country from Den and Divisional game.  Raiders simply have no running game and do not stay committed to trying.  If they dont adjust their gameplan today to keep Denver offense on sidelines they will be in for a long day.  If they play their normal style this game goes over the total due to the added possessions Denver will get.  I agree with you on the play.  Maybe this will be my first win in several seasons betting on or against Raiders.  I have done well betting them 1/2 by 1/2.  BOL......Line on the Pitt Jets game seems odd to me.  Pitt find themselves in same situation that Den did last week scenerio wise.  Teams off 3 blowout wins at home are 0-16 ATS when they take to the road. It looks like Vegas took this into account on posting this line.  The Jets are no Patriots though.  Trends stats history etc may be on the Jets side today.  I cant bring myself to take them as home dog even at +3.5. 
 
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Posted: #614

great call Phix!
 
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Posted: #615
Quote Originally Posted by Raider63:

Phix-  Take a look at first and second half of that Oak Den game.  Raiders generally play one half and mail in the other. Denver off a loss will more than likely come out swinging in first half.  If by chance Raiders hang in first half I will take Den in second half.  I dont like playing 1/2 games but in the case of the Raiders I do.  Raiders still trying to get their first win.  I totally agree with you about the situation here for Denver.  If I was to make a case for Oak it would be the travel across country from Den and Divisional game.  Raiders simply have no running game and do not stay committed to trying.  If they dont adjust their gameplan today to keep Denver offense on sidelines they will be in for a long day.  If they play their normal style this game goes over the total due to the added possessions Denver will get.  I agree with you on the play.  Maybe this will be my first win in several seasons betting on or against Raiders.  I have done well betting them 1/2 by 1/2.  BOL......Line on the Pitt Jets game seems odd to me.  Pitt find themselves in same situation that Den did last week scenerio wise.  Teams off 3 blowout wins at home are 0-16 ATS when they take to the road. It looks like Vegas took this into account on posting this line.  The Jets are no Patriots though.  Trends stats history etc may be on the Jets side today.  I cant bring myself to take them as home dog even at +3.5. 


Are you taking DEN and laying the points for the 2nd half?
 
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Posted: #616
Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

NFL Week 10: BAL Ravens vs TEN Titans Totals

Baltimore's offense scores at 26.7  PPG while the Titan's defense allows 25.3 PPG. That is like Baltimore to score here 26 points.  Titan's score 17.1 PPG while the Ravens allow 19.3 meaning the Titans should score here 18 points and therefore LVSC issued a 44 points Total's line for a game. But will the Titans really be able to score that much against the tough Raven's defense? And why the line has not changed despite 3 out of 4 bettors going Over?

This is a 5 Units Play

Under 44  -110

win +500$
 
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Posted: #617
Quote Originally Posted by Raider63:

Phix-  Take a look at first and second half of that Oak Den game.  Raiders generally play one half and mail in the other. Denver off a loss will more than likely come out swinging in first half.  If by chance Raiders hang in first half I will take Den in second half.  I dont like playing 1/2 games but in the case of the Raiders I do.  Raiders still trying to get their first win.  I totally agree with you about the situation here for Denver.  If I was to make a case for Oak it would be the travel across country from Den and Divisional game.  Raiders simply have no running game and do not stay committed to trying.  If they dont adjust their gameplan today to keep Denver offense on sidelines they will be in for a long day.  If they play their normal style this game goes over the total due to the added possessions Denver will get.  I agree with you on the play.  Maybe this will be my first win in several seasons betting on or against Raiders.  I have done well betting them 1/2 by 1/2.  BOL......Line on the Pitt Jets game seems odd to me.  Pitt find themselves in same situation that Den did last week scenerio wise.  Teams off 3 blowout wins at home are 0-16 ATS when they take to the road. It looks like Vegas took this into account on posting this line.  The Jets are no Patriots though.  Trends stats history etc may be on the Jets side today.  I cant bring myself to take them as home dog even at +3.5. 


That last post directed at Raider.  I went ahead and took DEN -7 for the 2nd half based on your assessment. Thanks in advance.
 
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Posted: #618
Oakland played maybe their first half of football so far this season and Den may have played their worse.  Denver still covered first half spread.  Getting this game at -10.5 was cheap price to pay since the 2nd half line puts Den at -17 for game. Would take Den -7 in 2nd half but will be happy with -10.5 for game and look forward to a high scoring over later tonight.
 
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Posted: #619
NFL Week 10 Second Half: SEA Seahawks vs NY Giants

This is a 10 Units Play

NY Giants +6.5 Second Half  +105

 
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Posted: #620
phixer you know what I like best about you - not just that you post winners but when you lost you dont go on about how much of a bad beat a game was like some other cappers with 10 page writeups do
 
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Posted: #621
Got anything cooking for the bears vs packers game phix? thanks for all of your hard work man!
 
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Posted: #622
i'm leaning bears and over, thoughts anyone?
 
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Posted: #623
bears plus the points with a money line play 
 
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Posted: #624
Quote Originally Posted by Raider63:

Phix-  Take a look at first and second half of that Oak Den game.  Raiders generally play one half and mail in the other. Denver off a loss will more than likely come out swinging in first half.  If by chance Raiders hang in first half I will take Den in second half.  I dont like playing 1/2 games but in the case of the Raiders I do.  Raiders still trying to get their first win.  I totally agree with you about the situation here for Denver.  If I was to make a case for Oak it would be the travel across country from Den and Divisional game.  Raiders simply have no running game and do not stay committed to trying.  If they dont adjust their gameplan today to keep Denver offense on sidelines they will be in for a long day.  If they play their normal style this game goes over the total due to the added possessions Denver will get.  I agree with you on the play.  Maybe this will be my first win in several seasons betting on or against Raiders.  I have done well betting them 1/2 by 1/2.  BOL......Line on the Pitt Jets game seems odd to me.  Pitt find themselves in same situation that Den did last week scenerio wise.  Teams off 3 blowout wins at home are 0-16 ATS when they take to the road. It looks like Vegas took this into account on posting this line.  The Jets are no Patriots though.  Trends stats history etc may be on the Jets side today.  I cant bring myself to take them as home dog even at +3.5. 

across country???  no offense, but Denver is only 2 states away.....
Please let Phixer cap his own games, no one is listening to you.
Thanks!
 
 
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Posted: #625
Quote Originally Posted by HoyasSax:

bears plus the points with a money line play 
 

love the ml play BOL
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